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Study Hall: Louisville 31, Cincinnati 24

Advanced stats from Louisville's 31-24 win at Cincinnati last Thursday night.

By Bill C.
Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Really, really even game. Louisville's offensive line did well in run blocking and not-so-well in pass blocking, and in the end, turnovers and Louisville's slightly better efficiency made the difference. And, you know, Teddy Bridgewater doing things. From this week's Numerical:

Yards per pass attempt for Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater in what was probably his final regular season game as the Cardinals' quarterback. Louisville beat Cincinnati in overtime, 31-24, but it could have been a rather unmemorable performance for the talented junior. But if not for some incredible plays late, the Cardinals wouldn't have won at all.

Louisville 31, Cincinnati 24
Cincinnati Louisville Cincinnati Louisville
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 43.8% 46.2% Success Rate 47.1% 54.7%
Leverage % 63.8% 67.9% PPP 0.44 0.42
S&P 0.907 0.963
TOTAL
EqPts 39.3 39.3 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 43.8% 51.3% Success Rate 37.9% 44.0%
Close PPP 0.49 0.50 PPP 0.59 0.69
Close S&P 0.929 1.017 S&P 0.967 1.133
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 12.4 17.8 Number 2 1
Close Success Rate 50.0% 55.3% Turnover Pts 5.0 2.7
Close PPP 0.33 0.47 Turnover Pts Margin -2.2 +2.2
Close S&P 0.826 1.021
Line Yards/carry 2.36 3.69 Q1 S&P 0.835 1.158
Q2 S&P 0.782 0.782
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.951 0.914
EqPts 26.9 21.6 Q4 S&P 1.469 1.195
Close Success Rate 38.1% 47.5%
Close PPP 0.64 0.54 1st Down S&P 0.904 0.883
Close S&P 1.022 1.014 2nd Down S&P 1.033 1.194
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 4.4% 4.8% / 10.5% 3rd Down S&P 0.835 0.900
Projected Pt. Margin: Louisville +2.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Louisville +7

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