Football Study Hall - Week 15 college football advanced box scores
Because some nerds don't love baseball.
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2013-12-11T12:40:01-05:00
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/rss/stream/4963591
2013-12-11T12:40:01-05:00
2013-12-11T12:40:01-05:00
Study Hall: MWC Championship
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/5HRYr9ImopTQa08I6m7g_uYHhfI=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24931839/20131207_krj_se9_326.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the 2013 Mountain West Championship, a 24-17 Fresno State win over Utah State.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/12/10/5195414/auburn-michigan-state-football-stats" target="_blank">From Tuesday's Numerical</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Darell Garretson and Craig Harrison completed just 16 of 35 passes for 253 yards and two picks and were sacked eight times, and Utah State averaged just 4.1 yards per play for the game as a whole.</p>
<p>The Aggies were able to stay in the game thanks to both their ability to make stops and Fresno State's ability to falter before the goal line. The Bulldogs made a whopping 10 trips inside Utah State's 40-yard line but turned the ball over twice (in one instance, USU returned a fumble the length of the field for a touchdown), punted once, and turned the ball over on downs three times. Thanks to the fumble return touchdown, USU bought time for its offense to get rolling; but USU was able to score only twice in six trips inside Fresno's 40, missing a field goal, turning the ball over twice, and faltering on fourth down once.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Utah State did not do very well on passing downs ... but the Aggies were twice as bad on standard downs. Took a turnovers miracle to keep this game winnable.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Fresno State 24, Utah State 17</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> FS</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> USU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> FS</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> USU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">94.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">63.2%</td>
<td align="right">41.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 46.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 15.8%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 73.6%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 57.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
<td align="right">0.26</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.946</td>
<td align="right">0.417</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">43.4</td>
<td align="right">26.6</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">44.8%</td>
<td align="right">22.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">39.1%</td>
<td align="right">32.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.35</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.947</td>
<td align="right">0.579</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.951</td>
<td align="right">0.797</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">7.7</td>
<td align="right">8.7</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 38.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 13.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">20.8</td>
<td align="right">5.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.25</td>
<td align="right">0.23</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-15.6</td>
<td align="right"><b> +15.6</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.637</td>
<td align="right">0.362</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">1.92</td>
<td align="right">2.27</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.049</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.393</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.217</td>
<td align="right">0.809</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.814</td>
<td align="right">0.566</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">35.7</td>
<td align="right">17.9</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.504</td>
<td align="right">0.599</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 48.2%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 30.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.64</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.149</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.333</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.119</td>
<td align="right">0.759</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.744</td>
<td align="right">0.870</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">7.7% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right"><b> 17.7% / 21.1%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.813</td>
<td align="right">0.709</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Fresno State +1.2 | Actual Pt. Margin: Fresno State +7</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199440/2013-mwc-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T12:20:02-05:00
2013-12-11T12:20:02-05:00
Study Hall: B1G Championship
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/PiRYKEA8iPlRSq-YrWf11N_-ups=/0x132:4000x2799/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24931299/20131207_mje_ss1_2024.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the Big Ten Championship, a 34-24 Michigan State win over Ohio State.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>1-for-10! Ohio State was 1-for-10 on third downs! And 0-for-2 on fourth downs! Didn't matter if they were short or long ... Ohio State wasn't converting them.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Michigan State 34, Ohio State 24</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> MSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b>tOSU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> MSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> tOSU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">44.4%</td>
<td align="right">39.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.7%</td>
<td align="right">46.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">62.5%</td>
<td align="right">63.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.024</td>
<td align="right">0.952</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">40.2</td>
<td align="right">34.7</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">37.5%</td>
<td align="right">42.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 22.2%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 36.4%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.57</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.71</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.933</td>
<td align="right">0.995</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.781</td>
<td align="right">1.072</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.2</td>
<td align="right">25.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 38.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 52.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">3.8</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-3.8</td>
<td align="right">+3.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.813</td>
<td align="right">1.190</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right"><b> 2.43</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 4.02</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.427</td>
<td align="right">0.659</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.500</td>
<td align="right">1.303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.577</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.279</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">27.0</td>
<td align="right">9.5</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.261</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.261</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.6%</td>
<td align="right">26.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
<td align="right">0.41</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.906</td>
<td align="right">0.999</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.024</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.672</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.093</td>
<td align="right">1.557</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">5.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">8.3% / 9.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.681</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.048</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Michigan State +1.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: Michigan State +10</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199442/2013-big-ten-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T12:00:02-05:00
2013-12-11T12:00:02-05:00
Study Hall: Pac-12 Championship
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/bsHzEPU9ycDEPsjUkX7kwaaV5TM=/0x130:4000x2797/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24931255/20131207_mjr_su5_023.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the 2013 Pac-12 Championship, a 38-14 Stanford win over Arizona State.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/12/10/5195414/auburn-michigan-state-football-stats" target="_blank">From Tuesday's Numerical</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>In Stanford's first four drives, the Cardinal gained 270 yards in 21 plays, scored four touchdowns, and created a scenario almost exactly like the one from the first Stanford-ASU game this year.</p>
<p>On September 21, Stanford went up 39-7 before weathering a late ASU charge. This time around, the charge was less difficult to weather. A suddenly one-dimensional ASU offense couldn't sustain any momentum, and Stanford was able to tee off on quarterback Taylor Kelly, who finished 17-for-25 for just 173 yards with one score and five sacks (yards per pass attempt: 4.6). The Cardinal cruised to a 38-14 win and a second straight conference title.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Start smoking hot and dominate field position. That's a pretty good recipe for success.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Stanford 38, Arizona State 14</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> ASU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Stanford</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> ASU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Stanford</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">77.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 30.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 51.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">41.7%</td>
<td align="right">39.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">67.9%</td>
<td align="right">58.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
<td align="right">0.41</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.835</td>
<td align="right">0.806</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">28.8</td>
<td align="right">49.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">37.7%</td>
<td align="right">41.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">29.4%</td>
<td align="right">45.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
<td align="right">0.76</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.70</td>
<td align="right">1.25</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.885</td>
<td align="right">1.181</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.992</td>
<td align="right">1.705</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">15.8</td>
<td align="right">27.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td align="right">46.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
<td align="right">4.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.42</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.86</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+4.4</td>
<td align="right">-4.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.757</td>
<td align="right">1.320</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.55</td>
<td align="right">3.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.905</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.946</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.815</td>
<td align="right">0.806</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.899</td>
<td align="right">0.989</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.1</td>
<td align="right">22.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.328</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.188</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">45.0%</td>
<td align="right">35.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.65</td>
<td align="right">0.63</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.833</td>
<td align="right">0.677</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.097</td>
<td align="right">0.985</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.856</td>
<td align="right">1.714</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">16.7% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">30.0% / 10.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.608</td>
<td align="right">1.186</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Stanford +16.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Stanford +24</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199436/2013-pac-12-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T11:40:01-05:00
2013-12-11T11:40:01-05:00
Study Hall: FSU-Duke
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/L5_mcEc3HjgYcVi8XOEa7MmKdag=/3x0:3996x2662/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24930953/20131207_bsd_sd2_599.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the 2013 ACC Championship, a 45-7 Florida State win over Duke.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>It's really, really hard to end up with a leverage rate under 50%. Hard, but not impossible.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/12/10/5195414/auburn-michigan-state-football-stats" target="_blank">From Tuesday's Numerical</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>In their first ACC title game, the Blue Devils came prepared on defense, allowing just seven points and forcing three punts and a turnover on Florida State's first five possessions. But the Duke offense traveled more than 11 yards just once in its first 10 drives and missed a field goal in its only scoring opportunity. When FSU's Karlos Williams scored on a mean, contact-heavy 12-yard run to make the score 14-0 late in the first half, it felt like the game was over. It would only get worse from there, of course; the Seminoles cruised, 45-7.</p>
</blockquote>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Florida State 45, Duke 7</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Duke</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> FSU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Duke</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> FSU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">60.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">27.4%</td>
<td align="right">44.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">26.3%</td>
<td align="right">51.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 47.5%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 62.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.15</td>
<td align="right">0.59</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.410</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.106</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">19.9</td>
<td align="right">54.5</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">22.5%</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">19.1%</td>
<td align="right">47.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.20</td>
<td align="right">0.64</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.25</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.71</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.424</td>
<td align="right">1.137</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.436</td>
<td align="right">1.187</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">8.6</td>
<td align="right">23.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 21.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 50.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">12.2</td>
<td align="right">11.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.18</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-1.2</td>
<td align="right">+1.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.394</td>
<td align="right">1.057</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.20</td>
<td align="right">3.96</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.599</td>
<td align="right">0.931</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.111</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.231</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.596</td>
<td align="right">1.754</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">11.2</td>
<td align="right">31.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.925</td>
<td align="right">0.977</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 23.1%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 50.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.21</td>
<td align="right">0.71</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.592</td>
<td align="right">1.220</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.440</td>
<td align="right">1.211</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.611</td>
<td align="right">1.478</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 5.9%</td>
<td align="right">8.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.600</td>
<td align="right">0.997</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Florida State +35.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Florida State +38</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199434/2013-acc-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T11:20:02-05:00
2013-12-11T11:20:02-05:00
Study Hall: Baylor-Texas
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8tYY372maLEUxiDFV2NnPui0xRk=/3x0:3996x2662/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24930785/20131207_krj_an4_122.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from Baylor's 30-10 win over Texas on Saturday.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Blown opportunities by Texas prevented an upset bid ... and blown opportunities by Baylor prevented a complete and total blowout.</p>
<p><u>Trips Inside 40</u>: Baylor 9, Texas 5<br><u>Points Per Trip</u>: Baylor 3.3, Texas 2.0</p>
<p>(Anything under about 4.0 or 4.5 is pretty damn bad.)</p>
<p>Oh yeah, and Texas' passing numbers are almost comically bad. Case McCoy: 12-for-34, 54 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 sack for 1 yard. Yards per pass attempt: 1.5. Wow.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Baylor 30, Texas 10</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Baylor</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Texas</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Baylor</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Texas</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">90.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">52.2%</td>
<td align="right">50.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">52.7%</td>
<td align="right">40.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">64.0%</td>
<td align="right">61.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
<td align="right">0.37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.054</td>
<td align="right">0.780</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">47.4</td>
<td align="right">18.8</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">43.0%</td>
<td align="right">30.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">25.8%</td>
<td align="right">13.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.30</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.17</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.955</td>
<td align="right">0.598</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.780</td>
<td align="right">0.304</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">21.1</td>
<td align="right">14.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">41.3%</td>
<td align="right">38.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
<td align="right">10.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.41</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+10.3</td>
<td align="right">-10.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.822</td>
<td align="right">0.820</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.97</td>
<td align="right">3.19</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.889</td>
<td align="right">0.681</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.808</td>
<td align="right">0.720</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.082</td>
<td align="right">0.336</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">26.3</td>
<td align="right">4.7</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.012</td>
<td align="right">0.317</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 45.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 20.7%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.66</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.15</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.184</td>
<td align="right">0.836</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.107</td>
<td align="right">0.360</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.754</td>
<td align="right">0.427</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">10.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 6.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.844</td>
<td align="right">0.248</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Baylor +38.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Baylor +20</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199432/baylor-texas-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T11:00:03-05:00
2013-12-11T11:00:03-05:00
Study Hall: CUSA Championship
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/kT_-UnJbCCnllBj7pxkRBEcrUaA=/13x0:3986x2649/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24929979/20131207_lbm_sq8_173.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Brendan Maloney-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the 2013 Conference USA Championship, a 41-24 Rice win over Marshall.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>If you cannot stop Rice from running efficiently, you might lose. If you also cannot stop Rice from making big plays on passing downs, you will <i>almost certainly</i> lose.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Rice 41, Marshall 24</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Marshall</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Rice</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Marshall</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Rice</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">72.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">42.3%</td>
<td align="right">34.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">48.5%</td>
<td align="right">61.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">61.1%</td>
<td align="right">60.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.36</td>
<td align="right">0.71</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.846</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.325</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">34.2</td>
<td align="right">46.1</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.7%</td>
<td align="right">51.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">28.6%</td>
<td align="right">35.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.79</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.41</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.90</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.786</td>
<td align="right">1.295</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.691</td>
<td align="right">1.250</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">10.9</td>
<td align="right">22.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 37.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 52.9%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">2.7</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.29</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-2.7</td>
<td align="right">+2.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.672</td>
<td align="right">1.019</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right"><b> 2.91</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 3.91</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.727</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.325</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.908</td>
<td align="right">1.022</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.727</td>
<td align="right">1.494</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">23.3</td>
<td align="right">23.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.082</td>
<td align="right">0.867</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">44.0%</td>
<td align="right">47.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.48</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.38</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.928</td>
<td align="right">1.146</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.918</td>
<td align="right">1.849</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.802</td>
<td align="right">1.344</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">7.7% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.882</td>
<td align="right">1.081</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Rice +14.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: Rice +17</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199430/2013-conference-usa-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T10:40:02-05:00
2013-12-11T10:40:02-05:00
Study Hall: OU-OSU
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/FGzJ3xgTx_1lgakuWQkbIxKXv7w=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24929653/454187381.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Brett Deering</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from Oklahoma's 33-24 upset of Oklahoma State in Stillwater on Saturday.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/12/10/5195414/auburn-michigan-state-football-stats" target="_blank">From this week's Numerical</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Yards per play averaged by Oklahoma in an odd 33-24 Bedlam win over Oklahoma State. The Sooners scored on a punt return in the first quarter, a fake field goal (with the play clock down to :00) in the third, and a fumble recovery in the final seconds. Three Oklahoma quarterbacks combined to complete 15 of 32 passes for 185 yards, a touchdown and an interception and rushed for 46 yards in 13 carries. Running back Brennan Clay, fresh off of a 200-yard performance against Kansas State two weeks ago, carried 24 times for 70 yards. OU punted eight times, four times after three-and-outs. Their first four possessions of the second half: INT, three-and-out, three-and-out, three-and-out. And they scored 33 points and won.</p>
<p>In the end, this Oklahoma win was only marginally less fluky than Alabama's loss to Auburn a week and a half ago. And now the Sooners, ranked 23rd in the F/+ rankings (easily their worst ranking since 2005) will face the second-ranked Crimson Tide in what will probably be a big-name, low-drama Sugar Bowl.</p>
</blockquote>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Oklahoma 33, Oklahoma State 24</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Oklahoma</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> OSU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Oklahoma</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> OSU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">54.8%</td>
<td align="right">45.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">44.2%</td>
<td align="right">51.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 58.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 70.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.37</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.68</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.810</td>
<td align="right">1.187</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">32.8</td>
<td align="right">37.0</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">37.0%</td>
<td align="right">42.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">26.7%</td>
<td align="right">23.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.56</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.18</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.819</td>
<td align="right">0.957</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.831</td>
<td align="right">0.421</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">16.1</td>
<td align="right">19.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 37.5%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 47.1%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.3</td>
<td align="right">9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.40</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+9.5</td>
<td align="right">-9.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.777</td>
<td align="right">1.030</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.59</td>
<td align="right">3.60</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.655</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.044</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.899</td>
<td align="right">1.031</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.560</td>
<td align="right">0.894</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">16.7</td>
<td align="right">18.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.070</td>
<td align="right">0.871</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.4%</td>
<td align="right">38.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.717</td>
<td align="right">1.301</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.870</td>
<td align="right">0.888</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.036</td>
<td align="right">0.970</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 6.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.468</td>
<td align="right">0.120</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Oklahoma +5.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Oklahoma +9</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199426/oklahoma-oklahoma-state-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-12-11T10:20:01-05:00
2013-12-11T10:20:01-05:00
Study Hall: MAC Championship
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/FH6QtrwukMcA2L95Jmae-ojuRGI=/0x6:4000x2673/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/24929557/20131207_pjc_aw3_654.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Advanced stats from the 2013 MAC Championship game, a 47-27 Bowling Green win over Northern Illinois.</p> <p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Big plays: BGSU had 'em, NIU didn't.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Bowling Green 47, Northern Illinois 27</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> BGSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> NIU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> BGSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> NIU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">79.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">65.7%</td>
<td align="right">54.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">64.9%</td>
<td align="right">58.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">66.1%</td>
<td align="right">68.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.02</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.54</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.669</td>
<td align="right">1.124</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">56.2</td>
<td align="right">40.9</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">55.4%</td>
<td align="right">49.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.8%</td>
<td align="right">30.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.90</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.66</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.39</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.451</td>
<td align="right">0.987</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.026</td>
<td align="right">0.691</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">18.9</td>
<td align="right">21.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.7%</td>
<td align="right"><b> 53.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">3.9</td>
<td align="right">9.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+5.8</td>
<td align="right">-5.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.887</td>
<td align="right">1.058</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.66</td>
<td align="right">3.98</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>2.265</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.107</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.327</td>
<td align="right">0.736</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.108</td>
<td align="right">1.311</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">37.3</td>
<td align="right">19.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.920</td>
<td align="right">1.003</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">69.0%</td>
<td align="right">45.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.29</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.531</td>
<td align="right">1.143</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.976</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.922</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.321</td>
<td align="right">0.829</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 15.4%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.795</td>
<td align="right">1.043</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Bowling Green +21.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Bowling Green +20</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/12/11/5199428/2013-mac-championship-football-stats-recap
Bill C.