Boise State 38, Arizona 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Arizona||Boise State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||29.4||24.0||30.0|
|Points Per Opportunity||3.33||5.17||4.65|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Arizona||Boise State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Arizona||Boise State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Arizona||Boise State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Arizona||Boise State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.10||2.67||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||8.8%||0.0%||4.8%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||20.8%||5.9%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||11.1||10.2|
|Exp. TO Margin||Boise State +0.3|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Arizona +0.3|
|TO Points Margin||Boise State +0.8 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.456||0.552|
|2nd Down S&P||0.495||0.446|
|3rd Down S&P||0.433||0.586|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 0.2|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Boise State by 8|
Such a strange flow to this game. Boise State barely did anything offensively in the last 40 minutes of the game -- see that "N/A" in Q3 S&P for Boise? That means the Broncos didn't have a single successful play in the entire quarter -- and left its defense on the field for 106 snaps. But the Broncos finished their drives in the end zone and avoided drastically negative plays (like, for instance, a 20.8 percent sack rate on passing downs). Arizona did not. The Wildcats did the dirty work but couldn't finish.
Also: pretty sure karma winked at Boise for trying another Statue of Liberty...