This is what the College Football Playoff rankings would look like if the committee was comprised of the advanced stat ratings by Bill Connelly, Brian Fremeau, and ESPN.
I applied the Committee's voting process with a small amount of human intervention:
- Two-loss teams were not included in any listing steps until the top-3 had been ranked.
- Three-loss teams were not included in any listing steps until all undefeated, one-loss, and two-loss teams from the original consideration list had been exhausted.
Most Overrated Compared to Actual CFP Rankings
- Iowa - 12 spots
- Michigan St. - 4 spots
- Michigan - 3 spots
Hmmm...that's an odd coincidence, Mr. Alvarez and Mr. Osborne.
Most Underrated
- Western Kentucky - Not Ranked
- Baylor - 7 spots
- Florida - 5 spots
| TOP FOUR | ||||
| RK | TEAM | REC | CHG* | CFP RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Alabama | 11-1 | +1 | #2 |
| #2 | Oklahoma | 11-1 | +1 | #3 |
| #3 | Clemson | 12-0 | -2 | #1 |
| #4 | Ohio St. | 11-1 | -- | #6 |
| FIRST OUT | ||||
| RK | TEAM | REC | CHG* | CFP RK |
| #5 | Baylor | 9-2 | +1 | #12 |
| #6 | Notre Dame | 10-2 | -1 | #8 |
| THE REST | ||||
| RK | TEAM | REC | CHG* | CFP RK |
| #7 | Stanford | 10-2 | +3 | #7 |
| #8 | Florida St. | 10-2 | +8 | #9 |
| #9 | Michigan St. | 11-1 | +4 | #5 |
| #10 | TCU | 10-2 | +5 | #11 |
| #11 | North Carolina | 11-1 | +3 | #10 |
| #12 | Ole Miss | 9-3 | +13 | #13 |
| #13 | Florida | 10-2 | -6 | #18 |
| #14 | Oklahoma St. | 10-2 | -5 | #17 |
| #15 | Western Kentucky | 10-2 | UR | N/A |
| #16 | Iowa | 12-0 | +3 | #4 |
| #17 | LSU | 8-3 | -5 | #21 |
| #18 | Michigan | 9-3 | -7 | #15 |
| #19 | Navy | 9-2 | -11 | #23 |
| #20 | Houston | 11-1 | +3 | #19 |
| #21 | Georgia | 9-3 | UR | N/A |
| #22 | USC | 8-4 | +2 | #20 |
| #23 | Toledo | 9-2 | UR | N/A |
| #24 | Tennessee | 8-4 | UR | #25 |
| #25 | Arkansas | 7-5 | UR | N/A |
*Change from Week 12
Here's what the rankings would look like if I applied the process straight-up without regard to the record of any of the teams.
| RK | TEAM | REC |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Alabama | 11-1 |
| #2 | Oklahoma | 11-1 |
| #3 | Clemson | 10-0 |
| #4 | Ohio St. | 10-0 |
| #5 | Ole Miss | 9-3 |
| #6 | Baylor | 9-2 |
| #7 | Notre Dame | 10-2 |
| #8 | Stanford | 10-2 |
| #9 | TCU | 10-2 |
| #10 | Florida St. | 10-2 |
| #11 | Michigan St. | 11-1 |
| #12 | USC | 8-4 |
| #13 | Tennessee | 8-4 |
| #14 | LSU | 8-3 |
| #15 | Michigan | 9-3 |
| #16 | North Carolina | 11-1 |
| #17 | Navy | 9-2 |
| #18 | Arkansas | 7-5 |
| #19 | Florida | 10-2 |
| #20 | West Virginia | 7-4 |
| #21 | Western Kentucky | 10-2 |
| T-#22 | Iowa | 12-0 |
| T-#22 | Mississippi St. | 8-4 |
| T-#22 | Washington | 6-6 |
| #25 | Oklahoma St. | 10-2 |
