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UCLA 40, Kansas State 35
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Kansas State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 81 | 63 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 87.5% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.2 | 32.7 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 13 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.25 | 5.86 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.7% | 61.9% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.472 | 0.593 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Kansas State | UCLA | |
| Total | 24.4 | 33.7 | |
| Rushing | 7.0 | 25.3 | |
| Passing | 17.4 | 8.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Kansas State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.3% | 42.9% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 50.0% | 43.2% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 37.8% | 42.3% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 48.7% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 23.8% | 33.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Kansas State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.71 | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.64 | 1.58 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.66 | 1.12 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.93 | 1.55 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Kansas State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.16 | 3.57 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.0% | 20.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Kansas State | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 9.8 | 5.2 |
| Turnover Margin | UCLA +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Kansas State +0.22 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | UCLA +1.22 | |
| TO Points Margin | UCLA +4.6 points | |
| Situational | Kansas State | UCLA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.313 | 0.665 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.303 | 0.627 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.536 | 0.501 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.643 | 0.531 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.505 | 0.590 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.419 | 0.535 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.389 | 0.580 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 13.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 5 | ||
Looking at full-game stats for this one doesn't feel quite right considering the margins of the first (UCLA 31, KSU 6) and second (KSU 29, UCLA 9) halves. UCLA basically won because the Bruins' big half was bigger, but dialing in a bit, KSU's pass protection was lacking (as was the Wildcats' ability to do anything positive on passing downs), and UCLA's big plays were bigger.
Or, to put it another way, UCLA had Paul Perkins (20 carries, 194 yards) and Deon Hollins (three sacks, two hurries), and KSU did not.
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