This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 6’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- Maryland (+31% vs. Rutgers)
- Alabama (+26% vs. Missouri)
- Florida (+24% vs. Vandy)
- Miami (Ohio) (+23% vs. Kent State)
- Fresno State (+23% vs. Wyoming)
Despite the early deficit, Florida’s post-game win probability against Vandy was nearly 100 percent. This tells you why.
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- UAB (+4.7 vs. Rice)
- Alabama (+4.0 vs. Missouri)
- Utah State (+3.9 vs. UNLV)
- Purdue (+3.4 vs. Illinois)
- Maryland (+3.4 vs. Rutgers)
Rice is bad, but ... UAB is good, y’all.
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- Fresno State (+21.4 vs. Wyoming)
- Army (+19.4 vs. SJSU)
- Nevada (+17.5 vs. Boise State)
- Temple (+15.3 vs. Navy)
- Marshall (+14.3 vs. ODU)
Field position nearly flipped a pretty big upset bid for Nevada.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- North Texas (+6.4 vs. Southern Miss)
- UAB (+5.0 vs. Rice)
- Louisiana Tech (+4.4 vs. UTSA)
- Iowa (+4.2 vs. Indiana)
- Wisconsin (+3.7 vs. Michigan)
Goodness, just imagine how bad the Wisconsin-Michigan game could’ve been if Michigan had finished drives...
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- Michigan State (+4.1 vs. Penn State)
- Houston (+3.8 vs. ECU)
- Appalachian State (+3.7 vs. Arkansas State)
- NIU (+3.1 vs. Ohio)
- UCLA (+2.9 vs. Cal)
Translation: Michigan State had a turnover margin that was +4.1 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Spartans enjoyed about a 20- to 21-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a four-point win. I swear, that happens every single time Sparty plays PSU, Michigan, or Ohio State, doesn’t it...