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2016 South Alabama advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

South Alabama Jaguars (Sun Belt)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 6-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 6.1 (0.1) | S&P+ Rk: 93
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
3-Sep at Mississippi State 56 21-20 W 43% -1.4 48% 32% 57%
10-Sep Georgia Southern 91 9-24 L 6% -12.2 17% 24% 41%
17-Sep at UL-Lafayette 102 23-28 L 4% -13.8 13% 46% 7%
24-Sep Nicholls State N/A 41-40 W 97% 15.0 33% 6% 18%
1-Oct San Diego State 33 42-24 W 73% 4.9 71% 77% 82%
15-Oct at Arkansas State 80 7-17 L 23% -5.8 80% 23% 85%
20-Oct Troy 63 21-28 L 3% -14.6 23% 51% 34%
29-Oct Georgia State 108 13-10 W 87% 8.7 56% 20% 87%
5-Nov at UL-Monroe 126 35-42 L 42% -1.5 21% 37% 18%
19-Nov #N/A N/A 31-7 W 100% 27.9 51% 7% 70%
26-Nov at Idaho 89 31-38 L 31% -3.8 32% 57% 30%
3-Dec New Mexico State 119 35-28 W 87% 8.8 45% 63% 27%
30-Dec vs. Air Force 62 21-45 L 13% -9.0 32% 64% 21%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 25.0 95 30.0 71
Points Per Game 25.4 91 27.0 56
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.23 84 1.25 61 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 42.5% 60 43.1% 73 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.6 69 29.1 64 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.19 92 4.01 28 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.3 92 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.50
ACTUAL -2 78
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 103.0 62 84.8 119 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 45.8% 42 44.2% 79 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 103 1.12 84 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107 44 87.7 113 100.0
Opportunity Rate 37.1% 101 40.0% 79 39.7%
Power Success Rate 71.4% 42 58.0% 12 67.9%
Stuff Rate 17.8% 49 19.6% 56 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Xavier Johnson RB 5'11, 180 JR 151 831 10 5.5 6.7 35.1% 5 (4)
Dami Ayoola RB 5'10, 205 SR 88 377 6 4.3 2.9 37.5% 4 (0)
Tyreis Thomas RB 5'10, 215 SR 73 300 6 4.1 2.8 37.0% 1 (0)
Dallas Davis QB 6'2, 215 SO 67 442 3 6.6 5.4 50.7% 6 (1)
Deonta Moore RB 5'10, 205 SO 26 111 0 4.3 5.7 26.9% 0 (0)
Cole Garvin QB 6'1, 210 SO 11 58 0 5.3 2.2 54.5% 0 (0)
Milton Revell RB 5'8, 200 SR 11 34 0 3.1 2.3 18.2% 0 (0)
Carlos Robinson II RB 5'11, 215 JR 1 2 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 89.0 98 90.5 101 100.0
Passing Success Rate 39.3% 78 41.2% 65 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.50 53 1.49 74 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 68.6 115 112.6 40 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Dallas Davis 6'2, 215 SO 198 349 2706 11 12 56.7% 24 6.4% 6.7
Cole Garvin 6'1, 210 SO 35 64 463 4 1 54.7% 7 9.9% 5.9

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Josh Magee WR 5'11, 175 SR 80 49 822 5 16.8 10.3 61.2% 45.0% 20.9%
Gerald Everett TE 6'4, 240 SR 73 49 717 4 14.6 9.8 67.1% 50.7% 19.1%
Kevin Kutchera WR 6'3, 205 SR 61 30 532 1 17.7 8.7 49.2% 42.6% 16.0%
Tyrone Williams WR 6'2, 205 SR 53 28 333 1 11.9 6.3 52.8% 39.6% 13.9%
Maaseiah Francis TE 6'3, 205 SO 24 18 261 2 14.5 10.9 75.0% 66.7% 6.3%
Xavier Johnson RB 5'11, 180 JR 17 13 86 0 6.6 5.1 76.5% 41.2% 4.5%
Dami Ayoola RB 5'10, 205 SR 15 10 32 0 3.2 2.1 66.7% 26.7% 3.9%
Jordan McCray WR 6'5, 180 FR 14 7 107 0 15.3 7.6 50.0% 50.0% 3.7%
Sa'Mory Collier WR 5'11, 165 JR 7 4 48 0 12.0 6.9 57.1% 57.1% 1.8%
Tyreis Thomas RB 5'10, 215 SR 7 6 16 0 2.7 2.3 85.7% 14.3% 1.8%
Sam Harris WR 5'7, 175 SO 6 4 41 0 10.3 6.8 66.7% 50.0% 1.6%
Quinton Lane WR 6'1, 190 JR 6 2 40 0 20.0 6.7 33.3% 33.3% 1.6%
James Bynes TE 6'3, 240 SR 6 3 23 1 7.7 3.8 50.0% 50.0% 1.6%
Grant Powell TE 6'2, 230 SR 4 3 44 1 14.7 11.0 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
Milton Revell RB 5'8, 200 SR 3 3 9 0 3.0 3.0 100.0% 33.3% 0.8%
Chris Lewis WR 5'7, 175 SR 2 1 51 0 51.0 25.5 50.0% 50.0% 0.5%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 98.4 77 88.3 115 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 47.7% 63 47.1% 60 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.16 49 1.11 68 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.13 46 3.05 82 2.98
SD Sack Rate 4.3% 50 7.0% 21 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 85.9 109 84.3 116 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 31.3% 59 33.5% 97 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.46 125 1.73 66 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.40 52 3.26 67 3.24
PD Sack Rate 9.2% 87 6.4% 87 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 99.8 75 97.3 77
Q2 S&P+ 90.9 107 79.1 126
Q3 S&P+ 91.9 98 81.5 124
Q4 S&P+ 101.9 63 107.3 43
1st Down S&P+ 93.7 97 86.5 118
2nd Down S&P+ 101.5 68 84.8 114
3rd Down S&P+ 87.1 109 112.3 37
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.6% 40 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 18.1% 128 34.6%
Adj. Pace -4.3 103 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 71.2% 99 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 69.0% 10 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 44.5% 4 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.8% 40 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.7% 39 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.2% 101 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 7.6% 26 6.4%
PD to INC 36.0% 38 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Darrell Songy LB 6'1, 235 JR 79.5 10.4% 7.5 1.0 0 1 1
Jeremy Reaves CB 5'11, 185 JR 72.0 9.5% 5.5 0.0 3 7 2
Roman Buchanan LB 6'2, 220 SR 70.5 9.3% 11.0 0.0 1 3 1
Devon Earl S 5'10, 190 SR 59.0 7.7% 7.5 1.0 1 3 1
Randy Allen DE 6'2, 245 SR 57.5 7.6% 19.5 12.5 0 2 3
Neiko Robinson S 6'0, 185 JR 52.0 6.8% 2.0 0.0 1 3 1
Nigel Lawrence S 5'11, 185 SO 40.5 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0 1 1
Kalen Jackson S 6'1, 210 SR 40.0 5.3% 8.0 2.0 0 1 2
Bull Barge LB 5'10, 230 SO 38.5 5.1% 2.5 0.5 0 0 1
Tyree Turner DL 6'1, 285 FR 36.0 4.7% 6.5 1.0 0 0 1
Jalen Thompson CB 6'0, 175 SO 28.0 3.7% 2.0 0.5 4 6 0
Quinton Dent CB 6'3, 175 SR 22.5 3.0% 1.0 0.0 0 5 0
Chason Milner DE 6'3, 245 SO 19.0 2.5% 2.0 2.0 0 0 1
Finessé Middleton DE 6'1, 230 JR 17.0 2.2% 8.5 4.5 0 0 0
Zach Befort DL 6'2, 290 JR 17.0 2.2% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0
Sean Grayer DE 6'2, 255 SO 12.5 1.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
SirCalvin Wallace DL 6'2, 335 SR 12.0 1.6% 2.0 1.0 0 0 0
Sean Brown DL 6'2, 305 FR 10.5 1.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Diantae Thomas S 5'10, 220 JR 10.0 1.3% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
T'Qwan Robinson S 6'1, 190 JR 9.0 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Deonta Moore RB 5'10, 205 SO 8.5 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Wade Forde DE 6'3, 230 JR 8.0 1.1% 1.0 0.0 0 0 0
Milton Revell RB 5'8, 200 SR 5.5 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Wayne Johnson CB 5'10, 170 SR 4.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Josh Magee WR 5'11, 175 SR 4.0 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -1.1 105
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.36 111
Punt Success Rate 68.3% 15
Kickoff Success Rate 51.7% 120
Punt Return Success Rate 38.5% 108
Kick Return Success Rate 33.3% 106
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Gavin Patterson 5'7, 200 SO 42-42 10-16 62.5%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Brandon McKee 6'1, 190 SR 43 44.4 5 18 20 88.4%
Corliss Waitman 6'2, 185 SO 16 36.6 0 8 2 62.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Gavin Patterson 5'7, 200 SO 54 58.9 9 16.7% 4 1 0 0
Corliss Waitman 6'2, 185 SO 10 51.9 0 0.0% 0 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Dami Ayoola 5'10, 205 SR 17 4.2 0 15 3 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Xavier Johnson 5'11, 180 JR 24 21.8 1 0 1 (0)
Dami Ayoola 5'10, 205 SR 5 16.2 0 0 0 (0)
Deshawn Applewhite 5'9, 160 FR 2 15.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics