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Since we have data on which offenses spread defenses out and on average pace of play, it's fairly easy to combine these two datasets to see which offenses are the most prototypically hurry up no huddle (HUNH).
A while back, Bill C. used solo tackle percentages to get a read on which offenses were spreading defenses out the most.
Whether a team is actually doing it well or not, the spread is designed to create numbers advantages and get the ball-carrier away from a mass of tacklers. That often leads to solo tackles. So which offensive systems led to the most solo tackles?
Meanwhile, you can compare the number of plays to the number of expected plays to get a strong look at pace:
When you take those raw pace numbers and adjust them based on how often teams ran the ball (since running plays naturally burn more clock than passing plays; see more on Bill Connelly's Adjusted Pace stat here), they all still occupy positions in the top 10.
But that adjustment shows some run-heavy teams like Air Force use more tempo than it appears. Air Force used a somewhat average number of seconds per play (23.1), but moved four seconds per play faster than it would be expected to. Adjusting the seconds-per-play figure ranks the Falcons as the country's eighth-fastest offense.
Combining these datasets was pretty quick, methods-wise. I simply did 1-% solo tackles for all offenses, then multiplied that value by a team's Adjusted Pace score.
The resulting list of teams seems to pass the eye test, with lightning-fast spread teams like Baylor, Arizona, and Oregon near the top, and slower-moving pro-style teams like LSU, Arkansas, and Stanford near the bottom. There's a statistically significant relationship between the HUNH variable and Offensive S&P+, with an R-squared of around 8%.
Rank | Team | Off S&P+ | Pace | 1-% solo | HUNH? |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bowling Green | 25.7 | -4.7 | 33.60% | -1.5792 |
2 | Oregon | 46.1 | -4.7 | 27.60% | -1.2972 |
3 | Air Force | 29.8 | -3.9 | 28.50% | -1.1115 |
4 | North Carolina | 35.7 | -4.4 | 22.40% | -0.9856 |
5 | Baylor | 41.4 | -5.8 | 16.90% | -0.9802 |
6 | Marshall | 39.6 | -2.8 | 34.60% | -0.9688 |
7 | New Mexico State | 21.5 | -2.8 | 34.00% | -0.9520 |
8 | Mississippi State | 40.0 | -2.9 | 32.20% | -0.9338 |
9 | BYU | 31.7 | -4.4 | 21.20% | -0.9328 |
10 | Northern Illinois | 28.0 | -3.3 | 27.10% | -0.8943 |
11 | UAB | 28.2 | -3.1 | 27.80% | -0.8618 |
12 | Arizona | 34.8 | -4.9 | 16.10% | -0.7889 |
13 | West Virginia | 32.4 | -3.9 | 19.20% | -0.7488 |
14 | Memphis | 26.7 | -3.9 | 16.80% | -0.6552 |
15 | Texas State | 26.6 | -3.1 | 19.70% | -0.6107 |
16 | Massachusetts | 21.7 | -1.7 | 34.10% | -0.5797 |
17 | Texas A&M | 37.6 | -1.9 | 28.60% | -0.5434 |
18 | TCU | 37.8 | -2.5 | 21.40% | -0.5350 |
19 | California | 35.2 | -1.9 | 27.90% | -0.5301 |
20 | Indiana | 27.7 | -2.1 | 24.40% | -0.5124 |
21 | East Carolina | 29.6 | -1.7 | 29.30% | -0.4981 |
22 | Duke | 27.6 | -1.4 | 34.90% | -0.4886 |
23 | Arkansas State | 31.4 | -3.2 | 14.90% | -0.4768 |
24 | Auburn | 44.7 | -1.8 | 25.00% | -0.4500 |
25 | UNLV | 23.5 | -1.9 | 23.50% | -0.4465 |
26 | Northwestern | 21.1 | -1.7 | 25.50% | -0.4335 |
27 | Washington | 26.0 | -2.1 | 20.50% | -0.4305 |
28 | Fresno State | 23.7 | -2.3 | 18.30% | -0.4209 |
29 | Western Kentucky | 40.1 | -2.0 | 20.60% | -0.4120 |
30 | Utah | 30.7 | -1.6 | 25.70% | -0.4112 |
31 | Nebraska | 35.4 | -1.4 | 28.50% | -0.3990 |
32 | UCLA | 41.0 | -2.0 | 18.00% | -0.3600 |
33 | Cincinnati | 35.1 | -1.1 | 31.60% | -0.3476 |
34 | Georgia | 41.8 | -1.1 | 30.60% | -0.3366 |
35 | Texas Tech | 36.3 | -2.2 | 14.70% | -0.3234 |
36 | Arizona State | 35.4 | -2.1 | 14.90% | -0.3129 |
37 | Kentucky | 27.7 | -0.9 | 32.30% | -0.2907 |
38 | Tennessee | 32.5 | -1.3 | 21.20% | -0.2756 |
39 | Florida | 27.9 | -0.9 | 27.80% | -0.2502 |
40 | Middle Tennessee | 29.2 | -1.2 | 20.70% | -0.2484 |
41 | Toledo | 34.4 | -0.8 | 30.00% | -0.2400 |
42 | Oklahoma State | 28.1 | -1.1 | 21.50% | -0.2365 |
43 | Hawaii | 16.5 | -1.6 | 14.30% | -0.2288 |
44 | Navy | 35.5 | -0.7 | 29.00% | -0.2030 |
45 | Ole Miss | 34.5 | -0.7 | 28.90% | -0.2023 |
46 | Houston | 23.1 | -0.7 | 28.50% | -0.1995 |
47 | Oklahoma | 39.1 | -0.7 | 26.70% | -0.1869 |
48 | Iowa State | 28.7 | -0.8 | 23.20% | -0.1856 |
49 | Appalachian State | 21.8 | -0.7 | 25.20% | -0.1764 |
50 | Ohio State | 47.6 | -0.6 | 27.50% | -0.1650 |
51 | Idaho | 26.4 | -0.7 | 22.50% | -0.1575 |
52 | USC | 37.6 | -0.6 | 24.00% | -0.1440 |
53 | Syracuse | 21.2 | -1.0 | 14.20% | -0.1420 |
54 | South Alabama | 24.5 | -0.5 | 26.60% | -0.1330 |
55 | Tulsa | 24.0 | -0.4 | 30.00% | -0.1200 |
56 | Clemson | 27.7 | -0.7 | 16.90% | -0.1183 |
57 | Boise State | 39.3 | -0.5 | 23.10% | -0.1155 |
58 | Ball State | 22.0 | -0.2 | 42.00% | -0.0840 |
59 | Colorado | 32.2 | -0.4 | 18.40% | -0.0736 |
60 | Nevada | 28.7 | -0.1 | 28.80% | -0.0288 |
61 | N.C. State | 32.1 | -0.1 | 24.60% | -0.0246 |
62 | Missouri | 31.9 | -0.1 | 24.10% | -0.0241 |
63 | Eastern Michigan | 16.0 | 0.0 | 38.20% | |
64 | Maryland | 28.1 | 0.0 | 20.30% | |
65 | Notre Dame | 36.9 | 0.0 | 25.00% | |
66 | Old Dominion | 29.9 | 0.0 | 28.70% | |
67 | Temple | 18.8 | 0.2 | 17.90% | 0.0358 |
68 | Troy | 21.8 | 0.4 | 23.40% | 0.0936 |
69 | Georgia Tech | 45.5 | 0.5 | 19.50% | 0.0975 |
70 | Akron | 19.0 | 0.5 | 22.30% | 0.1115 |
71 | North Texas | 15.1 | 0.5 | 26.20% | 0.1310 |
72 | San Jose State | 20.0 | 0.5 | 26.30% | 0.1315 |
73 | Florida State | 37.9 | 0.7 | 20.30% | 0.1421 |
74 | Georgia State | 25.8 | 0.7 | 20.60% | 0.1442 |
75 | Ohio | 21.5 | 0.5 | 31.30% | 0.1565 |
76 | Kansas | 21.8 | 0.8 | 20.70% | 0.1656 |
77 | South Carolina | 36.9 | 0.8 | 22.70% | 0.1816 |
78 | Louisiana Tech | 31.6 | 0.8 | 23.50% | 0.1880 |
79 | Georgia Southern | 34.5 | 0.6 | 31.40% | 0.1884 |
80 | Virginia Tech | 25.8 | 0.6 | 33.90% | 0.2034 |
81 | Florida International | 15.4 | 1.3 | 16.40% | 0.2132 |
82 | Alabama | 43.1 | 0.8 | 27.10% | 0.2168 |
83 | Texas | 26.4 | 1.4 | 17.10% | 0.2394 |
84 | Illinois | 29.3 | 0.9 | 27.00% | 0.2430 |
85 | UL-Lafayette | 30.6 | 1.5 | 17.20% | 0.2580 |
86 | UL-Monroe | 19.9 | 0.9 | 32.80% | 0.2952 |
87 | Penn State | 21.3 | 1.3 | 23.60% | 0.3068 |
88 | Virginia | 28.5 | 0.9 | 34.30% | 0.3087 |
89 | Army | 21.1 | 1.3 | 24.00% | 0.3120 |
90 | Iowa | 27.9 | 1.2 | 26.70% | 0.3204 |
91 | Southern Miss | 21.9 | 1.4 | 23.70% | 0.3318 |
92 | Colorado State | 34.4 | 1.3 | 25.80% | 0.3354 |
93 | Washington State | 32.5 | 1.6 | 21.30% | 0.3408 |
94 | Florida Atlantic | 25.8 | 1.1 | 32.30% | 0.3553 |
95 | Kansas State | 36.8 | 3.1 | 11.50% | 0.3565 |
96 | Tulane | 19.3 | 1.6 | 23.60% | 0.3776 |
97 | Central Florida | 22.6 | 1.3 | 30.00% | 0.3900 |
98 | Rutgers | 30.2 | 2.2 | 17.80% | 0.3916 |
99 | Miami | 34.9 | 2.3 | 18.50% | 0.4255 |
100 | Purdue | 24.5 | 2.0 | 21.40% | 0.4280 |
101 | Buffalo | 21.4 | 1.6 | 26.90% | 0.4304 |
102 | Miami (Ohio) | 24.6 | 2.1 | 20.50% | 0.4305 |
103 | Wisconsin | 35.4 | 1.9 | 23.10% | 0.4389 |
104 | Michigan State | 40.1 | 1.5 | 29.30% | 0.4395 |
105 | Louisville | 31.7 | 2.3 | 19.70% | 0.4531 |
106 | UTSA | 15.4 | 1.7 | 26.80% | 0.4556 |
107 | South Florida | 19.5 | 3.4 | 14.60% | 0.4964 |
108 | New Mexico | 31.7 | 1.6 | 31.20% | 0.4992 |
109 | San Diego State | 25.4 | 2.3 | 23.30% | 0.5359 |
110 | Minnesota | 32.1 | 1.7 | 31.60% | 0.5372 |
111 | Boston College | 31.9 | 2.2 | 27.50% | 0.6050 |
112 | Utah State | 26.8 | 1.9 | 32.90% | 0.6251 |
113 | Wake Forest | 11.1 | 2.6 | 24.60% | 0.6396 |
114 | SMU | 15.5 | 2.7 | 23.80% | 0.6426 |
115 | Rice | 29.1 | 2.6 | 24.80% | 0.6448 |
116 | Pittsburgh | 36.1 | 2.5 | 26.80% | 0.6700 |
117 | Oregon State | 28.6 | 3.3 | 23.10% | 0.7623 |
118 | LSU | 32.9 | 1.6 | 48.50% | 0.7760 |
119 | Central Michigan | 25.3 | 3.9 | 22.30% | 0.8697 |
120 | Kent State | 20.5 | 3.4 | 26.60% | 0.9044 |
121 | Connecticut | 14.4 | 3.2 | 28.30% | 0.9056 |
122 | Stanford | 32.0 | 3.8 | 24.40% | 0.9272 |
123 | Western Michigan | 31.5 | 3.6 | 25.90% | 0.9324 |
124 | Michigan | 26.3 | 4.7 | 22.90% | 1.0763 |
125 | Wyoming | 24.5 | 4.0 | 28.30% | 1.1320 |
126 | Arkansas | 38.7 | 3.1 | 37.00% | 1.1470 |
127 | Vanderbilt | 19.0 | 4.8 | 35.80% | 1.7184 |
128 | UTEP | 25.4 | 5.1 | 40.40% | 2.0604 |