clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Week 7 college football Five Factors box scores

New, 3 comments

Michigan State recovered every fumble and benefited from dropped INTs against Penn State. That, and more from week 7.

Michigan State v Penn State Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 6’s superior performances in each category are below.

Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)

  1. Maryland (+31% vs. Rutgers)
  2. Alabama (+26% vs. Missouri)
  3. Florida (+24% vs. Vandy)
  4. Miami (Ohio) (+23% vs. Kent State)
  5. Fresno State (+23% vs. Wyoming)

Despite the early deficit, Florida’s post-game win probability against Vandy was nearly 100 percent. This tells you why.

Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)

  1. UAB (+4.7 vs. Rice)
  2. Alabama (+4.0 vs. Missouri)
  3. Utah State (+3.9 vs. UNLV)
  4. Purdue (+3.4 vs. Illinois)
  5. Maryland (+3.4 vs. Rutgers)

Rice is bad, but ... UAB is good, y’all.

Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)

  1. Fresno State (+21.4 vs. Wyoming)
  2. Army (+19.4 vs. SJSU)
  3. Nevada (+17.5 vs. Boise State)
  4. Temple (+15.3 vs. Navy)
  5. Marshall (+14.3 vs. ODU)

Field position nearly flipped a pretty big upset bid for Nevada.

Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)

  1. North Texas (+6.4 vs. Southern Miss)
  2. UAB (+5.0 vs. Rice)
  3. Louisiana Tech (+4.4 vs. UTSA)
  4. Iowa (+4.2 vs. Indiana)
  5. Wisconsin (+3.7 vs. Michigan)

Goodness, just imagine how bad the Wisconsin-Michigan game could’ve been if Michigan had finished drives...

Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)

  1. Michigan State (+4.1 vs. Penn State)
  2. Houston (+3.8 vs. ECU)
  3. Appalachian State (+3.7 vs. Arkansas State)
  4. NIU (+3.1 vs. Ohio)
  5. UCLA (+2.9 vs. Cal)

Translation: Michigan State had a turnover margin that was +4.1 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Spartans enjoyed about a 20- to 21-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a four-point win. I swear, that happens every single time Sparty plays PSU, Michigan, or Ohio State, doesn’t it...