Updated on 1/13/2017
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Got position corrections? Note them here.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
2015 | 2016
Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)
2016 Schedule & Results
| Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.7 (0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 85 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 1-Sep | UT-Martin | N/A | 28-7 | W | 98% | 15.8 | 60% | 27% | 57% |
| 10-Sep | at Purdue | 105 | 38-20 | W | 95% | 13.2 | 63% | 71% | 31% |
| 15-Sep | Houston | 39 | 16-40 | L | 12% | -9.3 | 40% | 54% | 51% |
| 24-Sep | Miami-OH | 98 | 27-20 | W | 79% | 6.4 | 60% | 64% | 68% |
| 1-Oct | South Florida | 55 | 20-45 | L | 11% | -9.6 | 37% | 25% | 81% |
| 8-Oct | at Connecticut | 123 | 9-20 | L | 5% | -12.9 | 9% | 3% | 27% |
| 22-Oct | East Carolina | 100 | 31-19 | W | 91% | 10.6 | 62% | 57% | 58% |
| 29-Oct | at Temple | 32 | 13-34 | L | 24% | -5.6 | 53% | 71% | 60% |
| 5-Nov | BYU | 37 | 3-20 | L | 6% | -12.4 | 32% | 16% | 70% |
| 12-Nov | at Central Florida | 75 | 3-24 | L | 2% | -16.6 | 16% | 9% | 40% |
| 18-Nov | Memphis | 44 | 7-34 | L | 0% | -22.8 | 15% | 8% | 75% |
| 25-Nov | at Tulsa | 54 | 37-40 | L | 49% | -0.1 | 59% | 87% | 45% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 23.3 | 105 | 27.8 | 53 |
| Points Per Game | 19.3 | 122 | 26.9 | 55 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.22 | 85 | 1.11 | 2 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 40.3% | 91 | 43.8% | 83 | 40.9% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 27.5 | 115 | 29.5 | 72 | 29.7 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 3.74 | 121 | 3.84 | 20 | 4.47 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | -2.27 | 87 | Turnover Luck (PPG): +1.36 |
||
| ACTUAL | 1 | 54 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 88.7 | 112 | 100.7 | 61 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 38.8% | 109 | 42.7% | 66 | 43.1% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 0.99 | 105 | 0.94 | 12 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 104.6 | 52 | 90.6 | 103 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 36.6% | 106 | 38.2% | 50 | 39.7% |
| Power Success Rate | 65.5% | 81 | 65.9% | 54 | 67.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.4% | 76 | 19.5% | 59 | 18.9% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Tion Green | RB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 159 | 743 | 2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 35.8% | 2 (2) |
| Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 105 | 388 | 2 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 30.5% | 0 (0) |
| Hayden Moore | QB | 6'3, 218 | SO | 35 | 163 | 2 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 48.6% | 6 (2) |
| Deionte Buckley | RB | 5'9, 225 | SR | 19 | 97 | 0 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 47.4% | 1 (0) |
| Ross Trail | QB | 6'3, 216 | FR | 14 | 50 | 2 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 42.9% | 2 (1) |
| Kahlil Lewis | WR | 6'0, 205 | SO | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 15.5 | 55.6% | 0 (0) |
| Chad Banschbach | RB | 5'9, 203 | JR | 9 | 27 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 22.2% | 1 (1) |
| Gunner Kiel | QB | 6'4, 225 | SR | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 75.0% | 1 (1) |
| Devin Gray | WR | 6'0, 177 | JR | 3 | -2 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 96.6 | 76 | 93.1 | 90 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 41.4% | 58 | 45.3% | 105 | 40.9% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.40 | 96 | 1.32 | 9 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 102.3 | 57 | 75.5 | 105 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Hayden Moore | 6'3, 218 | SO | 146 | 255 | 1744 | 11 | 7 | 57.3% | 18 | 6.6% | 6.0 |
| Gunner Kiel | 6'4, 225 | SR | 66 | 127 | 804 | 6 | 2 | 52.0% | 3 | 2.3% | 6.0 |
| Ross Trail | 6'3, 216 | FR | 46 | 70 | 494 | 1 | 6 | 65.7% | 5 | 6.7% | 6.1 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| Devin Gray | WR | 6'0, 177 | JR | 106 | 58 | 860 | 5 | 14.8 | 8.1 | 54.7% | 45.3% | 24.3% |
| Nate Cole | WR | 6'1, 210 | SR | 82 | 57 | 518 | 4 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 69.5% | 54.9% | 18.8% |
| Kahlil Lewis | WR | 6'0, 205 | SO | 81 | 48 | 605 | 5 | 12.6 | 7.5 | 59.3% | 48.1% | 18.5% |
| Tion Green | RB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 34 | 29 | 167 | 0 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 85.3% | 23.5% | 7.8% |
| Mike Boone | RB | 5'10, 205 | JR | 28 | 20 | 249 | 0 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 71.4% | 57.1% | 6.4% |
| Tshumbi Johnson | WR | 5'11, 185 | JR | 15 | 6 | 104 | 0 | 17.3 | 6.9 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 3.4% |
| Jerron Rollins | WR | 6'2, 193 | FR | 15 | 6 | 94 | 1 | 15.7 | 6.3 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 3.4% |
| DJ Dowdy | TE | 6'4, 250 | SR | 14 | 4 | 44 | 2 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 28.6% | 21.4% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Geddis | WR | 6'5, 167 | FR | 13 | 7 | 139 | 1 | 19.9 | 10.7 | 53.8% | 38.5% | 3.0% |
| Avery Johnson | WR | 6'2, 200 | SO | 12 | 8 | 123 | 0 | 15.4 | 10.3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 2.7% |
| Brayden Beard | WR | 5'8, 180 | FR | 12 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 41.7% | 33.3% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Cogswell | TE | 6'5, 254 | JR | 6 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 1.4% |
| Grant Coleman | CB | 6'0, 179 | JR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% |
| Josiah Deguara | TE | 6'3, 230 | FR | 4 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 11.8 | 11.8 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 0.9% |
| Chad Banschbach | RB | 5'9, 203 | JR | 4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 75.0% | 25.0% | 0.9% |
| Sam Geraci | P | 6'4, 230 | JR | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.7% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 92.5 | 98 | 99.8 | 61 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 45.4% | 92 | 48.2% | 74 | 47.3% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.05 | 96 | 0.97 | 5 | 1.12 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.90 | 82 | 3.03 | 74 | 2.98 |
| SD Sack Rate | 5.4% | 74 | 3.2% | 102 | 5.1% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 100.8 | 71 | 97.4 | 81 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 30.2% | 77 | 33.2% | 94 | 31.1% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.73 | 70 | 1.60 | 17 | 1.76 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.52 | 38 | 3.28 | 68 | 3.24 |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.6% | 32 | 6.7% | 82 | 7.9% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 99.0 | 79 | 108.7 | 38 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 99.1 | 78 | 98.3 | 72 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 92.9 | 94 | 101.3 | 56 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 85.0 | 117 | 94.5 | 81 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 94.1 | 94 | 107.2 | 42 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 91.3 | 105 | 93.7 | 96 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 100.6 | 77 | 97.6 | 77 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 51.1% | 109 | 60.2% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 29.0% | 97 | 34.6% |
| Adj. Pace | -2.4 | 86 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 67.9% | 112 | 74.2% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.3% | 37 | 60.2% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 39.3% | 20 | 34.5% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 14.6% | 88 | 15.8% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 4.2% | 77 | 5.0% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 3.8% | 74 | 4.3% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 6.6% | 49 | 6.4% |
| PD to INC | 38.0% | 19 | 33.1% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF |
| Eric Wilson | LB | 6'2, 225 | SR | 94.5 | 12.3% | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Zach Edwards | S | 6'1, 200 | SR | 74.0 | 9.7% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Antonio Kinard | LB | 6'4, 214 | SR | 64.0 | 8.4% | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Marquise Copeland | DE | 6'3, 260 | SO | 38.5 | 5.0% | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Mike Tyson | S | 6'2, 201 | SR | 37.5 | 4.9% | 4.5 | 0.0 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Mouhon | LB | 6'1, 245 | SO | 36.0 | 4.7% | 9.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Perry Young | DB | 5'10, 208 | FR | 33.0 | 4.3% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Carter Jacobs | S | 6'1, 199 | JR | 33.0 | 4.3% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyrell Gilbert | S | 6'1, 200 | SO | 32.0 | 4.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Cortez Broughton | DT | 6'2, 297 | SO | 31.5 | 4.1% | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Linden Stephens | CB | 6'0, 188 | JR | 30.0 | 3.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Kimoni Fitz | DE | 6'3, 252 | SO | 27.0 | 3.5% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Coleman | CB | 6'0, 179 | JR | 25.5 | 3.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Clements | S | 6'0, 199 | SO | 25.5 | 3.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alex Pace | DT | 6'2, 298 | SR | 24.5 | 3.2% | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Thomas | CB | 6'1, 180 | SO | 20.5 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Bryan Wright | DE | 6'3, 258 | FR | 20.0 | 2.6% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylyin Minor | LB | 6'1, 238 | JR | 19.5 | 2.5% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mark Wilson | DE | 6'3, 243 | JR | 16.5 | 2.2% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Burton | DT | 6'2, 296 | SR | 13.0 | 1.7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Ashworth | DE | 6'3, 255 | FR | 11.5 | 1.5% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Brazile | DE | 6'5, 257 | SO | 10.0 | 1.3% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Davin Pierce | S | 6'2, 182 | JR | 9.5 | 1.2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sione Tongamoa | DT | 6'1, 297 | SR | 8.0 | 1.0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Murphy | CB | 5'11, 189 | SO | 6.5 | 0.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.8 | 92 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.18 | 98 |
| Punt Success Rate | 61.4% | 39 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 66.0% | 90 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 60.0% | 36 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 33.3% | 106 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Josh Pasley | 6'0, 182 | JR | 17-20 | 11-17 | 64.7% |
| Andrew Gantz | 5'9, 178 | JR | 6-6 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Sam Geraci | 6'4, 230 | JR | 66 | 40.0 | 3 | 37 | 31 | 103.0% |
| Hayden Moore | 6'3, 218 | SO | 1 | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Ryan Jones | 5'10, 170 | SO | 53 | 59.5 | 14 | 26.4% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Brayden Beard | 5'8, 180 | FR | 14 | 5.5 | 0 | 15 | 2 (0) |
| Devin Gray | 6'0, 177 | JR | 1 | 15.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Mike Boone | 5'10, 205 | JR | 21 | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kahlil Lewis | 6'0, 205 | SO | 6 | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Brayden Beard | 5'8, 180 | FR | 3 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics