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1997 was my freshman year at Missouri. I grew up in Oklahoma, and college football was always my favorite sport, but I still wasn't completely immersed in it until I attended a major-conference school and got to see other teams up close.
As the Internet was still a recent invention, my relationship with Mizzou to date had been mostly looking at the tiny box scores in the Sunday edition of the Daily Oklahoman. But this was a truly immersive experience and changed my relationship with both my eventual alma mater and my sport.
I saw Ohio State up close and personal that year (though not quite as up close as Corby Jones did). I saw an inexplicable road loss (Kansas 15, Mizzou 7). I saw the Flea Kicker.
I apparently didn't, however, see the best team in the country, an FSU team that chose the wrong season to suffer a late loss.
This was the year before the BCS went into effect, but until FSU's late three-point loss at Florida, college football was plunging toward a nightmare scenario even the BCS couldn't have solved. As of the November 17 polls, AP No. 1 Michigan, No. 2 Florida State, and No. 3 Nebraska were all unbeaten. No. 4 Ohio State had lost only to No. 6 Penn State (and by four on the road). No. 5 Tennessee had lost only to No. 10 Florida (again on the road). This would have been the perfect season for a playoff race.
As it stood, the old, dumb bowl structure was in place, and while we finished with only two unbeaten teams, they didn't even get to play each other. Michigan beat Washington State in the Rose Bowl, Nebraska rocked Tennessee in the Orange Bowl, and we ended up with our third split national title in eight years.
We forget this now, but wow, were we ready for the BCS. And for all of its failures (mostly of the "failing to figure out how to get three teams on the same field" variety), it gave us a sure No. 1 vs. No. 2. That was a massive, belated step forward.
| S&P+ Rk | Team | Record | Est S&P+ | Percentile | Off. S&P+ | Rk | Def. S&P+ | Rk |
| 1 | Florida State | 11-1 | 25.8 | 98.96% | 39.9 | 2 | 14.2 | 4 |
| 2 | Nebraska | 13-0 | 23.6 | 98.28% | 43.4 | 1 | 19.9 | 26 |
| 3 | Florida | 10-2 | 21.6 | 97.36% | 37.3 | 7 | 15.7 | 7 |
| 4 | Tennessee | 11-2 | 20.1 | 96.48% | 37.6 | 6 | 17.4 | 16 |
| 5 | Washington | 8-4 | 19.8 | 96.22% | 38.2 | 5 | 18.4 | 20 |
| 6 | Michigan | 12-0 | 18.8 | 95.46% | 27.5 | 45 | 8.6 | 1 |
| 7 | Ohio State | 10-3 | 18.5 | 95.14% | 30.9 | 20 | 12.4 | 2 |
| 8 | UCLA | 10-2 | 18.4 | 95.03% | 39.4 | 3 | 21.1 | 31 |
| 9 | Kansas State | 11-1 | 16.3 | 92.87% | 32.9 | 15 | 16.6 | 9 |
| 10 | Auburn | 10-3 | 15.6 | 91.92% | 30.4 | 22 | 14.9 | 5 |
| 11 | Colorado State | 11-2 | 15.0 | 91.05% | 33.6 | 13 | 18.7 | 23 |
| 12 | Georgia | 10-2 | 14.4 | 90.26% | 31.2 | 19 | 16.7 | 11 |
| 13 | North Carolina | 11-1 | 14.1 | 89.71% | 27.6 | 42 | 13.5 | 3 |
| 14 | Washington State | 10-2 | 13.1 | 88.04% | 39.1 | 4 | 26.0 | 66 |
| 15 | LSU | 9-3 | 11.7 | 85.28% | 29.2 | 29 | 17.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Arizona State | 9-3 | 11.4 | 84.69% | 27.9 | 39 | 16.5 | 8 |
| 17 | Ole Miss | 8-4 | 11.0 | 83.76% | 26.5 | 51 | 15.6 | 6 |
| 18 | Marshall | 10-3 | 10.9 | 83.52% | 34.1 | 10 | 23.3 | 44 |
| 19 | Michigan State | 7-5 | 10.7 | 83.21% | 29.5 | 27 | 18.7 | 24 |
| 20 | Miami-OH | 8-3 | 10.2 | 81.94% | 34.1 | 11 | 24.0 | 50 |
| 21 | Oregon | 7-5 | 9.8 | 81.00% | 35.4 | 8 | 25.6 | 60 |
| 22 | Iowa | 7-5 | 9.3 | 79.94% | 27.5 | 43 | 18.2 | 19 |
| 23 | Colorado | 5-6 | 9.1 | 79.19% | 31.6 | 17 | 22.5 | 42 |
| 24 | USC | 6-5 | 8.9 | 78.72% | 25.6 | 57 | 16.7 | 10 |
| 25 | Syracuse | 9-4 | 8.8 | 78.61% | 30.1 | 25 | 21.2 | 32 |
| S&P+ Rk | Team | Record | Est S&P+ | Percentile | Off. S&P+ | Rk | Def. S&P+ | Rk |
| 26 | Southern Miss | 9-3 | 8.5 | 77.76% | 27.0 | 46 | 18.5 | 21 |
| 27 | Clemson | 7-5 | 8.4 | 77.36% | 25.8 | 56 | 17.4 | 14 |
| 28 | Arizona | 7-5 | 8.2 | 77.03% | 30.3 | 23 | 22.1 | 39 |
| 29 | Penn State | 9-3 | 8.1 | 76.72% | 29.9 | 26 | 21.8 | 36 |
| 30 | Georgia Tech | 7-5 | 7.4 | 74.80% | 29.1 | 30 | 21.7 | 34 |
| 31 | Purdue | 9-3 | 7.4 | 74.54% | 31.3 | 18 | 24.0 | 51 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | 9-4 | 7.2 | 74.17% | 29.3 | 28 | 22.1 | 38 |
| 33 | Notre Dame | 7-6 | 6.8 | 72.80% | 24.4 | 62 | 17.6 | 18 |
| 34 | Virginia | 7-4 | 6.7 | 72.63% | 27.6 | 41 | 20.9 | 30 |
| 35 | NC State | 6-5 | 6.3 | 71.30% | 30.1 | 24 | 23.8 | 49 |
| 36 | Central Florida | 5-6 | 6.1 | 70.69% | 34.0 | 12 | 27.9 | 74 |
| 37 | Missouri | 7-5 | 5.4 | 68.75% | 34.4 | 9 | 29.0 | 82 |
| 38 | Mississippi State | 7-4 | 5.1 | 67.68% | 22.5 | 73 | 17.4 | 15 |
| 39 | Wyoming | 7-6 | 4.9 | 66.87% | 23.5 | 70 | 18.7 | 22 |
| 40 | South Carolina | 5-6 | 4.8 | 66.73% | 26.8 | 47 | 22.0 | 37 |
| 41 | Toledo | 9-3 | 4.4 | 65.25% | 28.2 | 36 | 23.8 | 48 |
| 42 | Alabama | 4-7 | 4.1 | 64.48% | 24.5 | 61 | 20.3 | 27 |
| 43 | Ohio | 8-3 | 3.8 | 63.32% | 23.2 | 71 | 19.4 | 25 |
| 44 | New Mexico | 9-4 | 3.4 | 62.03% | 28.2 | 37 | 24.8 | 54 |
| 45 | Tulane | 7-4 | 3.1 | 60.86% | 28.8 | 33 | 25.8 | 61 |
| 46 | Air Force | 10-3 | 2.9 | 60.21% | 20.1 | 91 | 17.2 | 12 |
| 47 | Stanford | 5-6 | 2.8 | 60.04% | 28.4 | 34 | 25.6 | 59 |
| 48 | Oklahoma State | 8-4 | 2.4 | 58.42% | 25.5 | 58 | 23.2 | 43 |
| 49 | West Virginia | 7-5 | 2.1 | 57.34% | 27.9 | 38 | 25.9 | 64 |
| 50 | Virginia Tech | 7-5 | 1.5 | 55.29% | 23.7 | 68 | 22.2 | 41 |
| S&P+ Rk | Team | Record | Est S&P+ | Percentile | Off. S&P+ | Rk | Def. S&P+ | Rk |
| 51 | Navy | 7-4 | 1.5 | 55.21% | 27.5 | 44 | 26.1 | 67 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | 6-5 | 1.0 | 53.40% | 21.4 | 81 | 20.5 | 28 |
| 53 | Northwestern | 5-7 | 0.7 | 52.49% | 22.4 | 75 | 21.7 | 35 |
| 54 | Kentucky | 5-6 | 0.5 | 51.94% | 32.6 | 16 | 32.1 | 91 |
| 55 | Arkansas | 4-7 | 0.4 | 51.48% | 21.3 | 85 | 20.9 | 29 |
| 56 | California | 3-8 | 0.3 | 51.10% | 29.0 | 32 | 28.7 | 80 |
| 57 | Utah State | 6-6 | 0.1 | 50.48% | 29.1 | 31 | 28.9 | 81 |
| 58 | Cincinnati | 8-4 | 0.1 | 50.36% | 23.9 | 64 | 23.8 | 47 |
| 59 | Nevada | 5-6 | -0.3 | 48.93% | 30.5 | 21 | 30.8 | 88 |
| 60 | SMU | 6-5 | -0.4 | 48.46% | 21.7 | 79 | 22.2 | 40 |
| 61 | Rice | 7-4 | -0.6 | 47.94% | 26.6 | 50 | 27.2 | 71 |
| 62 | Fresno State | 6-6 | -0.6 | 47.84% | 25.3 | 59 | 25.9 | 65 |
| 63 | Wisconsin | 8-5 | -1.2 | 45.70% | 22.3 | 76 | 23.5 | 45 |
| 64 | Wake Forest | 5-6 | -1.2 | 45.69% | 23.6 | 69 | 24.8 | 55 |
| 65 | Miami-FL | 5-6 | -1.4 | 44.82% | 26.5 | 52 | 28.0 | 75 |
| 66 | Utah | 6-5 | -1.5 | 44.66% | 19.8 | 93 | 21.3 | 33 |
| 67 | BYU | 6-5 | -1.6 | 44.39% | 22.1 | 77 | 23.7 | 46 |
| 68 | San Diego State | 5-7 | -1.7 | 44.01% | 23.7 | 66 | 25.4 | 57 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | 3-8 | -3.8 | 36.53% | 13.5 | 110 | 17.3 | 13 |
| 70 | Western Michigan | 8-3 | -4.0 | 36.04% | 23.7 | 65 | 27.7 | 73 |
| 71 | East Carolina | 5-6 | -4.4 | 34.53% | 21.0 | 86 | 25.5 | 58 |
| 72 | Oregon State | 3-8 | -4.6 | 33.93% | 19.5 | 96 | 24.1 | 52 |
| 73 | Duke | 2-9 | -5.1 | 32.41% | 23.1 | 72 | 28.2 | 77 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | 9-2 | -5.5 | 31.20% | 26.6 | 49 | 32.1 | 92 |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | 4-7 | -5.5 | 31.06% | 28.3 | 35 | 33.8 | 98 |
| S&P+ Rk | Team | Record | Est S&P+ | Percentile | Off. S&P+ | Rk | Def. S&P+ | Rk |
| 76 | Pittsburgh | 6-6 | -5.6 | 30.87% | 25.9 | 55 | 31.5 | 90 |
| 77 | Bowling Green | 3-8 | -5.6 | 30.85% | 21.4 | 83 | 26.9 | 70 |
| 78 | Texas | 4-7 | -5.7 | 30.33% | 26.7 | 48 | 32.4 | 94 |
| 79 | Ball State | 5-6 | -5.8 | 30.12% | 20.5 | 89 | 26.3 | 68 |
| 80 | Oklahoma | 4-8 | -6.0 | 29.43% | 22.4 | 74 | 28.5 | 79 |
| 81 | Minnesota | 3-9 | -6.3 | 28.69% | 20.7 | 87 | 26.9 | 69 |
| 82 | Kansas | 5-6 | -7.8 | 24.15% | 16.8 | 102 | 24.6 | 53 |
| 83 | Memphis | 4-7 | -8.1 | 23.48% | 16.9 | 101 | 24.9 | 56 |
| 84 | Indiana | 2-9 | -8.3 | 22.91% | 17.6 | 99 | 25.9 | 63 |
| 85 | Boston College | 4-7 | -8.7 | 21.65% | 20.7 | 88 | 29.4 | 84 |
| 86 | UNLV | 3-8 | -9.3 | 20.22% | 23.7 | 67 | 33.0 | 95 |
| 87 | Maryland | 2-9 | -9.4 | 19.94% | 18.7 | 98 | 28.1 | 76 |
| 88 | Baylor | 2-9 | -9.5 | 19.60% | 21.4 | 82 | 30.9 | 89 |
| 89 | Akron | 2-9 | -9.6 | 19.37% | 24.9 | 60 | 34.6 | 102 |
| 90 | Boise State | 4-7 | -9.9 | 18.79% | 24.3 | 63 | 34.2 | 100 |
| 91 | Kent | 3-8 | -9.9 | 18.66% | 33.2 | 14 | 43.1 | 111 |
| 92 | Tulsa | 2-9 | -10.2 | 18.03% | 26.1 | 54 | 36.3 | 104 |
| 93 | Hawaii | 3-9 | -11.5 | 15.05% | 14.3 | 108 | 25.8 | 62 |
| 94 | UL-Monroe | 5-7 | -11.5 | 15.04% | 18.9 | 97 | 30.4 | 86 |
| 95 | Iowa State | 1-10 | -11.9 | 14.32% | 26.3 | 53 | 38.2 | 106 |
| 96 | Army | 4-7 | -12.9 | 12.30% | 16.6 | 103 | 29.5 | 85 |
| 97 | Idaho | 5-6 | -13.0 | 12.24% | 20.2 | 90 | 33.1 | 97 |
| 98 | Temple | 3-8 | -13.0 | 12.09% | 20.0 | 92 | 33.0 | 96 |
| 99 | San Jose State | 4-7 | -13.1 | 12.04% | 21.3 | 84 | 34.4 | 101 |
| 100 | Houston | 3-8 | -13.5 | 11.34% | 21.8 | 78 | 35.2 | 103 |
| S&P+ Rk | Team | Record | Est S&P+ | Percentile | Off. S&P+ | Rk | Def. S&P+ | Rk |
| 101 | UTEP | 4-7 | -14.0 | 10.51% | 14.5 | 107 | 28.4 | 78 |
| 102 | Central Michigan | 2-9 | -14.1 | 10.22% | 27.7 | 40 | 41.8 | 109 |
| 103 | Illinois | 0-11 | -14.2 | 10.14% | 15.0 | 105 | 29.2 | 83 |
| 104 | UAB | 5-6 | -14.6 | 9.53% | 12.8 | 111 | 27.3 | 72 |
| 105 | TCU | 1-10 | -16.1 | 7.46% | 14.5 | 106 | 30.6 | 87 |
| 106 | Louisville | 1-10 | -16.6 | 6.86% | 21.4 | 80 | 38.0 | 105 |
| 107 | North Texas | 4-7 | -16.7 | 6.64% | 17.4 | 100 | 34.2 | 99 |
| 108 | Northern Illinois | 0-11 | -18.0 | 5.35% | 14.2 | 109 | 32.2 | 93 |
| 109 | Rutgers | 0-11 | -23.2 | 1.86% | 19.7 | 94 | 42.9 | 110 |
| 110 | New Mexico State | 2-9 | -24.4 | 1.43% | 15.6 | 104 | 40.0 | 108 |
| 111 | UL-Lafayette | 1-10 | -24.9 | 1.26% | 19.6 | 95 | 44.5 | 112 |
| 112 | Arkansas State | 2-9 | -26.9 | 0.79% | 11.7 | 112 | 38.6 | 107 |
What a playoff race this could have been
The AP top five at the end of the regular season was 1 Michigan, 2 Nebraska, 3 Tennessee, 4 Florida State, 5 UCLA.
These Est. S&P+ rankings at the end of the regular season were 1 FSU, 2 Nebraska, 3 Florida, 4 Tennessee, 5 Michigan.
Conference champions: 11-0 Michigan, 12-0 Nebraska, 11-1 Tennessee, 10-1 FSU, 10-1 Washington State. UCLA had begun the season 0-2 then won nine games in a row. Florida was 9-2 but with wins over both Tennessee and FSU.
Hell, this would have been a perfect year for an eight-team playoff.
As it stood, with the hypothetical four-team playoff that I talk about in each of these year-in-review pieces, I think Wazzu gets left out. The Cougars had lost on the road to a solid Arizona State team, but Tennessee and FSU had both lost to a better Florida team. And despite wins over good UCLA, USC and Washington teams, Wazzu ranked just 15th in Est. S&P+ at the end of the regular season. I'm figuring a Playoff would have given us matchups of 1 Nebraska vs. 4 Tennessee and 2 Michigan vs. 3 FSU, though that seeding could have worked out in a lot of different ways.
Uh ... Washington?
In 1997, Washington pulled off an even more extreme version of what it accomplished in 2015 -- lose to good teams (usually by tight margins) and wreak havoc in wins. UW beat four top-30 teams (ASU, Michigan State, USC, Arizona) by an average score of 41-16, which is remarkable. The Huskies spent most of the year playing like the top-five team they were supposed to be. But quarterback Brock Huard battled injuries, and they faded late, losing three in a row to No. 21 Oregon (31-28), No. 8 UCLA (52-28), and No. 14 Washington State (41-35).
Huge wins over good teams and mostly competitive losses to even better teams? That's how you end up grading out well. Fourth surprises me, but Washington certainly seems like a team that would have been perfectly fine over a 30- or 50-game season. The 11-game sample was not kind, though.
Missouri: 9th on offense, 82nd on defense
Yeah, that sounds about right.
1996 is on the clock.
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