Georgia 37, Louisville 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||93.9%|
|Avg Starting FP||33.8||20.2||30.0|
|Points Per Opportunity||3.70||4.67||4.65|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Georgia||Louisville|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Georgia||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Georgia||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Georgia||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.85||3.17||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||7.1%||5.9%||4.8%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||4.6%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||6.7||9.9|
|Turnover Margin||Georgia +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Georgia +1.54|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Louisville +0.54|
|TO Points Margin||Georgia +3.2 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.544||0.399|
|2nd Down S&P||0.464||0.418|
|3rd Down S&P||0.684||0.542|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia by 16.3|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia by 23|
Strange year even by Dawg standards. A minor dud, a major dud, the requisite injuries, and 6-7 spectacular performances.— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) January 5, 2015
Georgia lost to South Carolina, lost badly to Florida, lost the best running back in college football midway through the season, lost the SEC East to a team it beat by 34 points on the road ... and finished fifth in the F/+ rankings. And I can totally justify it. Play for play, drive for drive, the Dawgs' brilliant moments outnumbered their mediocre ones. It's just that quite a few of those mediocre moments happened on two specific Saturdays in Jacksonville and Columbia East. Spread out those bad moments, and you go 12-1. Or better.
Regardless, the Dawgs finished the season by throughly demolishing a Louisville team that was 16th before the game and 22nd after it. And Nick Chubb got a million more yards. There are worse ways to end what was either an encouraging season, a thoroughly disappointing season, or both.