This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 6’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- Clemson (+40% vs. Louisville)
- Wisconsin (+38% vs. Rutgers)
- Cincinnati (+33% vs. Navy)
- Fresno State (+31% vs. UNLV)
- Utah State (+30% vs. Hawaii)
This week’s S&P+ saw the top two teams separate themselves by quite a bit. Bama asserted itself as expected against LSU, but Clemson had to destroy Louisville to impress S&P+ ... and did so. And then some.
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- Clemson (+7.1 vs. Louisville ... 7.1!!!)
- UAB (+5.9 vs. UTSA)
- ULM (+5.4 vs. Georgia Southern)
- Illinois (+4.5 vs. Minnesota)
- Mississippi State (+4.4 vs. Louisiana Tech)
Aaaaaaaaaand then some.
(By the way, hello there, Illinois.)
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- Ohio (+24.8 vs. WMU)
- Appalachian State (+24.0 vs. Coastal Carolina)
- Duke (+23.6 vs. Miami)
- NC State (+19.3 vs. FSU)
- Tulane (+17.8 vs. USF)
Miami’s post-game win expectancy against Duke was 68% — the Hurricanes averaged 1.8 more yards per play — but Duke’s field tilting ability, due to both turnovers and special teams, ended up making the difference in an eight-point win.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- Cincinnati (+6.0 vs. Navy)
- Alabama (+5.2 vs. LSU)
- UAB (+4.6 vs. UTSA)
- Fresno State (+4.3 vs. UNLV)
- Mississippi State (+4.1 vs. Louisiana Tech)
Man. Navy. Forgettable year here.
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- Ohio (+4.3 vs. WMU)
- TCU (+2.9 vs. Kansas State)
- Michigan (+2.7 vs. Penn State)
- Rutgers (+2.7 vs. Wisconsin)
- Syracuse (+2.5 vs. Wake Forest)
Translation: Rutgers had a turnover margin that was +2.7 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Scarlet Knights enjoyed about a 13 or 14-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a lucky-to-be-14-point loss.