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2016 Cincinnati advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Cincinnati Bearcats (American East)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.7 (0.7) | S&P+ Rk: 85
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
1-Sep UT-Martin N/A 28-7 W 98% 15.8 60% 27% 57%
10-Sep at Purdue 105 38-20 W 95% 13.2 63% 71% 31%
15-Sep Houston 39 16-40 L 12% -9.3 40% 54% 51%
24-Sep Miami-OH 98 27-20 W 79% 6.4 60% 64% 68%
1-Oct South Florida 55 20-45 L 11% -9.6 37% 25% 81%
8-Oct at Connecticut 123 9-20 L 5% -12.9 9% 3% 27%
22-Oct East Carolina 100 31-19 W 91% 10.6 62% 57% 58%
29-Oct at Temple 32 13-34 L 24% -5.6 53% 71% 60%
5-Nov BYU 37 3-20 L 6% -12.4 32% 16% 70%
12-Nov at Central Florida 75 3-24 L 2% -16.6 16% 9% 40%
18-Nov Memphis 44 7-34 L 0% -22.8 15% 8% 75%
25-Nov at Tulsa 54 37-40 L 49% -0.1 59% 87% 45%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 23.3 105 27.8 53
Points Per Game 19.3 122 26.9 55
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 85 1.11 2 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 40.3% 91 43.8% 83 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.5 115 29.5 72 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.74 121 3.84 20 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -2.27 87 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+1.36
ACTUAL 1 54
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 88.7 112 100.7 61 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 38.8% 109 42.7% 66 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 105 0.94 12 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 104.6 52 90.6 103 100.0
Opportunity Rate 36.6% 106 38.2% 50 39.7%
Power Success Rate 65.5% 81 65.9% 54 67.9%
Stuff Rate 19.4% 76 19.5% 59 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Tion Green RB 6'0, 230 SR 159 743 2 4.7 3.5 35.8% 2 (2)
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 205 JR 105 388 2 3.7 3.4 30.5% 0 (0)
Hayden Moore QB 6'3, 218 SO 35 163 2 4.7 3.3 48.6% 6 (2)
Deionte Buckley RB 5'9, 225 SR 19 97 0 5.1 2.5 47.4% 1 (0)
Ross Trail QB 6'3, 216 FR 14 50 2 3.6 2.1 42.9% 2 (1)
Kahlil Lewis WR 6'0, 205 SO 9 107 0 11.9 15.5 55.6% 0 (0)
Chad Banschbach RB 5'9, 203 JR 9 27 0 3.0 1.3 22.2% 1 (1)
Gunner Kiel QB 6'4, 225 SR 4 20 0 5.0 0.7 75.0% 1 (1)
Devin Gray WR 6'0, 177 JR 3 -2 0 -0.7 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 96.6 76 93.1 90 100.0
Passing Success Rate 41.4% 58 45.3% 105 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.40 96 1.32 9 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 102.3 57 75.5 105 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Hayden Moore 6'3, 218 SO 146 255 1744 11 7 57.3% 18 6.6% 6.0
Gunner Kiel 6'4, 225 SR 66 127 804 6 2 52.0% 3 2.3% 6.0
Ross Trail 6'3, 216 FR 46 70 494 1 6 65.7% 5 6.7% 6.1

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
Devin Gray WR 6'0, 177 JR 106 58 860 5 14.8 8.1 54.7% 45.3% 24.3%
Nate Cole WR 6'1, 210 SR 82 57 518 4 9.1 6.3 69.5% 54.9% 18.8%
Kahlil Lewis WR 6'0, 205 SO 81 48 605 5 12.6 7.5 59.3% 48.1% 18.5%
Tion Green RB 6'0, 230 SR 34 29 167 0 5.8 4.9 85.3% 23.5% 7.8%
Mike Boone RB 5'10, 205 JR 28 20 249 0 12.5 8.9 71.4% 57.1% 6.4%
Tshumbi Johnson WR 5'11, 185 JR 15 6 104 0 17.3 6.9 40.0% 33.3% 3.4%
Jerron Rollins WR 6'2, 193 FR 15 6 94 1 15.7 6.3 40.0% 20.0% 3.4%
DJ Dowdy TE 6'4, 250 SR 14 4 44 2 11.0 3.1 28.6% 21.4% 3.2%
Thomas Geddis WR 6'5, 167 FR 13 7 139 1 19.9 10.7 53.8% 38.5% 3.0%
Avery Johnson WR 6'2, 200 SO 12 8 123 0 15.4 10.3 66.7% 66.7% 2.7%
Brayden Beard WR 5'8, 180 FR 12 5 34 0 6.8 2.8 41.7% 33.3% 2.7%
Tyler Cogswell TE 6'5, 254 JR 6 2 42 0 21.0 7.0 33.3% 33.3% 1.4%
Grant Coleman CB 6'0, 179 JR 5 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Josiah Deguara TE 6'3, 230 FR 4 4 47 0 11.8 11.8 100.0% 75.0% 0.9%
Chad Banschbach RB 5'9, 203 JR 4 3 11 0 3.7 2.8 75.0% 25.0% 0.9%
Sam Geraci P 6'4, 230 JR 3 1 5 0 5.0 1.7 33.3% 33.3% 0.7%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 92.5 98 99.8 61 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 45.4% 92 48.2% 74 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.05 96 0.97 5 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.90 82 3.03 74 2.98
SD Sack Rate 5.4% 74 3.2% 102 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 100.8 71 97.4 81 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 30.2% 77 33.2% 94 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.73 70 1.60 17 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.52 38 3.28 68 3.24
PD Sack Rate 5.6% 32 6.7% 82 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 99.0 79 108.7 38
Q2 S&P+ 99.1 78 98.3 72
Q3 S&P+ 92.9 94 101.3 56
Q4 S&P+ 85.0 117 94.5 81
1st Down S&P+ 94.1 94 107.2 42
2nd Down S&P+ 91.3 105 93.7 96
3rd Down S&P+ 100.6 77 97.6 77
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 51.1% 109 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 29.0% 97 34.6%
Adj. Pace -2.4 86 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 67.9% 112 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 63.3% 37 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.3% 20 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 14.6% 88 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 4.2% 77 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 3.8% 74 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.6% 49 6.4%
PD to INC 38.0% 19 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Eric Wilson LB 6'2, 225 SR 94.5 12.3% 7.5 3.0 0 2 1
Zach Edwards S 6'1, 200 SR 74.0 9.7% 4.5 1.0 1 5 0
Antonio Kinard LB 6'4, 214 SR 64.0 8.4% 7.5 1.5 0 2 0
Marquise Copeland DE 6'3, 260 SO 38.5 5.0% 4.5 1.0 0 1 2
Mike Tyson S 6'2, 201 SR 37.5 4.9% 4.5 0.0 5 5 0
Kevin Mouhon LB 6'1, 245 SO 36.0 4.7% 9.5 1.0 0 2 1
Perry Young DB 5'10, 208 FR 33.0 4.3% 1.5 0.0 0 1 0
Carter Jacobs S 6'1, 199 JR 33.0 4.3% 0.5 0.0 0 1 2
Tyrell Gilbert S 6'1, 200 SO 32.0 4.2% 0.0 0.0 3 2 2
Cortez Broughton DT 6'2, 297 SO 31.5 4.1% 5.0 2.5 1 2 0
Linden Stephens CB 6'0, 188 JR 30.0 3.9% 0.0 0.0 2 7 0
Kimoni Fitz DE 6'3, 252 SO 27.0 3.5% 3.0 1.5 0 0 0
Grant Coleman CB 6'0, 179 JR 25.5 3.3% 1.0 0.0 1 1 1
Malik Clements S 6'0, 199 SO 25.5 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Alex Pace DT 6'2, 298 SR 24.5 3.2% 6.0 1.5 0 0 0
Alex Thomas CB 6'1, 180 SO 20.5 2.7% 0.0 0.0 4 3 0
Bryan Wright DE 6'3, 258 FR 20.0 2.6% 4.0 0.0 0 0 0
Jaylyin Minor LB 6'1, 238 JR 19.5 2.5% 2.0 0.0 0 0 1
Mark Wilson DE 6'3, 243 JR 16.5 2.2% 2.5 1.0 0 1 1
Chris Burton DT 6'2, 296 SR 13.0 1.7% 1.5 1.0 0 0 0
Caleb Ashworth DE 6'3, 255 FR 11.5 1.5% 3.0 2.0 0 0 0
Landon Brazile DE 6'5, 257 SO 10.0 1.3% 0.5 0.0 0 1 0
Davin Pierce S 6'2, 182 JR 9.5 1.2% 1.0 1.0 0 2 0
Sione Tongamoa DT 6'1, 297 SR 8.0 1.0% 1.0 1.0 0 0 0
Chris Murphy CB 5'11, 189 SO 6.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.8 92
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) -0.18 98
Punt Success Rate 61.4% 39
Kickoff Success Rate 66.0% 90
Punt Return Success Rate 60.0% 36
Kick Return Success Rate 33.3% 106
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Josh Pasley 6'0, 182 JR 17-20 11-17 64.7%
Andrew Gantz 5'9, 178 JR 6-6 2-2 100.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sam Geraci 6'4, 230 JR 66 40.0 3 37 31 103.0%
Hayden Moore 6'3, 218 SO 1 24.0 0 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Ryan Jones 5'10, 170 SO 53 59.5 14 26.4% 1 2 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Brayden Beard 5'8, 180 FR 14 5.5 0 15 2 (0)
Devin Gray 6'0, 177 JR 1 15.0 0 2 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Mike Boone 5'10, 205 JR 21 24.1 0 0 0 (0)
Kahlil Lewis 6'0, 205 SO 6 16.3 0 0 0 (0)
Brayden Beard 5'8, 180 FR 3 10.3 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics