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2005 F/+ Rankings Now Available At Football Outsiders

Now that Brian Fremeau and I have had a moment to breathe after the regular season's end, we have taken to updating our formulas a bit. Brian updated his 2007-10 FEI pages to include offense, defense and special teams ratings, while I made some tweaks to the 2005-11 S&P+ data that improved its correlations to win percentage. That can only mean one thing: new F/+ rankings!

We never officially unveiled F/+ ratings for earlier than 2010 at Outsiders, so I'm taking this opportunity to unveil one at a time, starting with 2005, the first year for which we have full play-by-play data. The 2006 rankings will be posted tomorrow, 2007 Wednesday, etc.

New 2005 S&P+ Rankings
Official 2005 F/+ Rankings
Expanded 2005 Off. S&P+ Rankings

Expanded 2006 Def. S&P+ Rankings

The F/+ Top 40 for 2005 is below. The entire list can be found at Outsiders. Some quick notes:

  • I think it's safe to say the right team is No. 1. And as would be expected, USC grades out tremendously high (one of the highest of the last seven seasons) as well. (Read the Classic Study Hall piece on the 2006 Rose Bowl here.)
  • Ohio State, Penn State and Virginia Tech all grade out a bit better than I would have guessed -- I didn't figure anybody else in this season would even cross +25.0%.
  • As we go year to year, watch the progression of TCU from "mid-major that wins a lot of games" to "downright fantastic team at any level." In a lot of ways, it's the same story with Wisconsin, only without the "mid-major" part.
F/+ Rk Team Record F/+ S&P+ S&P+ Rk FEI FEI Rk
1 Texas 13-0 +35.9% 279.9 1 0.342 1
2 USC 12-1 +33.3% 272.4 2 0.326 2
3 Ohio State 10-2 +29.2% 264.8 3 0.283 3
4 Penn State 11-1 +28.6% 264.4 4 0.272 4
5 Virginia Tech 11-2 +27.0% 259.7 5 0.262 5
6 Miami 9-3 +22.2% 253.8 6 0.196 12
7 LSU 11-2 +21.7% 242.8 8 0.241 6
8 Alabama 10-2 +20.7% 247.2 7 0.199 11
9 Auburn 9-3 +19.6% 239.6 9 0.214 10
10 Notre Dame 9-3 +19.5% 237.2 11 0.224 8
11 Georgia 10-3 +19.3% 236.0 13 0.226 7
12 Michigan 7-5 +17.2% 229.8 18 0.215 9
13 West Virginia 11-1 +16.3% 230.4 17 0.193 13
14 Boston College 9-3 +16.2% 236.8 12 0.161 19
15 Oregon 10-2 +15.6% 231.0 15 0.177 15
16 Florida 9-3 +15.5% 229.2 19 0.184 14
17 Clemson 8-4 +15.2% 230.5 16 0.170 18
18 Louisville 9-3 +14.9% 239.0 10 0.123 26
19 Oklahoma 8-4 +14.7% 235.6 14 0.134 23
20 TCU 11-1 +13.4% 223.5 23 0.170 16
F/+ Rk Team Record F/+ S&P+ S&P+ Rk FEI FEI Rk
21 Iowa 7-5 +13.4% 223.2 24 0.170 17
22 Texas Tech 9-3 +13.3% 227.3 20 0.149 22
23 Florida State 8-5 +13.2% 224.8 21 0.158 20
24 Minnesota 7-5 +10.8% 223.6 22 0.116 28
25 Wisconsin 10-3 +10.2% 213.1 40 0.157 21
26 Tennessee 5-6 +10.1% 223.1 25 0.106 31
27 Georgia Tech 7-5 +9.8% 221.6 26 0.106 30
28 N.C. State 7-5 +9.2% 216.7 33 0.119 27
29 Iowa State 7-5 +8.9% 212.8 41 0.132 24
30 Arizona State 7-5 +8.9% 218.2 31 0.104 32
31 Nebraska 8-4 +8.1% 210.3 45 0.128 25
32 UCLA 10-2 +7.8% 219.6 30 0.077 35
33 Northwestern 7-5 +7.8% 220.0 29 0.074 36
34 Tulsa 9-4 +7.3% 211.5 42 0.107 29
35 California 8-4 +7.2% 214.4 39 0.090 33
36 Fresno State 8-5 +6.1% 214.9 37 0.065 37
37 Maryland 5-6 +6.1% 215.2 36 0.063 38
38 South Florida 6-6 +5.9% 215.4 35 0.059 40
39 Kansas 7-5 +5.6% 221.2 27 0.024 50
40 Colorado 7-6 +5.2% 220.4 28 0.020 53