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San Diego State 27, Air Force 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Air Force | San Diego State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 60 | 60 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.1 | 27.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 10 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 6.00 | 4.50 | 4.73 |
| Leverage Rate** | 73.3% | 71.7% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.607 | 0.659 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Air Force | San Diego State | |
| Total | 34.2 | 40.6 | |
| Rushing | 31.4 | 21.8 | |
| Passing | 2.8 | 18.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Air Force | San Diego State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.7% | 40.0% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 44.9% | 37.0% | 42.6% |
| Passing (close) | 27.3% | 50.0% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 45.5% | 39.5% | 46.9% |
| Passing Downs | 31.3% | 41.2% | 30.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Air Force | San Diego State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.37 | 1.69 | 1.26 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.43 | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Passing (close) | 0.92 | 2.69 | 1.48 |
| Standard Downs | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.04 | 3.00 | 1.77 |
| Line Stats | Air Force | San Diego State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.18 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Air Force | San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 5.2 |
| Turnover Margin | Air Force +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | +0 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Air Force +1 | |
| TO Points Margin | Air Force +5.2 points | |
| Situational | Air Force | San Diego State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.408 | 0.600 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.697 | 0.696 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.664 | 0.584 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.598 | 0.828 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.647 | 0.650 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.711 | 0.566 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.629 | 0.726 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: San Diego State by 1.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: San Diego State by 3 | ||
Man oh man, what a charge by SDSU this year. The Aztecs were 1-3 at the end of September with a loss to South Alabama. Since then: nine wins in a row with only one (this one) coming by fewer than 14 points. The offense still isn't very good, but the defense is one of the best in the mid-major universe, and Air Force was the first team since September to score more than 17 points on the Aztecs. Air Force also acquitted itself well here, but the Aztecs were the best, most consistent team in MWC play this year. They are a deserving conference champion.