Commencing with the initial CFP top 25 rankings of 2015, the selection committee has been overtly biased toward Alabama. The most recent evidence was provided by the Week #12 CFP Top 25. The Crimson Tide remain perched at #2 despite only one win versus a ranked team. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has been demoted to #6 evidently for having no impressive wins even though they have two wins against the current top 25. In fact, a direct comparison shows that Alabama's best win is over supposed #21 Mississippi State and they lost to #18 Ole Miss. The Fighting Irish have wins over #15 Navy and #25 Temple and their only loss is to #1 Clemson.
Their Median Success Level shows that Alabama has played .500 football versus Level 8.5 teams. Notre Dame's only loss is to a Level 11 team and they have a win over a Level 9 team which results in a Median Success Level of 10.0. Underscoring the incongruity of the rankings is the fact that Notre Dame reaches a positive Plus-Minus before Alabama evens gets back to zero. The Tide have only accumulated 0.441 more Earned Wins than the Irish by playing a slightly more challenging schedule.
FBS Logical Football Rankings takes issue with the CFP selection committee largely for its inconsistencies. If they are going to reward teams for impressive SOS, why is Northwestern (SOS #27) routinely under-ranked and Florida State (SOS #70) so highly regarded. The Wildcats have three wins (Stanford, Penn State, and Wisconsin) that are all better than the Seminoles' best win (Miami, FL) and Northwestern's worst loss to CFP #10 Michigan stands in stark contrast to FSU's embarrassing loss to 3-8 Georgia Tech. By devaluing the Wildcats, the committee indirectly devalues Iowa. The Hawkeyes resounding road-win over Northwestern is worthy of substantial recognition but the committee's habit of using name-identification as a ranking criterion taints the minds of naive college football fans.
Ranking college football teams is similar to scoring an Olympic diving competition. The divers are judged not only on the precise execution of each dive, but just as importantly, on the degree of difficulty of each dive just as college football teams must be rated according to both winning percentage and strength of schedule. Undoubtedly, this is not an easy task in either sport, but it is advantageous in the spirit of fairness to emphasize objective measures in favor of the subjective. The widely-accepted "eye test" is just an excuse to infuse one's biases into the rankings. The bottom line of any legitimate athletic competition is winning within the bounds of the rules. The CFP selection committee needs to understand that although ugly girls do not win beauty pageants ugly football teams often win championships.
2015 Week #12 FBS LOGICAL Football Rankings
- Clemson (11-0)
- Iowa (11-0)
- Notre Dame (10-1)
- Michigan St (10-1)
- Alabama (10-1)
- Oklahoma (10-1)
- Michigan (9-2)
- Northwestern (9-2)
- Baylor (9-1)
- Ohio State (10-1)
- Florida (10-1)
- Navy (9-1)
- Oklahoma St (10-1)
- Stanford (9-2)
- North Carolina (10-1)
- Texas Christian (9-2)
- Ole Miss (8-3)
- Louisiana St (8-3)
- Washington St (8-3)
- Houston (10-1)
- Oregon (8-3)
- UCLA (8-3)
- Utah (8-3)
- Temple (9-2)
- Texas A&M (8-3)
For an objective, logical approach to ranking the FBS college football teams check out FBS LOGICAL Football Rankings.