Stanford 38, Notre Dame 36
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
Basics | Notre Dame | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
Total Plays |
60 |
64 |
|
Close Rate (non-garbage time) |
100.0% |
|
Avg Starting FP |
19.9 |
23.7 |
29.7 |
Possessions |
9 |
10 |
|
Scoring Opportunities*
|
7 |
6 |
|
Points Per Opportunity |
4.14 |
6.33 |
4.74 |
Leverage Rate** |
81.7% |
78.1% |
68.2% |
Close S&P*** |
0.728 |
0.667 |
0.586 |
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|
|
EqPts (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Stanford | |
Total |
49.2 |
40.1 |
|
Rushing |
28.1 |
14.4 |
|
Passing |
21.1 |
25.7 |
|
|
|
Success Rate (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
All (close) |
50.0% |
54.7% |
41.7% |
Rushing (close) |
48.6% |
50.0% |
42.6% |
Passing (close) |
52.0% |
63.6% |
40.6% |
Standard Downs |
49.0% |
52.0% |
46.9% |
Passing Downs |
54.6% |
64.3% |
30.5% |
|
IsoPPP (what's this?) | Notre Dame | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
All (close) |
1.64 |
1.15 |
1.26 |
Rushing (close) |
1.65 |
0.69 |
1.08 |
Passing (close) |
1.63 |
1.84 |
1.48 |
Standard Downs |
1.56 |
0.85 |
1.11 |
Passing Downs |
1.95 |
2.00 |
1.77 |
|
Line Stats | Notre Dame | Stanford | Nat'l Avg |
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) |
4.37 |
2.85 |
2.88 |
Std. Downs Sack Rt. |
0.0% |
7.7% |
4.9% |
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. |
0.0% |
0.0% |
7.5% |
Turnovers | Notre Dame | Stanford |
Turnovers |
1 |
0 |
Turnover Points (what's this?) |
4.6 |
0.0 |
Turnover Margin |
Stanford +1 |
Exp. TO Margin |
Stanford +0.73 |
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) |
Stanford +0.27 |
TO Points Margin |
Stanford +4.6 points |
|
Situational | Notre Dame | Stanford |
Q1 S&P |
0.995 |
0.713 |
Q2 S&P |
0.867 |
0.671 |
Q3 S&P |
0.804 |
0.721 |
Q4 S&P |
0.520 |
0.565 |
1st Down S&P |
0.834 |
0.651 |
2nd Down S&P |
0.793 |
0.626 |
3rd Down S&P |
0.662 |
0.612 |
|
Projected Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 4.6 |
Actual Scoring Margin: Stanford by 2 |
This has nothing to do with the stats, obviously, but ... what a fun game this was. Starts out as an up-and-down shootout, then the offenses get tight in the fourth quarter ... then Notre Dame scores the game-winner ... then Stanford scores the game-winner. I doubt "But hey, it was fun" is much of a consolation to Irish fans, but ... hey, it was fun.
As for the stats ... they point to finishing as the main cause of Stanford's win. Stanford, one of the worst drive finishing offenses in the country in 2014 and in the first game of 2015, has been one of the best since, and the Cardinal scored five touchdowns in five scoring opportunities before the last-second field goal tamped the average down. Meanwhile, Notre Dame twice settled for field goals and lost a fumble at the Stanford 23 right before halftime.
Formations/Basics
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
Backs-Wide |
% of Plays |
Yds/Play |
% of Plays |
Yds/Play |
0 backs, 3 wide |
4.8% |
2.3 |
|
|
0 backs, 5 wide |
12.9% |
7.1 |
|
|
1 back, 1 wide |
3.2% |
3.5 |
|
|
1 back, 2 wide |
8.1% |
15.8 |
4.5% |
1.0 |
1 back, 3 wide |
46.8% |
8.2 |
36.4% |
8.9 |
1 back, 4 wide |
24.2% |
9.7 |
13.6% |
13.0 |
2 backs, 0 wide |
|
|
18.2% |
2.4 |
2 backs, 1 wide |
|
|
6.1% |
3.0 |
2 backs, 2 wide |
|
|
10.6% |
3.4 |
2 backs, 3 wide |
|
|
7.6% |
4.8 |
3 backs, 0 wide |
|
|
3.0% |
-0.5 |
No Huddle? |
% of Plays |
Yds/Play |
Notre Dame |
75.8% |
8.0 |
Stanford |
0.0% |
N/A |
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
Hash |
% of Plays |
Yds/Play |
% of Plays |
Yds/Play |
Left |
32.3% |
5.3 |
42.4% |
6.6 |
Middle |
25.8% |
13.1 |
19.7% |
4.4 |
Right |
41.9% |
8.4 |
37.9% |
7.2 |
I love the variety of formations here. Stanford was in 1-back, 3-wide about one-third of the time but varied between about seven different formations the rest of the time. Meanwhile, Notre Dame was all zero-back or one-back but still switched things around quite a bit (and it almost all worked).
Passing
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
|
Passing |
Comp Rt |
Yds/Pass |
Passing |
Comp Rt |
Yds/Pass |
Behind Line |
4-5, 34 yards |
80.0% |
6.8 |
3-3, 32 yards |
100.0% |
10.7 |
0 to 4 |
0-1, 0 yards |
0.0% |
0.0 |
4-6, 28 yards |
66.7% |
4.7 |
5 to 9 |
3-10, 26 yards |
30.0% |
2.6 |
4-5, 43 yards |
80.0% |
8.6 |
10 to 19 |
3-5, 56 yards |
60.0% |
11.2 |
3-3, 55 yards |
100.0% |
18.3 |
20 to 29 |
2-2, 45 yards |
100.0% |
22.5 |
1-1, 31 yards |
100.0% |
31.0 |
30-plus |
1-2, 73 yards |
50.0% |
36.5 |
2-3, 80 yards |
66.7% |
26.7 |
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
% Blitz: |
20.0% |
40.9% |
Avg. Rushers |
4.0 |
4.5 |
Passing (no blitz) |
10-20, 200 yards, 0 sacks, 10.0 yds. per att. |
10-13, 150 yards, 0 sacks, 11.5 yds. per att. |
Passing (blitz) |
3-5, 34 yards, 0 sacks, 6.8 yds. per att. |
7-8, 119 yards, 1 sacks, 13.2 yds. per att. |
Reason for INC/INT |
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
QB Fault |
8 |
3 |
Good Defense |
2 |
1 |
WR Fault |
2 |
0 |
The deep shots were connecting. Notre Dame was 3-for-4 for 118 yards on passes thrown further than 20 yards, and Stanford was 3-for-4 for 111. The blitz was rare but semi-effective for Stanford, and it was not effective at all for the Irish.
Rushing
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
|
Rush-Yds |
YPC |
Rush-Yds |
YPC |
To Edge |
13-94 |
7.2 |
21-95 |
4.5 |
Toward Tackle |
9-99 |
11.0 |
12-36 |
3.0 |
Up Middle |
13-106 |
8.2 |
8-30 |
3.8 |
Stanford's run game was efficient -- 50% success rate -- but rarely gained more than 3-4 yards. But Kevin Hogan was just dynamite, which made the difference.
QB Activity
|
Notre Dame |
Stanford |
QB Move |
Rushes-Yds |
Passes-Yds |
Sacks-Yds |
Rushes-Yds |
Passes-Yds |
Sacks-Yds |
Bootleg |
1-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rollout |
|
3-34 |
|
|
1-10 |
|
Option - zone read |
3-18 |
|
|
2-8 |
|
|
QB Draw |
8-44 |
|
|
5-28 |
|
|
QB Sneak |
1-5 |
|
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