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USC 45, Nebraska 42
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Nebraska | USC | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 94 | 73 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 38.8 | 23.9 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 18 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
10 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.20 | 6.33 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 68.1% | 69.9% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.516 | 0.552 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Nebraska | USC | |
| Total | 36.5 | 33.5 | |
| Rushing | 14.3 | 13.4 | |
| Passing | 22.3 | 20.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Nebraska | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.4% | 41.1% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 32.5% | 46.9% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 46.3% | 36.6% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 43.8% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 33.3% | 27.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Nebraska | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.96 | 1.12 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.10 | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.89 | 1.34 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.68 | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.76 | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Nebraska | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.09 | 3.67 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.4% | 0.0% | 4.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 14.3% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Nebraska | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | USC +0.15 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Nebraska +0.15 | |
| TO Points Margin | USC +3.9 points | |
| Situational | Nebraska | USC |
| Q1 S&P | 0.540 | 0.360 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.331 | 0.614 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.609 | 0.831 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.543 | 0.216 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.493 | 0.613 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.553 | 0.571 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.487 | 0.352 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: USC by 0.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: USC by 3 | ||
Consider this another ABCD special. Always Be Closing Drives. Nebraska built a drastic field position advantage and matched USC in terms of success rates and, for the most part, big plays. And they created four more scoring opportunities than the Trojans. But their 10 opps generated five touchdowns, two field goals, two turnovers on downs, and a turnover. In six opps, USC scored five touchdowns and kicked a field goal. Toss in a kick return score, and you've got the final margin. Always be closing (drives).
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