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It's still early in the 2013 season, but let's take a look at my spin on multi-year program rankings. Using the F/+ rankings for each team over the past four seasons, I weigh each team's ranking in each year as follows:
- 2013: 40%
- 2012: 30%
- 2011: 20%
- 2010: 10%
The way I see it, recruits (and fans, for that matter) care much more about what's happening NOW rather than what happened in the ancient past -- you know, five years ago. This weighting system and F/+ may not be perfect, but this is just for fun, right? (Based on the comments section in my last post, I'm not so sure anymore).
Okay, before I hit you with the list, let's look at a few interesting things.
Programs in the Top 5 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama
Programs in the Top 10 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama
Oregon
Oklahoma
Programs in the Top 20 in All 4 Seasons
Alabama (2-1-1-2)
Oregon (9-4-2-1)
Oklahoma (8-8-8-10)
Stanford (6-7-11-4)
Florida State (18-10-5-8)
LSU (15-2-10-16)
Oklahoma State (11-3-12-14)
Texas A&M (19-15-3-18)
South Carolina (14-20-13-13)
Programs That Have Ascended Every Year
Oregon (9-4-2-1)
Washington (70-67-56-7)
Western Kentucky (99-93-69-55)
Marshall (102-84-82-74)
Rice (104-101-87-76)
Wyoming (108-104-100-77)
Buffalo (110-103-92-84)
Programs That Have Descended Every Year
Boise State (1-5-21-52)
TCU (5-18-31-36)
West Virginia (17-19-47-54)
Pittsburgh (24-47-51-58)
North Carolina (39-43-46-71)
NC State (22-58-63-67)
Nevada (27-62-71-111)
Air Force (44-68-101-115)
FIU (58-69-89-125)
Biggest Rise, 2010 - current
Utah State - 100 to 27
Baylor - 71 to 5
Washington - 70 to 7
UCLA - 79 to 19
Vanderbilt - 101 to 57
Biggest Fall, 2010 - current
Nevada - 27 to 111
Air Force - 44 to 115
FIU - 59 to 125
Troy - 50 to 113
Hawaii - 43 to 101
Steady Eddies, 2010 - current (smallest range of rankings)
Alabama (low: 1, high: 2)
Oklahoma (8, 10)
New Mexico (114, 120)
Stanford (4, 11)
South Carolina (13, 20)
Largest Range of Rankings, 2010 - current
Auburn (low: 3, high: 105)
Southern Miss (27, 117)
Nevada (27, 111)
Utah State (17, 100)
San Jose State (32, 113)
Here's the full list. A few things jumped out at me:
- Texas A&M at 10 and Texas at 34. That's all you need to know about Mack Brown's employment situation.
- Obviously, Bama at #1, then all SEC teams from 7-11. But the Pac 12 and Big 12 get two teams in the top 10.
- Baylor has had a remarkable rise - better than USC, Nebraska, and Boise. Who would've guessed that four years ago?
Rk | Team | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | Wtd. Avg. |
1 | Alabama | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 |
2 | Oregon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2.7 |
3 | Stanford | 6 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 6.9 |
4 | Florida State | 18 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 8.5 |
5 | Oklahoma | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8.8 |
6 | Oklahoma State | 11 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 10.9 |
7 | Georgia | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 11.1 |
8 | LSU | 15 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 11.3 |
9 | Florida | 34 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 12.6 |
10 | Texas A&M | 19 | 15 | 3 | 18 | 13 |
11 | South Carolina | 14 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 14.5 |
12 | Michigan State | 25 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
13 | Wisconsin | 12 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 16.4 |
14 | Ohio State | 4 | 36 | 14 | 15 | 17.8 |
15 | Notre Dame | 20 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 21.5 |
16 | Baylor | 71 | 26 | 30 | 5 | 23.3 |
17 | Louisville | 42 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 24 |
18 | Clemson | 26 | 33 | 22 | 22 | 24.6 |
19 | Virginia Tech | 10 | 24 | 43 | 20 | 26.7 |
20 | USC | 37 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 27.4 |
21 | TCU | 5 | 18 | 31 | 36 | 27.8 |
22 | Nebraska | 16 | 28 | 19 | 38 | 28.1 |
23 | Boise State | 1 | 5 | 21 | 52 | 28.2 |
24 | Michigan | 47 | 9 | 20 | 43 | 29.7 |
25 | Penn State | 48 | 31 | 25 | 31 | 30.9 |
26 | Missouri | 13 | 22 | 58 | 21 | 31.5 |
27 | Miami-FL | 23 | 32 | 65 | 11 | 32.6 |
28 | BYU | 58 | 40 | 23 | 34 | 34.3 |
29 | Kansas State | 55 | 29 | 9 | 51 | 34.4 |
30 | Arizona State | 41 | 44 | 41 | 26 | 35.6 |
31 | Central Florida | 33 | 52 | 36 | 28 | 35.7 |
32 | Arizona | 38 | 79 | 38 | 12 | 35.8 |
33 | Cincinnati | 52 | 23 | 26 | 46 | 36 |
34 | Texas | 65 | 21 | 24 | 50 | 37.9 |
35 | Arkansas | 7 | 16 | 60 | 41 | 38.3 |
36 | Utah State | 100 | 66 | 17 | 27 | 39.1 |
37 | Northern Illinois | 35 | 50 | 33 | 40 | 39.4 |
38 | Washington | 70 | 67 | 56 | 7 | 40 |
39 | West Virginia | 17 | 19 | 47 | 54 | 41.2 |
40 | Iowa | 21 | 46 | 72 | 25 | 42.9 |
41 | UCLA | 79 | 85 | 35 | 19 | 43 |
42 | Utah | 28 | 55 | 66 | 24 | 43.2 |
43 | Oregon State | 46 | 88 | 18 | 45 | 45.6 |
44 | Tennessee | 57 | 51 | 57 | 32 | 45.8 |
45 | Georgia Tech | 64 | 41 | 49 | 42 | 46.1 |
46 | Texas Tech | 56 | 78 | 45 | 29 | 46.3 |
47 | Northwestern | 73 | 59 | 29 | 47 | 46.6 |
48 | Mississippi State | 30 | 49 | 62 | 44 | 49 |
49 | Ole Miss | 60 | 100 | 40 | 30 | 50 |
50 | Rutgers | 84 | 30 | 39 | 60 | 50.1 |
51 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 47 | 51 | 58 | 50.3 |
52 | North Carolina | 39 | 43 | 46 | 71 | 54.7 |
53 | Vanderbilt | 101 | 39 | 50 | 57 | 55.7 |
54 | Tulsa | 53 | 37 | 42 | 78 | 56.5 |
55 | Syracuse | 67 | 71 | 37 | 62 | 56.8 |
56 | Fresno State | 74 | 91 | 34 | 56 | 58.2 |
57 | Toledo | 90 | 38 | 54 | 64 | 58.4 |
58 | NC State | 22 | 58 | 63 | 67 | 59.5 |
59 | Illinois | 32 | 53 | 108 | 35 | 60.2 |
60 | Iowa State | 85 | 72 | 55 | 59 | 63 |
61 | San Diego State | 31 | 70 | 44 | 82 | 63.1 |
62 | Maryland | 36 | 92 | 86 | 39 | 63.4 |
63 | Houston | 62 | 17 | 80 | 75 | 63.6 |
64 | Auburn | 3 | 65 | 105 | 48 | 64 |
65 | Connecticut | 63 | 54 | 61 | 79 | 67 |
66 | Virginia | 81 | 57 | 83 | 66 | 70.8 |
67 | South Florida | 40 | 35 | 73 | 95 | 70.9 |
68 | East Carolina | 66 | 81 | 90 | 53 | 71 |
69 | Western Kentucky | 99 | 93 | 69 | 55 | 71.2 |
70 | Indiana | 86 | 105 | 74 | 49 | 71.4 |
71 | Ohio | 80 | 56 | 68 | 80 | 71.6 |
72 | San Jose State | 113 | 82 | 32 | 87 | 72.1 |
73 | Louisiana Tech | 83 | 48 | 52 | 97 | 72.3 |
74 | California | 77 | 42 | 77 | 85 | 73.2 |
75 | Bowling Green | 109 | 77 | 67 | 70 | 74.4 |
76 | SMU | 61 | 61 | 70 | 91 | 75.7 |
77 | Navy | 51 | 73 | 97 | 68 | 76 |
78 | Duke | 78 | 75 | 81 | 73 | 76.3 |
79 | Arkansas State | 69 | 63 | 53 | 103 | 76.6 |
80 | Ball State | 112 | 95 | 64 | 69 | 77 |
81 | Temple | 75 | 25 | 84 | 104 | 79.3 |
82 | UL-Lafayette | 96 | 83 | 59 | 89 | 79.5 |
83 | Boston College | 49 | 74 | 88 | 86 | 80.5 |
84 | Kentucky | 54 | 86 | 112 | 61 | 80.6 |
85 | Nevada | 27 | 62 | 71 | 111 | 80.8 |
86 | Marshall | 102 | 84 | 82 | 74 | 81.2 |
87 | Washington State | 107 | 94 | 98 | 63 | 84.1 |
88 | Minnesota | 87 | 97 | 79 | 81 | 84.2 |
89 | Southern Miss | 45 | 27 | 117 | 100 | 85 |
90 | Kent State | 105 | 90 | 48 | 106 | 85.3 |
91 | Purdue | 88 | 76 | 76 | 99 | 86.4 |
92 | Rice | 104 | 101 | 87 | 76 | 87.1 |
93 | Western Michigan | 68 | 60 | 85 | 114 | 89.9 |
94 | Wyoming | 108 | 104 | 100 | 77 | 92.4 |
95 | Buffalo | 110 | 103 | 92 | 84 | 92.8 |
96 | UL-Monroe | 92 | 89 | 75 | 109 | 93.1 |
97 | Air Force | 44 | 68 | 101 | 115 | 94.3 |
98 | Troy | 50 | 107 | 78 | 113 | 95 |
99 | Florida International | 59 | 69 | 89 | 125 | 96.4 |
100 | Army | 76 | 99 | 106 | 96 | 97.6 |
101 | North Texas | 91 | 111 | 113 | 83 | 98.4 |
102 | Hawaii | 43 | 87 | 121 | 101 | 98.4 |
103 | UAB | 82 | 108 | 91 | 105 | 99.1 |
104 | UTEP | 98 | 96 | 93 | 107 | 99.7 |
105 | Wake Forest | 103 | 64 | 107 | 112 | 100 |
106 | Colorado | 72 | 110 | 124 | 90 | 102.4 |
107 | Colorado State | 114 | 106 | 119 | 88 | 103.5 |
108 | Central Michigan | 94 | 98 | 95 | 116 | 103.9 |
109 | Tulane | 106 | 114 | 111 | 94 | 104.3 |
110 | Florida Atlantic | 95 | 116 | 115 | 93 | 104.4 |
111 | Middle Tennessee | 89 | 115 | 96 | 110 | 104.7 |
112 | Miami-OH | 97 | 80 | 102 | 122 | 105.1 |
113 | Kansas | 111 | 112 | 104 | 102 | 105.5 |
114 | Memphis | 118 | 119 | 94 | 108 | 107 |
115 | Akron | 117 | 118 | 109 | 98 | 107.2 |
116 | Eastern Michigan | 115 | 102 | 110 | 119 | 112.5 |
117 | UNLV | 116 | 117 | 103 | 117 | 112.7 |
118 | Idaho | 93 | 113 | 120 | 120 | 115.9 |
119 | New Mexico | 119 | 120 | 114 | 118 | 117.3 |
120 | New Mexico State | 120 | 109 | 123 | 123 | 119.9 |
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