Ohio State 42, Michigan 13
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|Basics||Michigan||Ohio State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||75.9%|
|Avg Starting FP||23.4||36.2||29.7|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.33||5.25||4.74|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Michigan||Ohio State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Michigan||Ohio State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Michigan||Ohio State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Michigan||Ohio State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.77||4.59||2.88|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||5.0%||7.7%||4.9%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||7.5%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||8.0||0.0|
|Turnover Margin||Ohio State +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Ohio State +2.12|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Michigan +1.12|
|TO Points Margin||Ohio State +8.0 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.514||0.717|
|2nd Down S&P||0.591||0.676|
|3rd Down S&P||0.480||0.770|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 22.8|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 29|
Urban Meyer and Jim Harbaugh have for years been two of the best field position coaches in the country. Their teams tend to tilt the field, and whoever was able to do that in this game was going to have a pretty big advantage. That team was Ohio State. Teams with a +13 advantage in terms of average field position almost never lose. Thanks to both a ridiculously efficient offense, great kick coverage, and the late-game interception return by Joey Bosa, Ohio State crushed the Wolverines in field position.
Okay, they crushed Michigan in a lot of ways. That was only one. The Wolverines' defense, so good for the first seven games of the year, has not been up to par for a few weeks and got crushed by an Ohio State run game with something to prove.
|Backs-Wide||% of Plays||Yds/Play||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
|0 backs, 3 wide||4.1%||11.0|
|0 backs, 5 wide||1.4%||0.0||1.3%||0.0|
|1 back, 2 wide||16.2%||2.0||17.3%||4.4|
|1 back, 3 wide||55.4%||6.3||48.0%||4.6|
|1 back, 4 wide||18.9%||11.9||12.0%||4.6|
|2 backs, 1 wide||8.0%||8.8|
|2 backs, 2 wide||10.7%||5.3|
|2 backs, 3 wide||2.7%||1.0||1.3%||5.0|
|3 backs, 0 wide||1.4%||-2.0|
|3 backs, 2 wide||1.3%||0.0|
|No Huddle?||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
|Hash||% of Plays||Yds/Play||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
The Buckeyes spent most of their time lined up with at least three players wide, and to say the least, it worked pretty well for them (7.5 yards per play). Michigan, meanwhile, was able to find some success out of two-back looks but didn't really consider that the permanent offense.
|Passing||Comp Rt||Yds/Pass||Passing||Comp Rt||Yds/Pass|
|Behind Line||1-1, 0 yards||100.0%||0.0||7-12, 69 yards||58.3%||5.8|
|0 to 4||2-3, 19 yards||66.7%||6.3||5-9, 47 yards||55.6%||5.2|
|5 to 9||4-6, 31 yards||66.7%||5.2||4-9, 28 yards||44.4%||3.1|
|10 to 19||0-1, 0 yards||0.0%||0.0||5-8, 61 yards||62.5%||7.6|
|20 to 29||1-2, 25 yards||50.0%||12.5||3-3, 63 yards||100.0%||21.0|
|30-plus||1-2, 38 yards||50.0%||19.0||1-5, 39 yards||20.0%||7.8|
|Passing (no blitz)||8-11, 107 yards, 0 sacks, 9.7 yds. per att.||23-41, 265 yards, 1 sacks, 6.3 yds. per att.|
|Passing (blitz)||1-4, 6 yards, 1 sacks, 1.2 yds. per att.||2-5, 42 yards, 1 sacks, 7.0 yds. per att.|
|Reason for INC/INT||Ohio St.||Michigan|
Michigan's regular season began and ended with Jake Rudock misfiring quite a few passes. He missed some good looks deep against Utah, and according to the charting, 11 of Michigan's 21 incompletion (13 for Rudock, eight for Wilton Speight) were deemed the QB's fault (thrown behind, thrown ahead, overthrown, etc.).
Really, Michigan's efficiency was doomed from the start. The Wolverines couldn't run the ball (30 percent success rate) and relied heavily on short passing. But passes within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage were only 16-for-30. The completion rate on those passes should be 70% or higher, not 53%.
Edge defense was a bit of an issue for Michigan, huh?
|Option - speed option||4-49||1-0|
|Option - zone read||14-94|
|Sack - in pocket||1-(-6)|