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Alright, next up on the "giant lists for today's Varsity Numbers": Run-Pass Ratios. Below are teams ranked by what I'm calling "Adj. Run%." The premise is pretty simple: look at teams' run percentages on both standard downs and passing downs, then "adjust" the overall number to see where teams' intentions would lie if everybody ran the same number of plays on standard downs and passing downs.
If you have a terrible offense that can't stay out of passing downs, you're probably going to attempt a lot of passes whether you want to or not. The goal "Adj. Run%" is to get a glimpse at what teams intend to do, not just what teams are required by circumstance to do.
In Varsity Numbers, we're going to look at the teams whose mentality changes drastically from standard downs to passing downs. Teams like Nevada, which is one of the runningest teams in the country on standard downs, then goes all-in on the pass on passing downs. The "SD-to-PD Diff" column, then, looks at the different between teams' Run% rankings on standard downs and passing downs. But I'll save that analysis for Varsity Numbers (since at some point I actually have to finish it instead of just posting lists here.)
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
Army | 91.4% | 1 | 75.7% | 1 | 0 | 86.5% | 1 |
Navy | 88.9% | 2 | 64.0% | 2 | 0 | 81.3% | 2 |
Georgia Tech | 87.2% | 3 | 62.1% | 3 | 0 | 79.5% | 3 |
Air Force | 82.3% | 5 | 59.8% | 4 | 1 | 75.4% | 4 |
Eastern Michigan | 80.2% | 6 | 57.4% | 5 | 1 | 73.2% | 5 |
Temple | 82.9% | 4 | 47.2% | 8 | -4 | 71.9% | 6 |
Ohio State | 77.5% | 7 | 44.0% | 12 | -5 | 67.2% | 7 |
Nebraska | 74.4% | 9 | 44.0% | 12 | -3 | 65.1% | 8 |
Kansas State | 72.5% | 12 | 44.9% | 11 | 1 | 64.0% | 9 |
LSU | 74.6% | 8 | 39.4% | 22 | -14 | 63.8% | 10 |
Utah State | 72.2% | 14 | 42.8% | 15 | -1 | 63.1% | 11 |
Michigan | 72.3% | 13 | 40.5% | 20 | -7 | 62.5% | 12 |
Oregon | 68.1% | 21 | 49.3% | 6 | 15 | 62.3% | 13 |
Auburn | 72.9% | 11 | 35.5% | 42 | -31 | 61.4% | 14 |
Kansas | 70.0% | 17 | 41.1% | 17 | 0 | 61.1% | 15 |
Texas | 73.5% | 10 | 32.3% | 65 | -55 | 60.8% | 16 |
Wisconsin | 68.9% | 19 | 42.1% | 16 | 3 | 60.7% | 17 |
Western Kentucky | 67.2% | 22 | 45.2% | 10 | 12 | 60.4% | 18 |
UCLA | 69.1% | 18 | 39.7% | 21 | -3 | 60.1% | 19 |
UNLV | 70.4% | 16 | 33.3% | 58 | -42 | 59.0% | 20 |
Virginia Tech | 66.2% | 27 | 40.8% | 19 | 8 | 58.4% | 21 |
Northern Illinois | 66.8% | 23 | 39.2% | 23 | 0 | 58.3% | 22 |
Minnesota | 68.9% | 20 | 33.5% | 57 | -37 | 58.0% | 23 |
Illinois | 63.2% | 38 | 45.8% | 9 | 29 | 57.9% | 24 |
South Carolina | 66.7% | 24 | 37.7% | 29 | -5 | 57.8% | 25 |
Full list after the jump.
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
Nevada | 72.1% | 15 | 25.1% | 103 | -88 | 57.7% | 26 |
Florida | 66.3% | 26 | 36.5% | 35 | -9 | 57.2% | 27 |
Georgia | 60.9% | 55 | 48.5% | 7 | 48 | 57.1% | 28 |
Vanderbilt | 65.1% | 29 | 36.9% | 33 | -4 | 56.4% | 29 |
TCU | 64.2% | 31 | 38.6% | 26 | 5 | 56.4% | 30 |
Ole Miss | 64.8% | 30 | 37.2% | 30 | 0 | 56.3% | 31 |
Missouri | 63.9% | 32 | 38.0% | 28 | 4 | 55.9% | 32 |
Boston College | 66.6% | 25 | 31.5% | 69 | -44 | 55.8% | 33 |
Alabama | 60.8% | 56 | 43.6% | 14 | 42 | 55.5% | 34 |
Mississippi State | 62.0% | 45 | 40.8% | 18 | 27 | 55.5% | 35 |
Penn State | 62.6% | 42 | 39.2% | 24 | 18 | 55.4% | 36 |
Northwestern | 62.9% | 39 | 37.1% | 31 | 8 | 55.0% | 37 |
Toledo | 63.8% | 34 | 35.1% | 45 | -11 | 55.0% | 38 |
San Diego State | 63.9% | 33 | 34.6% | 50 | -17 | 54.9% | 39 |
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
North Texas | 65.7% | 28 | 30.3% | 76 | -48 | 54.8% | 40 |
Utah | 63.3% | 37 | 35.8% | 40 | -3 | 54.8% | 41 |
Ohio | 63.4% | 36 | 34.8% | 49 | -13 | 54.6% | 42 |
Indiana | 62.9% | 40 | 35.6% | 41 | -1 | 54.5% | 43 |
Tulsa | 61.6% | 46 | 36.9% | 32 | 14 | 54.0% | 44 |
Rice | 61.0% | 54 | 38.3% | 27 | 27 | 54.0% | 45 |
Miami-FL | 60.6% | 57 | 38.9% | 25 | 32 | 53.9% | 46 |
Connecticut | 61.4% | 48 | 36.1% | 37 | 11 | 53.6% | 47 |
Florida International | 63.7% | 35 | 30.4% | 75 | -40 | 53.5% | 48 |
Cincinnati | 61.1% | 51 | 36.1% | 38 | 13 | 53.4% | 49 |
Purdue | 62.1% | 44 | 34.0% | 53 | -9 | 53.4% | 50 |
Central Florida | 62.6% | 43 | 32.6% | 63 | -20 | 53.4% | 51 |
Virginia | 61.3% | 50 | 35.0% | 47 | 3 | 53.2% | 52 |
Kent State | 61.6% | 47 | 34.2% | 52 | -5 | 53.2% | 53 |
North Carolina | 61.1% | 53 | 32.4% | 64 | -11 | 52.3% | 54 |
Wyoming | 62.9% | 41 | 27.9% | 92 | -51 | 52.1% | 55 |
Iowa State | 58.7% | 65 | 35.8% | 39 | 26 | 51.6% | 56 |
Stanford | 58.4% | 66 | 36.3% | 36 | 30 | 51.6% | 57 |
Louisiana Tech | 59.5% | 61 | 33.3% | 58 | 3 | 51.5% | 58 |
Kentucky | 61.3% | 49 | 28.3% | 85 | -36 | 51.1% | 59 |
Southern Miss | 61.1% | 52 | 28.3% | 84 | -32 | 51.1% | 60 |
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
Michigan State | 59.9% | 60 | 30.0% | 77 | -17 | 50.7% | 61 |
Marshall | 57.7% | 72 | 34.9% | 48 | 24 | 50.7% | 62 |
BYU | 58.4% | 67 | 32.9% | 62 | 5 | 50.5% | 63 |
South Florida | 60.2% | 59 | 28.2% | 87 | -28 | 50.3% | 64 |
UL-Lafayette | 56.3% | 80 | 36.8% | 34 | 46 | 50.3% | 65 |
Louisville | 57.9% | 71 | 33.2% | 60 | 11 | 50.3% | 66 |
Iowa | 56.9% | 76 | 34.2% | 51 | 25 | 49.9% | 67 |
New Mexico | 58.0% | 70 | 31.0% | 72 | -2 | 49.7% | 68 |
California | 56.0% | 81 | 35.1% | 46 | 35 | 49.6% | 69 |
Tennessee | 59.3% | 62 | 27.5% | 93 | -31 | 49.5% | 70 |
Baylor | 56.7% | 78 | 33.1% | 61 | 17 | 49.5% | 71 |
Arkansas State | 58.9% | 63 | 27.9% | 91 | -28 | 49.4% | 72 |
Memphis | 60.5% | 58 | 24.0% | 107 | -49 | 49.3% | 73 |
Boise State | 58.1% | 69 | 29.2% | 80 | -11 | 49.2% | 74 |
Clemson | 58.2% | 68 | 28.0% | 90 | -22 | 48.9% | 75 |
Colorado State | 57.5% | 74 | 29.4% | 79 | -5 | 48.9% | 76 |
Washington | 56.7% | 79 | 31.1% | 71 | 8 | 48.8% | 77 |
UTEP | 55.0% | 85 | 33.6% | 55 | 30 | 48.4% | 78 |
Pittsburgh | 57.6% | 73 | 26.5% | 99 | -26 | 48.1% | 79 |
Akron | 53.8% | 90 | 35.1% | 44 | 46 | 48.0% | 80 |
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
Ball State | 55.0% | 84 | 31.5% | 70 | 14 | 47.8% | 81 |
Texas A&M | 58.8% | 64 | 22.6% | 110 | -46 | 47.7% | 82 |
Wake Forest | 54.3% | 88 | 32.0% | 67 | 21 | 47.4% | 83 |
Florida Atlantic | 53.4% | 95 | 33.6% | 55 | 40 | 47.3% | 84 |
Rutgers | 57.3% | 75 | 24.3% | 105 | -30 | 47.2% | 85 |
New Mexico State | 53.1% | 96 | 33.7% | 54 | 42 | 47.2% | 86 |
Maryland | 53.7% | 93 | 32.2% | 66 | 27 | 47.1% | 87 |
Buffalo | 55.9% | 82 | 26.3% | 101 | -19 | 46.8% | 88 |
Florida State | 54.6% | 86 | 29.2% | 81 | 5 | 46.8% | 89 |
UL-Monroe | 53.7% | 91 | 30.9% | 73 | 18 | 46.7% | 90 |
NC State | 56.9% | 77 | 23.0% | 108 | -31 | 46.5% | 91 |
USC | 51.1% | 105 | 35.2% | 43 | 62 | 46.2% | 92 |
Bowling Green | 55.7% | 83 | 24.5% | 104 | -21 | 46.1% | 93 |
Colorado | 54.2% | 89 | 26.6% | 96 | -7 | 45.7% | 94 |
Notre Dame | 53.0% | 97 | 28.9% | 82 | 15 | 45.6% | 95 |
Tulane | 53.5% | 94 | 26.7% | 94 | 0 | 45.3% | 96 |
Fresno State | 51.3% | 103 | 31.7% | 68 | 35 | 45.2% | 97 |
Idaho | 51.2% | 104 | 30.7% | 74 | 30 | 44.9% | 98 |
Syracuse | 52.2% | 99 | 28.0% | 89 | 10 | 44.7% | 99 |
Arizona State | 53.7% | 91 | 24.1% | 106 | -15 | 44.6% | 100 |
Offense | Std. Downs Run% |
Rk | Pass. Downs Run% |
Rk | SD-to-PD Diff |
Adj. Run% |
Rk |
Middle Tennessee | 54.4% | 87 | 20.4% | 113 | -26 | 43.9% | 101 |
Miami-OH | 51.6% | 102 | 26.5% | 98 | 4 | 43.9% | 102 |
Arkansas | 49.8% | 106 | 28.2% | 86 | 20 | 43.2% | 103 |
San Jose State | 51.6% | 101 | 21.7% | 112 | -11 | 42.4% | 104 |
Duke | 52.3% | 98 | 19.9% | 114 | -16 | 42.4% | 105 |
UAB | 47.9% | 110 | 29.8% | 78 | 32 | 42.3% | 106 |
Washington State | 49.1% | 108 | 26.6% | 97 | 11 | 42.2% | 107 |
Central Michigan | 49.2% | 107 | 22.8% | 109 | -2 | 41.1% | 108 |
Oklahoma | 51.9% | 100 | 15.3% | 120 | -20 | 40.6% | 109 |
Western Michigan | 48.3% | 109 | 22.3% | 111 | -2 | 40.3% | 110 |
West Virginia | 45.7% | 113 | 25.5% | 102 | 11 | 39.5% | 111 |
Oklahoma State | 44.4% | 114 | 26.3% | 100 | 14 | 38.9% | 112 |
Houston | 42.8% | 117 | 28.3% | 83 | 34 | 38.3% | 113 |
East Carolina | 42.9% | 116 | 28.1% | 88 | 28 | 38.3% | 114 |
Texas Tech | 47.8% | 111 | 16.9% | 119 | -8 | 38.3% | 115 |
Troy | 46.8% | 112 | 18.9% | 116 | -4 | 38.2% | 116 |
SMU | 42.7% | 118 | 26.7% | 95 | 23 | 37.8% | 117 |
Oregon State | 44.2% | 115 | 19.7% | 115 | 0 | 36.7% | 118 |
Arizona | 40.0% | 119 | 18.3% | 118 | 1 | 33.3% | 119 |
Hawaii | 35.3% | 120 | 18.7% | 117 | 3 | 30.2% | 120 |