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Fun with F/+: 4-year program rankings

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By okc_dave
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Chris Graythen

It's still early in the 2013 season, but let's take a look at my spin on multi-year program rankings. Using the F/+ rankings for each team over the past four seasons, I weigh each team's ranking in each year as follows:

  • 2013: 40%
  • 2012: 30%
  • 2011: 20%
  • 2010: 10%
The way I see it, recruits (and fans, for that matter) care much more about what's happening NOW rather than what happened in the ancient past -- you know, five years ago. This weighting system and F/+ may not be perfect, but this is just for fun, right? (Based on the comments section in my last post, I'm not so sure anymore).

Okay, before I hit you with the list, let's look at a few interesting things.

Programs in the Top 5 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama

Programs in the Top 10 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama
Oregon
Oklahoma

Programs in the Top 20 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama (2-1-1-2)
Oregon (9-4-2-1)
Oklahoma (8-8-8-10)
Stanford (6-7-11-4)
Florida State (18-10-5-8)
LSU (15-2-10-16)
Oklahoma State (11-3-12-14)
Texas A&M (19-15-3-18)
South Carolina (14-20-13-13)

Programs That Have Ascended Every Year
Oregon (9-4-2-1)
Washington (70-67-56-7)
Western Kentucky (99-93-69-55)
Marshall (102-84-82-74)
Rice (104-101-87-76)
Wyoming (108-104-100-77)
Buffalo (110-103-92-84)

Programs That Have Descended Every Year
Boise State (1-5-21-52)
TCU (5-18-31-36)
West Virginia (17-19-47-54)
Pittsburgh (24-47-51-58)
North Carolina (39-43-46-71)
NC State (22-58-63-67)
Nevada (27-62-71-111)
Air Force (44-68-101-115)
FIU (58-69-89-125)

Biggest Rise, 2010 - current
Utah State - 100 to 27
Baylor - 71 to 5
Washington - 70 to 7
UCLA - 79 to 19
Vanderbilt - 101 to 57

Biggest Fall, 2010 - current
Nevada - 27 to 111
Air Force - 44 to 115
FIU - 59 to 125
Troy - 50 to 113
Hawaii - 43 to 101

Steady Eddies, 2010 - current (smallest range of rankings)
Alabama (low: 1, high: 2)
Oklahoma (8, 10)
New Mexico (114, 120)
Stanford (4, 11)
South Carolina (13, 20)

Largest Range of Rankings, 2010 - current
Auburn (low: 3, high: 105)
Southern Miss (27, 117)
Nevada (27, 111)
Utah State (17, 100)
San Jose State (32, 113)


Here's the full list. A few things jumped out at me:
  • Texas A&M at 10 and Texas at 34. That's all you need to know about Mack Brown's employment situation.
  • Obviously, Bama at #1, then all SEC teams from 7-11. But the Pac 12 and Big 12 get two teams in the top 10.
  • Baylor has had a remarkable rise - better than USC, Nebraska, and Boise. Who would've guessed that four years ago?
Rk Team 2010 2011 2012 2013 Wtd. Avg.
1 Alabama 2 1 1 2 1.5
2 Oregon 9 4 2 1 2.7
3 Stanford 6 7 11 4 6.9
4 Florida State 18 10 5 8 8.5
5 Oklahoma 8 8 8 10 8.8
6 Oklahoma State 11 3 12 14 10.9
7 Georgia 29 14 6 9 11.1
8 LSU 15 2 10 16 11.3
9 Florida 34 34 4 3 12.6
10 Texas A&M 19 15 3 18 13
11 South Carolina 14 20 13 13 14.5
12 Michigan State 25 11 15 17 16
13 Wisconsin 12 6 16 23 16.4
14 Ohio State 4 36 14 15 17.8
15 Notre Dame 20 13 7 37 21.5
16 Baylor 71 26 30 5 23.3
17 Louisville 42 45 28 6 24
18 Clemson 26 33 22 22 24.6
19 Virginia Tech 10 24 43 20 26.7
20 USC 37 12 27 33 27.4
21 TCU 5 18 31 36 27.8
22 Nebraska 16 28 19 38 28.1
23 Boise State 1 5 21 52 28.2
24 Michigan 47 9 20 43 29.7
25 Penn State 48 31 25 31 30.9
26 Missouri 13 22 58 21 31.5
27 Miami-FL 23 32 65 11 32.6
28 BYU 58 40 23 34 34.3
29 Kansas State 55 29 9 51 34.4
30 Arizona State 41 44 41 26 35.6
31 Central Florida 33 52 36 28 35.7
32 Arizona 38 79 38 12 35.8
33 Cincinnati 52 23 26 46 36
34 Texas 65 21 24 50 37.9
35 Arkansas 7 16 60 41 38.3
36 Utah State 100 66 17 27 39.1
37 Northern Illinois 35 50 33 40 39.4
38 Washington 70 67 56 7 40
39 West Virginia 17 19 47 54 41.2
40 Iowa 21 46 72 25 42.9
41 UCLA 79 85 35 19 43
42 Utah 28 55 66 24 43.2
43 Oregon State 46 88 18 45 45.6
44 Tennessee 57 51 57 32 45.8
45 Georgia Tech 64 41 49 42 46.1
46 Texas Tech 56 78 45 29 46.3
47 Northwestern 73 59 29 47 46.6
48 Mississippi State 30 49 62 44 49
49 Ole Miss 60 100 40 30 50
50 Rutgers 84 30 39 60 50.1
51 Pittsburgh 24 47 51 58 50.3
52 North Carolina 39 43 46 71 54.7
53 Vanderbilt 101 39 50 57 55.7
54 Tulsa 53 37 42 78 56.5
55 Syracuse 67 71 37 62 56.8
56 Fresno State 74 91 34 56 58.2
57 Toledo 90 38 54 64 58.4
58 NC State 22 58 63 67 59.5
59 Illinois 32 53 108 35 60.2
60 Iowa State 85 72 55 59 63
61 San Diego State 31 70 44 82 63.1
62 Maryland 36 92 86 39 63.4
63 Houston 62 17 80 75 63.6
64 Auburn 3 65 105 48 64
65 Connecticut 63 54 61 79 67
66 Virginia 81 57 83 66 70.8
67 South Florida 40 35 73 95 70.9
68 East Carolina 66 81 90 53 71
69 Western Kentucky 99 93 69 55 71.2
70 Indiana 86 105 74 49 71.4
71 Ohio 80 56 68 80 71.6
72 San Jose State 113 82 32 87 72.1
73 Louisiana Tech 83 48 52 97 72.3
74 California 77 42 77 85 73.2
75 Bowling Green 109 77 67 70 74.4
76 SMU 61 61 70 91 75.7
77 Navy 51 73 97 68 76
78 Duke 78 75 81 73 76.3
79 Arkansas State 69 63 53 103 76.6
80 Ball State 112 95 64 69 77
81 Temple 75 25 84 104 79.3
82 UL-Lafayette 96 83 59 89 79.5
83 Boston College 49 74 88 86 80.5
84 Kentucky 54 86 112 61 80.6
85 Nevada 27 62 71 111 80.8
86 Marshall 102 84 82 74 81.2
87 Washington State 107 94 98 63 84.1
88 Minnesota 87 97 79 81 84.2
89 Southern Miss 45 27 117 100 85
90 Kent State 105 90 48 106 85.3
91 Purdue 88 76 76 99 86.4
92 Rice 104 101 87 76 87.1
93 Western Michigan 68 60 85 114 89.9
94 Wyoming 108 104 100 77 92.4
95 Buffalo 110 103 92 84 92.8
96 UL-Monroe 92 89 75 109 93.1
97 Air Force 44 68 101 115 94.3
98 Troy 50 107 78 113 95
99 Florida International 59 69 89 125 96.4
100 Army 76 99 106 96 97.6
101 North Texas 91 111 113 83 98.4
102 Hawaii 43 87 121 101 98.4
103 UAB 82 108 91 105 99.1
104 UTEP 98 96 93 107 99.7
105 Wake Forest 103 64 107 112 100
106 Colorado 72 110 124 90 102.4
107 Colorado State 114 106 119 88 103.5
108 Central Michigan 94 98 95 116 103.9
109 Tulane 106 114 111 94 104.3
110 Florida Atlantic 95 116 115 93 104.4
111 Middle Tennessee 89 115 96 110 104.7
112 Miami-OH 97 80 102 122 105.1
113 Kansas 111 112 104 102 105.5
114 Memphis 118 119 94 108 107
115 Akron 117 118 109 98 107.2
116 Eastern Michigan 115 102 110 119 112.5
117 UNLV 116 117 103 117 112.7
118 Idaho 93 113 120 120 115.9
119 New Mexico 119 120 114 118 117.3
120 New Mexico State 120 109 123 123 119.9

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