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Top 5 Plays
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Win Probability |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
1 |
186 |
Oregon |
1 |
10 |
36 |
4 |
Team kneeldown |
0.273 |
-0.273 |
2 |
70 |
Oregon |
1 |
10 |
35 |
2 |
Vernon Adams Jr. Rush for -5, FUMBLE |
0.551 |
0.257 |
3 |
37 |
Oregon |
1 |
10 |
75 |
1 |
Charles Nelson Rush for 75, TOUCHDOWN |
0.641 |
-0.207 |
4 |
81 |
Oregon |
2 |
9 |
47 |
2 |
Vernon Adams Jr. Pass to Darren Carrington for 47, TOUCHDOWN |
0.715 |
-0.171 |
5 |
151 |
Stanford |
2 |
8 |
52 |
4 |
Kevin Hogan Rush for -1, FUMBLE |
0.341 |
-0.170 |
Oregon 38, Stanford 36
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
Basics | Oregon | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
---|---|---|---|
Total Plays | 48 | 86 | |
Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
Avg Starting FP | 29.2 | 36.5 | 29.7 |
Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 9 | |
Points Per Opportunity | 4.75 | 4.11 | 4.73 |
Leverage Rate** | 72.9% | 75.6% | 68.1% |
Close S&P*** | 0.755 | 0.633 | 0.586 |
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
EqPts (what's this?) | Oregon | Stanford | |
Total | 42.7 | 48.3 | |
Rushing | 24.4 | 19.6 | |
Passing | 18.2 | 28.7 | |
Success Rate (what's this?) | Oregon | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
All (close) | 45.8% | 52.3% | 41.7% |
Rushing (close) | 43.8% | 47.8% | 42.7% |
Passing (close) | 50.0% | 57.5% | 40.7% |
Standard Downs | 48.6% | 53.9% | 46.9% |
Passing Downs | 38.5% | 47.6% | 30.5% |
IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oregon | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
All (close) | 1.94 | 1.07 | 1.26 |
Rushing (close) | 1.75 | 0.89 | 1.07 |
Passing (close) | 2.28 | 1.25 | 1.48 |
Standard Downs | 1.73 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
Passing Downs | 2.64 | 1.66 | 1.77 |
Line Stats | Oregon | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.88 | 3.24 | 2.88 |
Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 11.1% | 0.0% | 4.9% |
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 42.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% |
Turnovers | Oregon | Stanford |
---|---|---|
Turnovers | 1 | 3 |
Turnover Points (what's this?) | 9.1 | 12.7 |
Turnover Margin | Oregon +2 | |
Exp. TO Margin | Oregon +1.17 | |
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oregon +0.83 | |
TO Points Margin | Oregon +3.6 points | |
Situational | Oregon | Stanford |
Q1 S&P | 1.150 | 0.666 |
Q2 S&P | 0.673 | 0.651 |
Q3 S&P | 0.856 | 0.581 |
Q4 S&P | 0.403 | 0.626 |
1st Down S&P | 0.799 | 0.711 |
2nd Down S&P | 0.799 | 0.659 |
3rd Down S&P | 0.826 | 0.520 |
Projected Scoring Margin: Stanford by 2.1 | ||
Actual Scoring Margin: Oregon by 2 |
Boy, Oregon's offense was V-O-L-A-T-I-L-E. The Ducks' run blocking wasn't amazing, their run efficiency was only so-so (by their standards), and they gave up sacks like crazy. They also produced eight rushes of 10+ yards and four passes of 17+. Stanford was far more efficient, but a) there were few big plays, and b) the Cardinal shot themselves in the foot with three turnovers. That made the difference.
Formations/Basics
Oregon | Stanford | |||
Backs-Wide | % of Plays | Yds/Play | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
0 backs, 2 wide | 1.1% | 8.0 | ||
0 backs, 5 wide | 4.1% | 0.0 | ||
1 back, 2 wide | 4.1% | 38.0 | 8.6% | 5.9 |
1 back, 3 wide | 55.1% | 6.9 | 33.3% | 7.7 |
1 back, 4 wide | 24.5% | 10.7 | 16.1% | 5.3 |
2 backs, 0 wide | 12.9% | 4.1 | ||
2 backs, 1 wide | 16.1% | 3.6 | ||
2 backs, 2 wide | 2.0% | 12.0 | 3.2% | 2.7 |
2 backs, 3 wide | 6.1% | 10.7 | 5.4% | 3.6 |
3 backs, 0 wide | 2.0% | -2.0 | 3.2% | 1.0 |
3 backs, 2 wide | 2.0% | 3.0 |
No Huddle? | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
Oregon | 67.3% | 6.8 |
Stanford | 0.0% | N/A |
Oregon | Stanford | |||
Hash | % of Plays | Yds/Play | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
Left | 24.5% | 15.1 | 36.6% | 6.7 |
Middle | 24.5% | 10.3 | 24.7% | 6.8 |
Right | 51.0% | 5.2 | 38.7% | 3.4 |
Stanford's shown a lot of diversity on offense this year -- the Cardinal operated from nine different formations on Saturday and actually saw far more success in the 1- and 0-back looks than in their more customary 2-back sets.
Meanwhile ... Oregon's offense was strangely unstoppable when lined up anywhere but on the right hash.
Passing
Oregon | Stanford | |||||
Passing | Comp Rt | Yds/Pass | Passing | Comp Rt | Yds/Pass | |
Behind Line | 3-3, 22 yards | 100.0% | 7.3 | 7-8, 51 yards | 87.5% | 6.4 |
0 to 4 | 0-1, 0 yards | 0.0% | 0.0 | 2-5, 7 yards | 40.0% | 1.4 |
5 to 9 | 2-2, 45 yards | 100.0% | 22.5 | 11-12, 102 yards | 91.7% | 8.5 |
10 to 19 | 4-5, 91 yards | 80.0% | 18.2 | 7-8, 109 yards | 87.5% | 13.6 |
20 to 29 | 0-0, 0 yards | N/A | N/A | 0-3, 0 yards | 0.0% | 0.0 |
30-plus | 1-1, 47 yards | 100.0% | 47.0 | 1-3, 35 yards | 33.3% | 11.7 |
Oregon | Stanford | |
% Blitz: | 31.3% | 12.5% |
Avg. Rushers | 4.2 | 3.9 |
Passing (no blitz) | 7-9, 131 yards, 2 sacks, 11.9 yds. per att. | 25-34, 284 yards, 1 sacks, 8.1 yds. per att. |
Passing (blitz) | 3-3, 74 yards, 2 sacks, 14.8 yds. per att. | 3-5, 20 yards, 0 sacks, 4.0 yds. per att. |
Reason for INC/INT | Oregon | Stanford |
QB Fault | 1 | 5 |
Good Defense | 1 | 5 |
WR Fault | 0 | 1 |
Six Stanford deep balls gained a total of 35 yards; one Oregon deep ball gained 47. Meanwhile, Oregon's intermediate passing game (5-19 yards) was untouchable, and the Ducks did a good job of tackling on Stanford's short passes.
Rushing
Oregon | Stanford | |||
Rush-Yds | YPC | Rush-Yds | YPC | |
To Edge | 17-133 | 7.8 | 22-117 | 5.3 |
Toward Tackle | 7-33 | 4.7 | 13-61 | 4.7 |
Up Middle | 8-88 | 11.0 | 9-31 | 3.4 |
Really nice job by Oregon in limiting Stanford's ground game. The Cardinal managed a 48 percent success rate, but there really weren't any big gains to be found, between or outside of the tackles.
QB Activity
Oregon | Stanford | |||||
QB Move | Rushes-Yds | Passes-Yds | Sacks-Yds | Rushes-Yds | Passes-Yds | Sacks-Yds |
Rollout | 2-25 | 1-14 | ||||
Option - speed option | 2-20 | |||||
Option - triple option | 2-18 | |||||
Option - zone read | 3-17 | |||||
QB Draw | 8-46 | |||||
Sack - in pocket | 1-(-4) | |||||
Sack - coverage sack | 3-(-14) | |||||
Sack - QB fault | 1-(-9) | |||||
Broken Play | 2-(-3) |
Timing is everything. Vernon Adams doesn't keep the ball much, but he knows when to tuck it and go.
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