Football Study Hall - College football advanced box scores, Week 11
Because some nerds don't love baseball.
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2013-11-13T17:15:02-05:00
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/rss/stream/4864745
2013-11-13T17:15:02-05:00
2013-11-13T17:15:02-05:00
Study Hall: Stanford-Oregon
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Lrb2YGXNWjqtALZnOzW-MCTVPWg=/0x2:4000x2669/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23098531/187313446.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Ezra Shaw</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>I've already said it a couple of times this week, but I'll say it one more: Oregon doesn't have a Stanford problem. Oregon has a "Lost two fumbles and got outplayed" problem.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Stanford 26, Oregon 20</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Oregon</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Stanford</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Oregon</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Stanford</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">82.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">58.6%</td>
<td align="right">64.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 30.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 54.6%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">60.0%</td>
<td align="right">69.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.29</td>
<td align="right">0.46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.587</td>
<td align="right">1.005</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">30.5</td>
<td align="right">35.6</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.0%</td>
<td align="right">49.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 55.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 36.8%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.74</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.866</td>
<td align="right">0.960</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.286</td>
<td align="right">0.854</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">7.4</td>
<td align="right">25.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 26.3%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 50.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">11.2</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.34</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-11.2</td>
<td align="right">+11.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.606</td>
<td align="right">0.893</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.72</td>
<td align="right"><b> 3.45</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.523</td>
<td align="right">0.950</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.255</td>
<td align="right">1.097</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.690</td>
<td align="right">1.033</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">23.1</td>
<td align="right">9.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.412</td>
<td align="right">0.492</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">48.4%</td>
<td align="right">46.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.54</td>
<td align="right">0.75</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.644</td>
<td align="right">0.802</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.026</td>
<td align="right">1.215</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.268</td>
<td align="right">0.880</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 11.8% / 7.1%</b></td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.540</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.117</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Stanford +16.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Stanford +6</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096476/stanford-oregon-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T17:01:02-05:00
2013-11-13T17:01:02-05:00
Study Hall: Syracuse-Maryland
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/7BKPD46ScoBRyvAQxjLSS6mHJZU=/0x70:2667x1848/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23097545/20131109_mbr_ax1_229.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>For the second straight year, Maryland's defense seems to be collapsing under the weight of a collapsed offense. Meanwhile, Syracuse allowed 56 points to Georgia Tech ... and then allowed three points combined in the next two weeks. Makes sense.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Syracuse 20, Maryland 3</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Maryland</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Syracuse</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Maryland</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Syracuse</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">80.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">46.1%</td>
<td align="right">40.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td align="right">41.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">60.7%</td>
<td align="right">65.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.40</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.895</td>
<td align="right">0.858</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">24.7</td>
<td align="right">34.5</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">39.3%</td>
<td align="right">35.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">22.7%</td>
<td align="right">23.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.32</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.54</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.21</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.70</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.714</td>
<td align="right">0.887</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.434</td>
<td align="right">0.942</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">9.3</td>
<td align="right">22.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.7%</td>
<td align="right">38.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">16.9</td>
<td align="right">7.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.27</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-9.6</td>
<td align="right">+9.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.641</td>
<td align="right">0.894</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.30</td>
<td align="right"><b> 3.52</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.105</td>
<td align="right">0.848</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.586</td>
<td align="right">0.959</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.719</td>
<td align="right">0.534</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">15.4</td>
<td align="right">12.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.463</td>
<td align="right">0.759</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">42.3%</td>
<td align="right">28.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.59</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.697</td>
<td align="right">0.759</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.799</td>
<td align="right">0.875</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.619</td>
<td align="right">0.943</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 7.1%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.709</td>
<td align="right">0.682</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Syracuse +19.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Syracuse +17</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096460/syracuse-maryland-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T16:45:02-05:00
2013-11-13T16:45:02-05:00
Study Hall: Vandy-Florida
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/_CSUu4ujou0OtJZg_ZQr0oOVIUg=/0x101:4000x2768/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23098005/20131109_jla_sv7_385.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>In most weeks, a minus-22.3 point turnover differential would be worth noting. But in the same week as Wake Forest-Florida State, this game could go unnoticed ... aside from that whole "First win in Gainesville since WWII" thing. As with the Florida-Miami game, Florida's offense actually made more good plays than the opponent's offense ... and made infinitely more bad plays, too.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Vanderbilt 34, Florida 17</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Vanderbilt</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Vanderbilt</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">81.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 47.5%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 64.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.3%</td>
<td align="right">51.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">70.7%</td>
<td align="right">69.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.37</td>
<td align="right">0.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.831</td>
<td align="right">0.857</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">31.3</td>
<td align="right">17.8</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">39.7%</td>
<td align="right">43.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">23.5%</td>
<td align="right">25.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.32</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.20</td>
<td align="right">0.31</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.714</td>
<td align="right">0.768</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.433</td>
<td align="right">0.564</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">8.0</td>
<td align="right">14.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 40.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 50.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">22.3</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.26</td>
<td align="right">0.36</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right"><b> -22.3</b></td>
<td align="right">+22.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.663</td>
<td align="right">0.858</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.37</td>
<td align="right">2.62</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.666</td>
<td align="right">0.790</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.751</td>
<td align="right">0.542</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.119</td>
<td align="right">0.994</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">23.2</td>
<td align="right">3.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.887</td>
<td align="right">0.357</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 38.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 23.1%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.37</td>
<td align="right">0.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.845</td>
<td align="right">0.904</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.758</td>
<td align="right">0.492</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.854</td>
<td align="right">0.481</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 11.1% / 15.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 14.3% / 16.7%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.762</td>
<td align="right">0.626</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Vanderbilt +8.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Vanderbilt +17</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096876/vanderbilt-florida-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T16:30:02-05:00
2013-11-13T16:30:02-05:00
Study Hall: Alabama-LSU
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/HrVzizmxNRNP5U17sAWLm9GflfI=/0x37:4000x2704/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23097349/201301109_rvr_sx1_335.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>John David Mercer-USA TODAY Spor</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>One team could run. The other couldn't.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Alabama 38, LSU 17</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Alabama</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> LSU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Alabama</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> LSU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">93.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">53.2%</td>
<td align="right">46.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">54.4%</td>
<td align="right">53.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">78.0%</td>
<td align="right">61.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.107</td>
<td align="right">1.012</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">35.4</td>
<td align="right">26.5</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">54.2%</td>
<td align="right">44.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 53.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 31.6%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.62</td>
<td align="right">0.55</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.80</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.158</td>
<td align="right">0.999</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.341</td>
<td align="right">0.978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">18.7</td>
<td align="right">7.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 55.3%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 38.5%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
<td align="right">10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.29</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right"><b> +10.2</b></td>
<td align="right">-10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.070</td>
<td align="right">0.676</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.80</td>
<td align="right">2.17</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.575</td>
<td align="right">1.255</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.575</td>
<td align="right">1.112</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.060</td>
<td align="right">0.836</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">16.7</td>
<td align="right">19.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.048</td>
<td align="right">0.027</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">52.4%</td>
<td align="right">52.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.79</td>
<td align="right">0.84</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.092</td>
<td align="right">1.132</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.318</td>
<td align="right">1.364</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.226</td>
<td align="right">0.414</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">7.7% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">10.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.752</td>
<td align="right">1.306</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Alabama +19.0 | Actual Pt. Margin: Alabama +21</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096864/alabama-lsu-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T16:15:03-05:00
2013-11-13T16:15:03-05:00
Study Hall: Baylor-Oklahoma
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/YtH1fcCN0nYblGl3OPhy2wKVxQY=/0x22:4000x2689/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23097213/20131107_mje_sh2_379.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Oklahoma's defense had some intriguing success against Baylor on passing downs, and it kept the Sooners in the game for a while. But Oklahoma's <i>offense</i> had no success at anything. Like, almost literally nothing. That'll catch up to you eventually.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Baylor 41, Oklahoma 12</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Baylor</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Oklahoma</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Baylor</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Oklahoma</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">66.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">56.3%</td>
<td align="right">43.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 46.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 12.5%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">61.7%</td>
<td align="right">61.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.13</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.957</td>
<td align="right">0.253</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">46.5</td>
<td align="right">21.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">38.3%</td>
<td align="right">15.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">26.1%</td>
<td align="right">20.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.58</td>
<td align="right">0.22</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.70</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.960</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.378</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.966</td>
<td align="right">0.580</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">25.0</td>
<td align="right">8.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 41.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 15.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
<td align="right">7.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
<td align="right">0.15</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+7.2</td>
<td align="right">-7.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.911</td>
<td align="right">0.304</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.87</td>
<td align="right">1.31</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.567</td>
<td align="right">0.214</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.148</td>
<td align="right">0.561</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.176</td>
<td align="right">0.907</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">21.5</td>
<td align="right">13.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.044</td>
<td align="right">0.427</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 33.3%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 15.8%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.70</td>
<td align="right">0.30</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.032</td>
<td align="right">0.597</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.033</td>
<td align="right">0.457</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.058</td>
<td align="right">0.549</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 12.5%</td>
<td align="right">14.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.729</td>
<td align="right">0.530</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Baylor +32.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Baylor +29</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096482/baylor-oklahoma-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T16:00:03-05:00
2013-11-13T16:00:03-05:00
Study Hall: Louisville-UConn
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/K7m6TSnkRWC2lEvQjpJrQIH-aAQ=/7x0:3992x2657/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23097083/187413538.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Jared Wickerham</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>I tried watching this game like six separate times but just couldn't for very long. Louisville had nothing to prove, and UConn had almost nothing to offer.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Louisville 31, Connecticut 10</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> UConn</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Louisville</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b>UConn</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Louisville</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">73.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">39.4%</td>
<td align="right">49.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">47.1%</td>
<td align="right">52.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">70.8%</td>
<td align="right">63.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.31</td>
<td align="right">0.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.782</td>
<td align="right">1.149</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">22.0</td>
<td align="right">33.8</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td align="right">48.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 40.0%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.22</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.01</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.556</td>
<td align="right">1.016</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.007</td>
<td align="right">0.788</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">8.0</td>
<td align="right">7.5</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 50.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 37.5%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">21.6</td>
<td align="right">3.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td align="right">0.28</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-18.6</td>
<td align="right"><b> +18.6</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.834</td>
<td align="right">0.658</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.18</td>
<td align="right">2.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.910</td>
<td align="right">0.871</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.376</td>
<td align="right">1.225</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.005</td>
<td align="right">0.838</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">14.0</td>
<td align="right">26.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.867</td>
<td align="right">0.609</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">16.7%</td>
<td align="right">56.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.11</td>
<td align="right">0.74</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.426</td>
<td align="right">0.924</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.278</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.302</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.777</td>
<td align="right">1.056</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 57.1%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.646</td>
<td align="right">0.837</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Louisville +30.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Louisville +21</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096456/louisville-uconn-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-13T15:40:02-05:00
2013-11-13T15:40:02-05:00
Study Hall: UCF-Houston
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/1OT7xh5acmTBq5Fkl-XLzbXrxcE=/0x152:4000x2819/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23096893/20131113_kdl_bb1_155.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>The better team definitely won -- UCF forced more passing downs, played more efficiently, and almost completely shut down Houston's offense in the first half. But wow, those turnovers could have swung things even more than they did. Houston recovered all three of the game's fumbles and almost stole UCF's conference title shot.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Central Florida 19, Houston 14</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> UCF</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Houston</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> UCF</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Houston</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">42.0%</td>
<td align="right">49.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 55.6%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 38.6%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">78.3%</td>
<td align="right">58.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
<td align="right">0.27</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.069</td>
<td align="right">0.661</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">36.7</td>
<td align="right">32.9</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.7%</td>
<td align="right">44.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 33.3%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 51.6%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
<td align="right">0.44</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
<td align="right">0.67</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.039</td>
<td align="right">0.879</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.931</td>
<td align="right">1.189</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">20.1</td>
<td align="right">13.9</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">48.8%</td>
<td align="right">57.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">15.7</td>
<td align="right">6.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td align="right">0.54</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-9.6</td>
<td align="right">+9.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.955</td>
<td align="right">1.113</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.96</td>
<td align="right">3.55</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.099</td>
<td align="right">0.484</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.913</td>
<td align="right">0.698</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.159</td>
<td align="right">1.148</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">16.6</td>
<td align="right">19.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.989</td>
<td align="right">0.972</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">53.9%</td>
<td align="right">36.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.64</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.003</td>
<td align="right">0.478</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.179</td>
<td align="right">0.755</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.205</td>
<td align="right">1.431</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">13.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">7.7% / 4.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.825</td>
<td align="right">0.794</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Houston +5.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Central Florida +5</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096396/study-hall-ucf-19-houston-14
Bill C.
2013-11-13T15:20:01-05:00
2013-11-13T15:20:01-05:00
Study Hall: Nebraska-Michigan
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gNXG1-L6JcofzTMMgZ_kkTkSWsw=/0x0:3999x2666/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/23096785/20131109_ajw_aa1_205.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Nebraska twice lost fumbles pretty deep in its own territory. On average, those turnovers would have been worth about 8.5 equivalent points; after those turnovers, Michigan went three-and-out twice and attempted two field goals, missing one. Potential value of turnovers: 8.5 points. Actual result of turnovers: 3 points. In a four-point loss.</p>
<p>Oh, and Michigan? Your success rate isn't supposed to be higher on passing downs than standard downs. It's supposed to work the other way around. Stop giving away first down.</p>
<p>Actually, just stop running altogether. You can't do it, so just stop.</p>
<p>Worst single-game Line Yardage average in 2013:<br>1. Michigan (vs. Michigan State): -0.53<br>2. Oregon State (vs. SDSU): 0.11<br>3. Michigan (vs. Nebraska): 0.47<br>4. Miami (vs. Va. Tech): 0.57<br>5. North Texas (vs. Georgia): 0.58</p>
<p>Georgia State got a better push against Alabama than Michigan got against Nebraska. Again...</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p>This Michigan offensive line is just…I don't understand...</p>
— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBN_BillC/statuses/399286007029182464">November 9, 2013</a>
</blockquote>
<p>
<script charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script></p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Nebraska 17, Michigan 13</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Nebraska</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Michigan</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Nebraska</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Michigan</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">43.9%</td>
<td align="right">38.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">38.6%</td>
<td align="right">27.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">66.7%</td>
<td align="right"><b> 58.7%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.17</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.764</td>
<td align="right">0.440</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">25.3</td>
<td align="right">16.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.4%</td>
<td align="right">30.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">31.8%</td>
<td align="right">34.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.747</td>
<td align="right">0.560</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.712</td>
<td align="right">0.731</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.3</td>
<td align="right">2.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td align="right"><b> 6.9%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">8.5</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.32</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.07</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-8.5</td>
<td align="right">+8.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.650</td>
<td align="right">0.137</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.50</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.47</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.962</td>
<td align="right">0.556</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.228</td>
<td align="right">0.424</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.525</td>
<td align="right">0.825</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">12.0</td>
<td align="right">14.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.933</td>
<td align="right">0.341</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">41.7%</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.740</td>
<td align="right">0.610</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.916</td>
<td align="right">0.921</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.662</td>
<td align="right">0.641</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">26.7% / 15.8%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 9.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.675</td>
<td align="right">0.375</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Nebraska +0.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Nebraska +4</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left"> </p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/13/5096362/study-hall-nebraska-17-michigan-13
Bill C.