Football Study Hall - College football advanced box scores, Week 10
Because some nerds don't love baseball.
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2013-11-06T16:20:03-05:00
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/rss/stream/4837503
2013-11-06T16:20:03-05:00
2013-11-06T16:20:03-05:00
Study Hall: UCLA-Colorado
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/z_Ry2SM0_j6R_Le3cY5N72qk3GM=/0x153:4000x2820/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22616097/20131102_sng_al2_005.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p><a href="http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/11/5/5068268/college-football-stats-2013-auburn" target="_blank">As I mentioned in yesterday's Numerical</a>, Colorado really did execute its gameplan pretty well, and with a true freshman quarterback to boot. But the Buffs lost the game's only turnover (and it was a pretty costly one), and <a class="sbn-auto-link" href="http://www.sbnation.com/ncaa-football/players/38230/brett-hundley">Brett Hundley</a> and the Bruins offense was actually better on passing downs than standard downs. Moral victory for CU, but Mike MacIntyre just doesn't have the pieces yet.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">UCLA 45, Colorado 23</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Colorado</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> UCLA</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Colorado</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> UCLA</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">81.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">44.7%</td>
<td align="right">61.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">41.2%</td>
<td align="right">44.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">63.0%</td>
<td align="right">70.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td align="right">0.55</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.739</td>
<td align="right">1.002</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">33.9</td>
<td align="right">41.2</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">42.6%</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">45.0%</td>
<td align="right">62.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.47</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.77</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.70</td>
<td align="right">1.27</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.893</td>
<td align="right">1.268</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.155</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.898</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">12.7</td>
<td align="right">14.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">25.0%</td>
<td align="right">46.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">5.0</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.31</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-5.0</td>
<td align="right">+5.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.561</td>
<td align="right">0.949</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.85</td>
<td align="right">3.12</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.710</td>
<td align="right">1.314</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.069</td>
<td align="right">1.411</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.952</td>
<td align="right">1.208</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">21.2</td>
<td align="right">27.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.733</td>
<td align="right">0.867</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">61.5%</td>
<td align="right">54.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.64</td>
<td align="right">1.12</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.749</td>
<td align="right">0.919</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.251</td>
<td align="right">1.665</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.766</td>
<td align="right">1.442</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.218</td>
<td align="right">1.403</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: UCLA +12.2 | Actual Pt. Margin: UCLA +22</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073996/ucla-colorado-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T16:00:03-05:00
2013-11-06T16:00:03-05:00
Study Hall: Colorado State-Boise State
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/JWjW_m1uhFfMBkdIPG9BZtjtsp4=/0x14:4000x2681/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22615685/20131102_sng_bb3_040.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Yeah, I doubt anybody is ruing missed opportunities more than Colorado State this week.</p>
<p><b>Trips inside the 40: CSU 10, Boise State 7<br>Points per trip: BSU 6.0, CSU 3.0</b></p>
<p>Boise State scored touchdowns on six trips and punted from the 38 on the other. CSU, meanwhile, scored four touchdowns, kicked a field goal, turned the ball over on downs twice, missed a field goal, punted once, and lost a fumble. The Rams played some incredible keepaway -- 109 plays, 40 minutes of possession -- but couldn't actually punch the ball in.</p>
<p>(Meanwhile, Boise State has gone from "national power" to "solid mid-major" in a year and a half. Just wanted to point that out.)</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Boise State 42, Colorado State 30</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> CSU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Boise</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> CSU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Boise</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">82.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">60.6%</td>
<td align="right">39.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">54.0%</td>
<td align="right">48.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">72.4%</td>
<td align="right">74.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.87</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.040</td>
<td align="right">1.355</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">56.3</td>
<td align="right">43.4</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">44.8%</td>
<td align="right">44.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">20.8%</td>
<td align="right">30.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.47</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.74</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.916</td>
<td align="right">1.179</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.592</td>
<td align="right">0.678</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">21.9</td>
<td align="right">13.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.5%</td>
<td align="right">35.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">6.5</td>
<td align="right">4.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
<td align="right">0.46</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-1.7</td>
<td align="right">+1.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.890</td>
<td align="right">0.814</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right"><b> 2.83</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 3.48</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.892</td>
<td align="right">1.092</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.013</td>
<td align="right">1.795</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.706</td>
<td align="right">1.130</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">34.3</td>
<td align="right">30.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.272</td>
<td align="right">0.572</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">43.2%</td>
<td align="right">54.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.51</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.10</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.061</td>
<td align="right">1.012</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.942</td>
<td align="right">1.644</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.930</td>
<td align="right">1.015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">3.5% / 13.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.739</td>
<td align="right">1.020</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Colorado State +11.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Boise State +12</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073948/boise-state-colorado-state-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T15:40:06-05:00
2013-11-06T15:40:06-05:00
Study Hall: Nebraska-Northwestern
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/FADNF-UP-duwh5IaZq1vvzBxVxI=/0x140:4000x2807/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22615013/186651063.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Eric Francis</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Sacks on sacks on sacks. And mustaches.</p>
<p>Net passing yards (inc. sacks) for Northwestern: 43 on 25 attempts. Nebraska bailed out the Wildcats with turnovers, then decided to win anyway.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Nebraska 27, Northwestern 24</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Huskers</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Wildcats</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Huskers</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Wildcats</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">39.1%</td>
<td align="right">30.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">52.5%</td>
<td align="right">54.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">64.1%</td>
<td align="right">67.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.40</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.927</td>
<td align="right">1.076</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">42.8</td>
<td align="right">29.5</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">44.6%</td>
<td align="right">42.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">30.3%</td>
<td align="right">18.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.58</td>
<td align="right">0.23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.911</td>
<td align="right">0.860</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.881</td>
<td align="right">0.408</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">19.9</td>
<td align="right">24.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">4</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td align="right">55.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">16.1</td>
<td align="right">7.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.43</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.58</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-8.5</td>
<td align="right">+8.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.933</td>
<td align="right">1.135</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.81</td>
<td align="right">3.23</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.118</td>
<td align="right">1.648</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.789</td>
<td align="right">0.633</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.890</td>
<td align="right">0.574</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">22.9</td>
<td align="right">4.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.905</td>
<td align="right">0.518</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">39.1%</td>
<td align="right">20.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.19</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.338</td>
<td align="right">0.901</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.888</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.386</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.501</td>
<td align="right">1.089</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 4.4% / 13.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 23.1% / 8.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.331</td>
<td align="right">0.501</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Nebraska +4.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Nebraska +3</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073918/nebraska-northwestern-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T15:20:02-05:00
2013-11-06T15:20:02-05:00
Study Hall: OSU-Texas Tech
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/OU627PvY4T9-maGELzE0aSWWNNU=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22614585/20131102_ajw_aj5_412.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Remember how symmetrical the Auburn-Arkansas game was, <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073530/auburn-arkansas-football-stats-recap/in/4837503" target="_blank">how perfectly the projected and actual scoring margins were</a>? Yeah, this game was the opposite.</p>
<p>As far as I can tell, here's the difference-maker:</p>
<p><b>Trips inside the 40: OSU 9, Tech 9 (including pick six)<br>Points per trip: OSU 5.8, Tech 3.8</b></p>
<p>In nine trips, OSU scored seven touchdowns, kicked a field goal, and threw a pick. Meanwhile, Tech scored four touchdowns (three sans the pick six), kicked two field goals, threw a pick, and turned the ball over on downs twice. There is still value in actually punching the ball into the end zone.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Oklahoma State 52, Texas Tech 34</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> OSU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Tech</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> OSU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Tech</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">80.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">47.2%</td>
<td align="right">51.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.6%</td>
<td align="right">47.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">71.6%</td>
<td align="right">70.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.846</td>
<td align="right">1.075</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">47.5</td>
<td align="right">51.7</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">49.4%</td>
<td align="right">47.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">56.5%</td>
<td align="right">45.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.58</td>
<td align="right">0.61</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.09</td>
<td align="right">0.65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.075</td>
<td align="right">1.083</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.652</td>
<td align="right">1.103</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">27.2</td>
<td align="right">13.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">51.1%</td>
<td align="right">43.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">11.9</td>
<td align="right">12.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.57</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+0.4</td>
<td align="right">-0.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.081</td>
<td align="right">0.908</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.20</td>
<td align="right">3.14</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.138</td>
<td align="right">0.929</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.859</td>
<td align="right">1.310</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.237</td>
<td align="right">1.015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">20.3</td>
<td align="right">38.7</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.463</td>
<td align="right">0.693</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">47.1%</td>
<td align="right">48.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.798</td>
<td align="right">1.040</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.067</td>
<td align="right">1.137</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.214</td>
<td align="right">1.102</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.940</td>
<td align="right">0.579</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Texas Tech +3.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Oklahoma State +18</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073870/oklahoma-state-texas-tech-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T15:00:06-05:00
2013-11-06T15:00:06-05:00
Study Hall: Ohio State-Purdue
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/eqNnaPXnPa2rqCLgTG8i26xBT9k=/0x459:3152x2560/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22613965/20131102_jla_ss9_269.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN TORTURE PORN.</p>
<p>How is Purdue's leverage rate so high, by the way? In part because they were turning the ball over so fast that, of the 21 plays they tried before the game reached garbage time, six were drive-starting first downs. Loophole!</p>
<p>But yeah, that whole "immediate garbage time" makes this box score mostly moot. Everything but the EqPts, per-quarter numbers and per-down numbers are based on non-garbage time. Still ... torture porn.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Ohio State 56, Purdue 0</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ohio State</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Purdue</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ohio State</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Purdue</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2"><b> 27.8%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">42.9%</td>
<td align="right">14.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">71.4%</td>
<td align="right">41.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">87.5%</td>
<td align="right">81.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.14</td>
<td align="right">0.20</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.851</td>
<td align="right">0.611</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">58.8</td>
<td align="right">9.0</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">68.8%</td>
<td align="right">42.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.06</td>
<td align="right">0.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.752</td>
<td align="right">0.689</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.061</td>
<td align="right">1.021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">28.4</td>
<td align="right">6.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td align="right">58.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">3.0</td>
<td align="right">11.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.37</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+8.8</td>
<td align="right">-8.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.868</td>
<td align="right">0.918</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.88</td>
<td align="right">3.39</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.752</td>
<td align="right">0.689</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.674</td>
<td align="right">0.219</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.320</td>
<td align="right">0.403</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">30.5</td>
<td align="right">3.0</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.028</td>
<td align="right">0.433</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">75.0%</td>
<td align="right">22.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.30</td>
<td align="right">0.16</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.426</td>
<td align="right">0.550</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">2.047</td>
<td align="right">0.385</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.408</td>
<td align="right">0.550</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">20.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.504</td>
<td align="right">0.147</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Ohio State +58.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Ohio State +56</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073826/ohio-state-purdue-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T14:40:02-05:00
2013-11-06T14:40:02-05:00
Study Hall: Michigan State-Michigan
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/tMhl_qKpKWOhNQOp5zm52Cfkwrw=/0x8:4000x2675/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22612231/186641916.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Gregory Shamus</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>I know that "Michigan State held Michigan to minus-48 yards rushing!" stat is pretty funny, but ... it includes sack yards. I hate counting sack yards as rushing yards. BUT...</p>
<p>...the non-sack production might actually be funnier: 22 carries, one yard. I'm not sure I've ever come across a team averaging negative line yards per carry, but see below. And in the end, if Michigan State's offense is faring better on passing downs than you are on standard downs, you're getting whipped. It's "29-6" whipped and not "58-14" whipped, but it's whipped all the same. And it hurts more, too.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Michigan State 29, Michigan 6</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Michigan</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> State</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Michigan</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> State</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">94.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">39.0%</td>
<td align="right">55.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">32.3%</td>
<td align="right">38.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">56.4%</td>
<td align="right">56.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.29</td>
<td align="right">0.55</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.614</td>
<td align="right">0.931</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">14.3</td>
<td align="right">36.4</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">25.5%</td>
<td align="right">36.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">16.7%</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.25</td>
<td align="right">0.54</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.20</td>
<td align="right">0.53</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.507</td>
<td align="right">0.900</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.368</td>
<td align="right">0.861</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">-0.3</td>
<td align="right">14.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">14.3%</td>
<td align="right">31.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">3.7</td>
<td align="right">4.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">-0.02</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+0.7</td>
<td align="right">-0.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.127</td>
<td align="right">0.744</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">-0.55</td>
<td align="right">2.51</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.511</td>
<td align="right">0.547</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.837</td>
<td align="right">0.843</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.016</td>
<td align="right">0.766</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">14.7</td>
<td align="right">22.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.555</td>
<td align="right">1.116</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">32.4%</td>
<td align="right">41.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
<td align="right">0.65</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.600</td>
<td align="right">0.790</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.742</td>
<td align="right">1.061</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.611</td>
<td align="right">0.641</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 33.3%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 4.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.123</td>
<td align="right">1.239</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Michigan State +21.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Michigan State +23</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073770/michigan-state-michigan-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T14:20:02-05:00
2013-11-06T14:20:02-05:00
Study Hall: Georgia-Florida
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/5HN0iKnm7O1wfk9MweSoFX63a4E=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22611441/20131102_ajw_af6_426.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Rob Foldy-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Yeah, um, you're not going to win when almost half of your plays are passing downs (and you're Florida, and you have that offensive line, and you spot your opponent 20 points). Really, I almost want to commend the Gators for coming as close as they did. But then I remember the first 16 minutes and can't commend them for anything.</p>
<center>
<table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Georgia 23, Florida 20</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Georgia</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Georgia</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">51.4%</td>
<td align="right">41.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.2%</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">55.7%</td>
<td align="right">63.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.787</td>
<td align="right">1.155</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">28.8</td>
<td align="right">38.9</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">37.1%</td>
<td align="right">43.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">25.8%</td>
<td align="right">31.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.41</td>
<td align="right">0.65</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.63</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.783</td>
<td align="right">1.081</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.779</td>
<td align="right">0.953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">15.7</td>
<td align="right">14.7</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">48.7%</td>
<td align="right">42.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
<td align="right">5.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+5.6</td>
<td align="right">-5.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.911</td>
<td align="right">0.871</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right"><b>3.40</b></td>
<td align="right">2.90</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.966</td>
<td align="right">1.683</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.753</td>
<td align="right">0.898</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.732</td>
<td align="right">0.300</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.1</td>
<td align="right">24.1</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.708</td>
<td align="right">0.806</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>24.2%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>44.4%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.40</td>
<td align="right">0.89</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.657</td>
<td align="right">1.303</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.640</td>
<td align="right">1.338</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.920</td>
<td align="right">0.362</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>23.1% / 5.0%</b></td>
<td align="right">7.7% / 7.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.775</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>1.636</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Georgia +4.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Georgia +3</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073700/georgia-florida-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-11-06T14:00:04-05:00
2013-11-06T14:00:04-05:00
Study Hall: Minnesota-Indiana
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Ml6ZYnGgG5uRTi3zbqWPo4d9wFw=/0x98:4000x2765/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22611049/20131102_jla_bl2_701.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>Indiana's starting field position was 12 yards better than Minnesota's, and the Gophers really couldn't run the ball efficiently at all. That meant that a ton had to go right for the Gophers to have a chance. A ton went right, I guess. <a class="sbn-auto-link" href="http://www.sbnation.com/ncaa-football/players/159863/philip-nelson">Philip Nelson</a> looked like [insert great Minnesota QB here ... Cory Sauter? <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_McGovern_(football)" target="_blank">This guy</a>, I guess?], Minnesota recovered three of four fumbles, and the Gophers had just about a perfect second quarter. Just enough.</p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1" border="1"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h4 style="text-align: center;">Minnesota 42, Indiana 39</h4>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Minnesota</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Indiana</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Minnesota</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Indiana</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">97.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">35.9%</td>
<td align="right">53.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.0%</td>
<td align="right">47.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">64.1%</td>
<td align="right">59.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
<td align="right">0.61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.996</td>
<td align="right">1.090</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">53.8</td>
<td align="right">47.6</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">42.3%</td>
<td align="right">40.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">46.4%</td>
<td align="right">31.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.69</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.86</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.113</td>
<td align="right">0.967</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.323</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.789</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">22.9</td>
<td align="right">21.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b> 33.3%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 48.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">4.6</td>
<td align="right">6.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td align="right">0.59</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+1.4</td>
<td align="right">-1.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.782</td>
<td align="right">1.076</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.57</td>
<td align="right">2.24</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.687</td>
<td align="right">0.910</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.453</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.428</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.200</td>
<td align="right">1.145</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">30.9</td>
<td align="right">26.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.046</td>
<td align="right">1.606</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">59.3%</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b> 1.15</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 0.53</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.952</td>
<td align="right">0.797</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.739</td>
<td align="right">0.861</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.434</td>
<td align="right">1.336</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 5.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.947</td>
<td align="right">1.150</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Minnesota +7.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: Minnesota +3</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/11/6/5073652/minnesota-indiana-football-stats-recap
Bill C.