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SDSU 27, Air Force 24: Damn, have the Aztecs been good since September

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State 27, Air Force 24

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Basics Air Force San Diego State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 60 60
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 30.1 27.0 29.8
Possessions 12 10
Scoring Opportunities*
4 6
Points Per Opportunity 6.00 4.50 4.73
Leverage Rate** 73.3% 71.7% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.607 0.659 0.586
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Air Force San Diego State
Total 34.2 40.6
Rushing 31.4 21.8
Passing 2.8 18.8
Success Rate (what's this?) Air Force San Diego State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 41.7% 40.0% 41.6%
Rushing (close) 44.9% 37.0% 42.6%
Passing (close) 27.3% 50.0% 40.6%
Standard Downs 45.5% 39.5% 46.9%
Passing Downs 31.3% 41.2% 30.4%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Air Force San Diego State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.37 1.69 1.26
Rushing (close) 1.43 1.28 1.07
Passing (close) 0.92 2.69 1.48
Standard Downs 1.20 1.15 1.11
Passing Downs 2.04 3.00 1.77
Line Stats Air Force San Diego State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.18 2.88 2.88
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.9%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 7.5%
Turnovers Air Force San Diego State
Turnovers 0 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 5.2
Turnover Margin Air Force +1
Exp. TO Margin +0
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Air Force +1
TO Points Margin Air Force +5.2 points
Situational Air Force San Diego State
Q1 S&P 0.408 0.600
Q2 S&P 0.697 0.696
Q3 S&P 0.664 0.584
Q4 S&P 0.598 0.828
1st Down S&P 0.647 0.650
2nd Down S&P 0.711 0.566
3rd Down S&P 0.629 0.726
Projected Scoring Margin: San Diego State by 1.2
Actual Scoring Margin: San Diego State by 3

Man oh man, what a charge by SDSU this year. The Aztecs were 1-3 at the end of September with a loss to South Alabama. Since then: nine wins in a row with only one (this one) coming by fewer than 14 points. The offense still isn't very good, but the defense is one of the best in the mid-major universe, and Air Force was the first team since September to score more than 17 points on the Aztecs. Air Force also acquitted itself well here, but the Aztecs were the best, most consistent team in MWC play this year. They are a deserving conference champion.