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Boise State 38, Arizona 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona | Boise State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 106 | 69 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 29.4 | 24.0 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 17 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
9 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.33 | 5.17 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 72.6% | 68.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.464 | 0.525 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona | Boise State | |
| Total | 29.1 | 28.1 | |
| Rushing | 13.7 | 11.7 | |
| Passing | 15.5 | 16.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona | Boise State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.5% | 40.6% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 47.9% | 39.4% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 36.2% | 41.7% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 46.8% | 53.2% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 27.6% | 13.6% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona | Boise State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.59 | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.74 | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.61 | 0.94 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.91 | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Arizona | Boise State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.10 | 2.67 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 8.8% | 0.0% | 4.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 20.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Arizona | Boise State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Boise State +0.3 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arizona +0.3 | |
| TO Points Margin | Boise State +0.8 points | |
| Situational | Arizona | Boise State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.482 | 0.798 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.540 | 0.592 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.472 | N/A |
| Q4 S&P | 0.403 | 0.389 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.456 | 0.552 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.495 | 0.446 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.433 | 0.586 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 0.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Boise State by 8 | ||
Such a strange flow to this game. Boise State barely did anything offensively in the last 40 minutes of the game -- see that "N/A" in Q3 S&P for Boise? That means the Broncos didn't have a single successful play in the entire quarter -- and left its defense on the field for 106 snaps. But the Broncos finished their drives in the end zone and avoided drastically negative plays (like, for instance, a 20.8 percent sack rate on passing downs). Arizona did not. The Wildcats did the dirty work but couldn't finish.
Also: pretty sure karma winked at Boise for trying another Statue of Liberty...
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