This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 4’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- Miami (+48.9% vs. FIU)
- Michigan (+40.9% vs. Nebraska)
- Ohio State (+30.2% vs. Tulane)
- Clemson (+28.5% vs. Georgia Tech)
- Notre Dame (+26.4% vs. Wake Forest)
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- Arizona (+5.3 vs. Oregon State)
- Maryland (+4.8 vs. Minnesota)
- Oklahoma (+4.5 vs. Army)
- Clemson (+4.1 vs. Georgia Tech)
- Ole Miss (+4.0 vs. Kent State)
So wait, is Arizona decent now? Up to No. 55 in S&P+ again after dominating Oregon State far more than the 35-14 margin suggested.
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- Auburn (+26.0 vs. Arkansas)
- SMU (+20.7 vs. Navy)
- Michigan (+15.9 vs. Nebraska)
- Toledo (+14.0 vs. Nevada)
- Florid (+13.5 vs. Tennessee)
Auburn got out-gained by Arkansas by 65 yards, and while there’s plenty to worry about there (3.9 yards per play, 30 percent success rate ... against Arkansas ... woof), the yardage margin was misleading, as Auburn’s hidden yardage totals — about 350 yards in field position alone — certainly skewed that a bit.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- North Texas (+4.7 vs. Liberty)
- Maryland (+4.4 vs. Minnesota)
- Ohio State (+3.8 vs. Tulane)
- Michigan State (+3.7 vs. Indiana)
- Baylor (+3.7 vs. Kansas)
Indiana created six scoring opportunities to Michigan State’s four ... and lost by 14. Hard to do.
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- Georgia Tech (+4.7 vs. Clemson)
- Texas (+3.7 vs. TCU)
- Maryland (+3.6 vs. Minnesota)
- UCF (+3.4 vs. FAU)
- Alabama (+2.9 vs. Texas A&M)
Translation: Georgia Tech had a turnover margin that was +4.7 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Yellow Jackets enjoyed about a 23- to 24-point boost thanks to turnovers luck.
In a 28-point loss. Guh.
Meanwhile, nice win, Texas. You were pretty lucky, but nice win.