Football Study Hall - College Football advanced box scores, Week 5
Because some nerds don't love baseball.
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2013-10-01T18:15:05-04:00
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/rss/stream/4555893
2013-10-01T18:15:05-04:00
2013-10-01T18:15:05-04:00
Study Hall: WVU-OSU
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/3AnnvrJYQ5GTXViy-HGrM3pplGc=/0x24:4000x2691/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20497135/20130928_pjc_bc1_098.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" border="2" class="stats"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">West Virginia 30, Oklahoma State 21</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> WVU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> OSU</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> WVU</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b>OSU</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b> 44.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 25.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>28.6%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>28.0%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">62.2%</td>
<td align="right">57.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.27</td>
<td align="right">0.23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.560</td>
<td align="right">0.514</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">34.9</td>
<td align="right">38.8</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">27.8%</td>
<td align="right">31.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">26.5%</td>
<td align="right">35.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.57</td>
<td align="right">0.73</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.666</td>
<td align="right">0.757</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.839</td>
<td align="right">1.084</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">5.2</td>
<td align="right">9.2</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">15.8%</td>
<td align="right">28.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right"><b> 3.2</b></td>
<td align="right"><b> 17.1</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.14</td>
<td align="right">0.24</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+13.8</td>
<td align="right">-13.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.294</td>
<td align="right">0.519</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.07</td>
<td align="right">1.11</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.581</td>
<td align="right">0.845</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.816</td>
<td align="right">0.856</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.713</td>
<td align="right">0.753</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">29.7</td>
<td align="right">29.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.563</td>
<td align="right">0.541</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">36.5%</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.57</td>
<td align="right">0.62</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.530</td>
<td align="right">0.684</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.937</td>
<td align="right">0.950</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.138</td>
<td align="right">0.433</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 3.7%</td>
<td align="right">3.5% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.472</td>
<td align="right">0.962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: West Virginia +9.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: West Virginia +9</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">I mean, maybe Oklahoma State was just due. The Cowboys have been one of the most consistently solid teams in the country since, what, 2008? It had been quite a while since they laid an outright egg. But this was about two years' worth of eggs in one. Drops, special teams errors, more drops ... this was just an awful college football game. In the end, WVU earned the win by screwing up less (and hey, that defense might actually be pretty damn good). And power to them for that. But damn, OSU.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4792150/study-hall-west-virginia-30-oklahoma-state-21
Bill C.
2013-10-01T18:00:06-04:00
2013-10-01T18:00:06-04:00
Study Hall: Washington-Arizona
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/yrTkoFcJ8Uced8NQBrekxt2Obcw=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20496111/20130928_ajw_sn8_069.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table class="stats" border="2" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Washington 31, Arizona 13</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Arizona</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Washington</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Arizona</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Washington</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">93.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b>24.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>48.8%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>47.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>28.9%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">61.5%</td>
<td align="right">63.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.36</td>
<td align="right">0.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.842</td>
<td align="right">0.506</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">28.9</td>
<td align="right">37.2</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">35.9%</td>
<td align="right">36.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>16.7%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>50.0%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.35</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.32</td>
<td align="right">0.81</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.706</td>
<td align="right">0.800</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.490</td>
<td align="right">1.309</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">19.4</td>
<td align="right">22.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>43.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>33.3%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">7.4</td>
<td align="right">4.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td align="right">0.36</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-3.3</td>
<td align="right">+3.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.869</td>
<td align="right">0.697</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.19</td>
<td align="right">2.85</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.148</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.700</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.916</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.481</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.799</td>
<td align="right">1.181</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">9.5</td>
<td align="right">14.9</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.680</td>
<td align="right">0.730</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">27.0%</td>
<td align="right">44.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.26</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.60</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.528</td>
<td align="right">0.455</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.526</td>
<td align="right">1.035</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.542</td>
<td align="right">1.175</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">4.8% / 6.3%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.808</td>
<td align="right">0.924</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Washington +11.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: Washington +18</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">This game went in all sorts of strange directions. The Washington defense was incredible in the first quarter, the Arizona offense and defense were good in the second quarter, and the Washington offense was excellent in the third. In the end, the Huskies faced far too many passing downs on offense for my liking, but no matter which team had the ball, Washington was winning on passing downs. Excuse me, <a href="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/fplus2013" target="_blank"><i>No. 7 Washington</i></a><i> </i>was winning...</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788266/washington-arizona-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-10-01T17:45:07-04:00
2013-10-01T17:45:07-04:00
Study Hall: Wyoming-TXST
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/_4uk51MMvgK-bmQR2IFUiZy5W3E=/0x47:2433x1669/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20495843/20130921_jla_aj7_077.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table class="stats" border="2" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Texas State 42, Wyoming 21</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> TXST</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Wyoming</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> TXST</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Wyoming</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">93.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b>41.8%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>24.7%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">56.9%</td>
<td align="right">39.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b>76.1%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>60.3%</b></td>
<td><b></b></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.68</td>
<td align="right">0.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.248</td>
<td align="right">0.811</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">44.2</td>
<td align="right">31.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">49.3%</td>
<td align="right">32.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">25.0%</td>
<td align="right">22.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
<td align="right">0.35</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
<td align="right">0.25</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.152</td>
<td align="right">0.677</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.847</td>
<td align="right">0.474</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">25.0</td>
<td align="right">6.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">50.0%</td>
<td align="right">25.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">2.5</td>
<td align="right">2.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.27</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+0.4</td>
<td align="right">-0.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.021</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.521</b></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.02</td>
<td align="right">3.45</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.147</td>
<td align="right">0.507</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.146</td>
<td align="right">1.071</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.208</td>
<td align="right">0.624</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">19.2</td>
<td align="right">24.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.094</td>
<td align="right">0.801</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">47.4%</td>
<td align="right">36.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">1.01</td>
<td align="right">0.40</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.850</td>
<td align="right">1.627</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.484</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.763</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.940</td>
<td align="right">0.704</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 12.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.488</td>
<td align="right">0.686</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Texas State +13.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Texas State +21</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">My initial guess here was that Wyoming fell asleep, got "exposed," or whatever. But I think it bears mentioning that while Wyoming fell eight spots in the F/+ rankings after this one (from 69th to 77th), Texas State <i>surged</i> from 106th to 72nd. The TXST offense was consistently good, and the defense started each half on fire. Dennis Franchione's Bobcats are a pretty good looking squad.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788132/wyoming-texas-state-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-10-01T17:30:06-04:00
2013-10-01T17:30:06-04:00
Study Hall: Florida-Kentucky
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/37iGAGl0B3HUmll5s0H9ii7EiD8=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20495685/20130928_kdl_sf6_071.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table class="stats" border="2" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Florida 24, Kentucky 7</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Kentucky</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Florida</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Kentucky</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">80.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">61.9%</td>
<td align="right">59.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">58.1%</td>
<td align="right">47.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b>75.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>65.6%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.60</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.25</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.181</td>
<td align="right">0.731</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">37.9</td>
<td align="right">15.4</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">56.1%</td>
<td align="right">40.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>50.0%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>27.3%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.60</td>
<td align="right">0.39</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.61</td>
<td align="right">0.64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.164</td>
<td align="right">0.793</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.111</td>
<td align="right">0.911</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">24.2</td>
<td align="right">7.5</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">55.3%</td>
<td align="right">46.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">7.8</td>
<td align="right">3.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.54</td>
<td align="right">0.55</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-4.5</td>
<td align="right">+4.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.096</td>
<td align="right">1.010</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.19</td>
<td align="right">3.53</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.128</td>
<td align="right">1.338</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.489</td>
<td align="right">0.583</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.079</td>
<td align="right">0.478</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.7</td>
<td align="right">7.9</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.850</td>
<td align="right">0.672</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">57.9%</td>
<td align="right">36.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.72</td>
<td align="right">0.28</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.985</td>
<td align="right">0.669</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.300</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.644</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.393</td>
<td align="right">0.899</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 11.1%</td>
<td align="right">15.4% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.014</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.231</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Florida +17.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Florida +17</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">The Kentucky run game actually impressed a bit ... at least to the extent that UK actually ran the ball. The pass had no hope; I'm not sure <i>any</i> passing game has hope against Florida.</p>
<p align="left">Florida's defense has been so good this year that it's giving us another version of last year's Bama Bump, where teams that play you see a hell of a bump in their offensive ratings simply because they played you. Their numbers are so weirdly strong that it's screwing up the opponent adjustments. It'll even out, but ... consider this the current answer to "How the hell does UK have <a href="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaaoff2013" target="_blank">the No. 6 ranking in Off. S&P+</a> right now?" Well, that, and the Wildcats have actually played TWO top-five defenses (No. 1 Florida, No. 5 Louisville).</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788140/florida-kentucky-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-10-01T17:15:04-04:00
2013-10-01T17:15:04-04:00
Study Hall: Alabama-Ole Miss
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/sqB_HDQFvmFy-lmWiNfLt8Vyc5g=/0x84:4000x2751/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20494945/182263897.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Kevin C. Cox</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" border="2" class="stats"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Alabama 25, Ole Miss 0</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Alabama</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ole Miss</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Alabama</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ole Miss</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">90.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">34.7%</td>
<td align="right">31.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>51.2%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>28.1%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">64.1%</td>
<td align="right">60.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.993</td>
<td align="right">0.663</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">39.1</td>
<td align="right">18.8</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>40.6%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>30.2%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">21.7%</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.48</td>
<td align="right">0.36</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.885</td>
<td align="right">0.663</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.692</td>
<td align="right">0.662</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">24.3</td>
<td align="right">7.3</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">38.7%</td>
<td align="right">28.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">4.7</td>
<td align="right">8.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
<td align="right">0.34</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+3.4</td>
<td align="right">-3.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.898</td>
<td align="right">0.623</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.51</td>
<td align="right">2.68</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.757</td>
<td align="right">0.920</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.869</td>
<td align="right">0.463</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.281</td>
<td align="right">0.803</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">14.8</td>
<td align="right">11.5</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.989</td>
<td align="right">0.324</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">42.4%</td>
<td align="right">31.3%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td align="right">0.38</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.629</td>
<td align="right">0.886</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.872</td>
<td align="right">0.689</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.626</td>
<td align="right">1.061</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">5.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 5.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.616</td>
<td align="right">0.987</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Alabama +23.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Alabama +25</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">The Alabama offensive line still leaves something to be desired, and the Tide offense is an abomination on passing downs, but the defense kept forcing Ole Miss into second- or third-and-long, and combined with some fourth-down stops and just enough offense, the result was a healthy win over a good team.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788128/alabama-ole-miss-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-10-01T17:00:06-04:00
2013-10-01T17:00:06-04:00
Study Hall: Tennessee-USA
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/E_cBm_5Kfa9AW0JdRnmugEYY3ME=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20494641/20130928_jla_bs2_228.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table class="stats" border="2" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Tennessee 31, South Alabama 24</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> USA</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Tennessee</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> USA</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Tennessee</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">94.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">36.7%</td>
<td align="right">43.8%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>32.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>59.2%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right"><b>52.1%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>68.1%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td align="right">0.69</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.843</td>
<td align="right">1.284</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">35.4</td>
<td align="right">45.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">32.4%</td>
<td align="right">51.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">32.4%</td>
<td align="right">34.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.47</td>
<td align="right">0.63</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.41</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.792</td>
<td align="right">1.143</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.737</td>
<td align="right">0.843</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">13.5</td>
<td align="right">26.5</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>30.8%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>58.3%</b></td>
<td><b></b></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">14.2</td>
<td align="right">19.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
<td align="right">0.74</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">+5.2</td>
<td align="right">-5.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.803</td>
<td align="right">1.319</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.33</td>
<td align="right">3.79</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.927</td>
<td align="right">1.043</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.211</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>1.522</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.876</td>
<td align="right">0.901</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">21.9</td>
<td align="right">18.8</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.854</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.691</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
<td align="right">44.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.45</td>
<td align="right">0.52</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.789</td>
<td align="right">1.224</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.786</td>
<td align="right">0.967</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.706</td>
<td align="right">1.169</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">5.3% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">5.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.886</td>
<td align="right">0.711</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Tennessee +4.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Tennessee +7</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">This was a fall-asleep-at-the-wheel game for Tennessee. The Vols handled their business, put it on cruise control, and lost the plot completely. The lead was 31-7 with 24 minutes left and 31-24 with two minutes left and USA driving. Tennessee's last six drives: 23 plays, 68 yards, one turnover, one missed field goal, zero points.</p>
<p align="left">A lot of what the Vols are doing kind of follows the general "young and dumb" narrative. There's athleticism here, and you see a decent amount of successful aggression in the turnovers the defense is forcing. And the offensive line is solid. But it's going to be kind of a "two steps forward, 1.9 back" season, if that wasn't already obvious.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788146/tennessee-south-alabama-football-stats-recap
Bill C.
2013-10-01T16:45:08-04:00
2013-10-01T16:45:08-04:00
Study Hall: Ohio State-Wisconsin
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/tw8zPJmTP-8ogAu5f4GrsQD2PvA=/0x37:4000x2704/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20494189/20130928_ajw_ai5_421.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<center>
<table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" border="2" class="stats"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Ohio State 31, Wisconsin 24</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Wisconsin</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ohio State</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Wisconsin</b></td>
<td width="75" align="center"><b> Ohio State</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td align="center" colspan="2">97.7%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right"><b>34.4%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>52.9%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">39.4%</td>
<td align="right">51.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">56.9%</td>
<td align="right">69.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.62</td>
<td align="right">0.50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.014</td>
<td align="right">1.015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">35.7</td>
<td align="right">37.3</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">34.5%</td>
<td align="right">45.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">28.0%</td>
<td align="right">33.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.56</td>
<td align="right">0.55</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.49</td>
<td align="right">0.65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.908</td>
<td align="right">1.005</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.768</td>
<td align="right">0.982</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">9.9</td>
<td align="right">17.7</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>26.1%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>39.0%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">4.0</td>
<td align="right">0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.33</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-4.0</td>
<td align="right">+4.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.591</td>
<td align="right">0.823</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">3.26</td>
<td align="right">3.57</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.435</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.736</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.952</td>
<td align="right">1.065</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.501</td>
<td align="right">0.762</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">25.9</td>
<td align="right">19.6</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.821</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.509</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.0%</td>
<td align="right">55.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.72</td>
<td align="right">0.73</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.111</td>
<td align="right">1.175</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.116</td>
<td align="right">1.282</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.736</td>
<td align="right">0.806</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">11.1% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right">11.8% / 0.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.985</td>
<td align="right">0.714</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" colspan="7"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Ohio State +5.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Ohio State +7</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">Ohio State's offense got worse each quarter, but it did enough damage early on (and benefited from enough short fields late) to get the job done. And that defense did a heroic job against a terrifying Wisconsin run game. Wisconsin's line got a decent push, but the backs still didn't get anywhere.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788148/study-hall-ohio-state-wisconsin
Bill C.
2013-10-01T16:30:06-04:00
2013-10-01T16:30:06-04:00
Study Hall: Georgia-LSU
<figure>
<img alt="" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/wi9E8XouDDLABakhcKRT3J5isZE=/0x0:4000x2667/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/20493893/20130928_ajw_sz2_051.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><i>Confused? <a href="http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/2/19/3980438/advanced-college-football-stats-glossary" target="_blank">Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here</a>. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)</i></p>
<p>x</p>
<center>
<table class="stats" border="2" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<h3 style="text-align: center;">Georgia 44, LSU 41</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> LSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Georgia</b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center"><b></b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> LSU</b></td>
<td align="center" width="75"><b> Georgia</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close %</td>
<td colspan="2" align="center">100.0%</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>STANDARD DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Field Position %</td>
<td align="right">45.2%</td>
<td align="right">47.1%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>44.9%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>58.3%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leverage %</td>
<td align="right">67.1%</td>
<td align="right">68.6%</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.43</td>
<td align="right">0.73</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.878</td>
<td align="right">1.313</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>TOTAL</u></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">43.2</td>
<td align="right">46.2</td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING DOWNS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">45.2%</td>
<td align="right">51.4%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Success Rate</td>
<td align="right"><b>45.8%</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>36.4%</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.59</td>
<td align="right">0.66</td>
<td></td>
<td>PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.93</td>
<td align="right">0.51</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.044</td>
<td align="right">1.175</td>
<td></td>
<td>S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.384</td>
<td align="right">0.873</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>RUSHING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td colspan="3"><u>TURNOVERS</u></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">9.8</td>
<td align="right">17.9</td>
<td></td>
<td>Number</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">40.6%</td>
<td align="right">47.2%</td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts</td>
<td align="right">4.6</td>
<td align="right">4.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.31</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.50</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>Turnover Pts Margin</td>
<td align="right">-0.1</td>
<td align="right">+0.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">0.714</td>
<td align="right">0.969</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Line Yards/carry</td>
<td align="right">2.54</td>
<td align="right">3.26</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q1 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.266</td>
<td align="right">1.500</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q2 S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.351</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>1.099</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3"><u>PASSING</u></td>
<td></td>
<td>Q3 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.249</td>
<td align="right">0.792</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EqPts</td>
<td align="right">33.4</td>
<td align="right">28.4</td>
<td></td>
<td>Q4 S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.128</td>
<td align="right">1.175</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close Success Rate</td>
<td align="right">48.8%</td>
<td align="right">55.9%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td align="right"></td>
<td align="right"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close PPP</td>
<td align="right">0.81</td>
<td align="right">0.83</td>
<td></td>
<td>1st Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>0.662</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>1.417</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Close S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.302</td>
<td align="right">1.393</td>
<td></td>
<td>2nd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right">1.059</td>
<td align="right">0.853</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SD/PD Sack Rate</td>
<td align="right">0.0% / 0.0%</td>
<td align="right"><b>15.0% / 4.8%</b></td>
<td></td>
<td>3rd Down S&P</td>
<td align="right"><b>1.877</b></td>
<td align="right"><b>0.950</b></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7" align="center"><b>Projected Pt. Margin: Georgia +3.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Georgia +3</b></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</center>
<p align="left">Zach Mettenberger was absurdly good on third downs and passing downs. Aaron Murray was absurdly good on first downs and standard downs.</p>
<p align="left">I don't even know what else to say, at least without going about 2,000 words. This was just a joyful, fun, incredibly well-played football game. I wish they were all like this. LSU games are rarely beautiful, but this was beautiful.</p>
https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/10/1/4788268/georgia-lsu-football-stats-recap
Bill C.