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2016 Ball State advanced statistical profile

Updated on 1/13/2017

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2015 | 2016

Ball State Cardinals (MAC West)

2016 Schedule & Results
Record: 4-8 | Second-order wins (diff.): 5.6 (1.6) | S&P+ Rk: 84
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
2-Sep at Georgia State 108 31-21 W 98% 16.7 71% 76% 73%
10-Sep at Indiana 53 20-30 L 0% -23.0 12% 8% 14%
17-Sep Eastern Kentucky N/A 41-14 W 100% 24.0 84% 44% 88%
24-Sep at Florida Atlantic 115 31-27 W 71% 4.2 38% 36% 46%
1-Oct Northern Illinois 77 24-31 L 16% -7.8 28% 41% 19%
8-Oct at Central Michigan 99 21-24 L 65% 3.1 48% 45% 56%
15-Oct at Buffalo 127 31-21 W 92% 11.1 42% 69% 30%
22-Oct Akron 109 25-35 L 13% -8.8 17% 49% 14%
1-Nov Western Michigan 35 20-52 L 0% -21.6 18% 68% 13%
8-Nov Eastern Michigan 82 41-48 L 35% -3.1 35% 68% 7%
16-Nov at Toledo 34 19-37 L 11% -9.7 39% 43% 82%
22-Nov at Miami-OH 98 20-21 L 57% 1.4 45% 76% 32%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 29.4 65 34.5 101
Points Per Game 27.0 75 30.1 78
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.10 127 1.36 110 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 47.8% 14 42.5% 63 40.9%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 29.1 78 26.7 11 29.7
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 4.18 93 4.32 52 4.47
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -3.45 96 Turnover Luck (PPG):
-2.73
ACTUAL -10 120
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 112.5 32 97.5 78 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 52.7% 4 37.7% 21 43.1%
Rushing IsoPPP 0.99 99 1.24 119 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 107.9 39 106.3 42 100.0
Opportunity Rate 42.9% 23 38.0% 48 39.7%
Power Success Rate 69.4% 53 60.4% 19 67.9%
Stuff Rate 14.1% 8 24.4% 13 18.9%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
James Gilbert RB 5'8, 194 SO 251 1332 12 5.3 5.2 38.2% 1 (1)
Riley Neal QB 6'6, 220 SO 108 654 8 6.1 3.8 54.6% 6 (4)
Darian Green RB 5'8, 185 JR 57 311 1 5.5 3.7 49.1% 0 (0)
Teddy Williamson RB 5'9, 191 SR 40 181 2 4.5 3.4 35.0% 0 (0)
Malik Dunner RB 5'11, 192 FR 25 152 1 6.1 9.1 32.0% 2 (1)
KeVonn Mabon WR 6'2, 215 SR 12 64 1 5.3 5.2 41.7% 0 (0)
Jack Milas QB 6'1, 206 JR 4 69 0 17.3 15.5 75.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 92.8 88 99.4 63 100.0
Passing Success Rate 42.4% 48 45.8% 112 40.9%
Passing IsoPPP 1.25 122 1.42 44 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 104.8 50 104.9 58 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Riley Neal 6'6, 220 SO 242 394 2541 13 12 61.4% 19 4.6% 5.9
Jack Milas 6'1, 206 JR 20 38 199 1 2 52.6% 0 0.0% 5.2

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
KeVonn Mabon WR 6'2, 215 SR 125 85 972 3 11.4 7.8 68.0% 58.4% 30.2%
Damon Hazelton Jr. WR 6'2, 209 FR 90 51 505 4 9.9 5.6 56.7% 47.8% 21.7%
Corey Lacanaria WR 5'8, 166 JR 42 33 341 2 10.3 8.1 78.6% 54.8% 10.1%
Jordan Hogue WR 6'0, 183 JR 37 20 170 1 8.5 4.6 54.1% 27.0% 8.9%
Darian Green RB 5'8, 185 JR 32 24 124 0 5.2 3.9 75.0% 34.4% 7.7%
Aaron Hepp WR 6'1, 190 SR 22 13 164 1 12.6 7.5 59.1% 45.5% 5.3%
Sam Brunner TE 6'2, 244 SR 17 8 80 1 10.0 4.7 47.1% 23.5% 4.1%
Devin Reece WR 6'2, 208 SO 15 10 110 1 11.0 7.3 66.7% 40.0% 3.6%
Cywettnie Brown WR 6'0, 166 SR 11 5 168 1 33.6 15.3 45.5% 45.5% 2.7%
Teddy Williamson RB 5'9, 191 SR 7 6 40 0 6.7 5.7 85.7% 42.9% 1.7%
Danny Pinter TE 6'4, 254 FR 7 3 10 0 3.3 1.4 42.9% 0.0% 1.7%
Malik Dunner RB 5'11, 192 FR 4 3 38 0 12.7 9.5 75.0% 75.0% 1.0%
James Gilbert RB 5'8, 194 SO 3 1 18 0 18.0 6.0 33.3% 33.3% 0.7%
Riley Neal QB 6'6, 220 SO 1 1 10 0 10.0 10.0 100.0% 100.0% 0.2%
Kyle Schrank TE 6'3, 231 FR 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 102.5 59 101.9 52 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.7% 18 45.7% 47 47.3%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.04 99 1.18 99 1.12
SD Line Yards per Carry 3.42 8 2.44 13 2.98
SD Sack Rate 3.7% 38 2.6% 114 5.1%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 101.8 69 84.0 117 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.1% 13 36.0% 119 31.1%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.34 127 1.83 98 1.76
PD Line Yards per Carry 4.26 2 3.78 113 3.24
PD Sack Rate 6.6% 46 9.4% 25 7.9%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 104.9 58 84.5 120
Q2 S&P+ 99.3 77 100.0 66
Q3 S&P+ 98.1 74 96.3 80
Q4 S&P+ 105.5 51 97.3 74
1st Down S&P+ 102.8 57 96.1 83
2nd Down S&P+ 102.2 60 92.9 98
3rd Down S&P+ 104.1 67 92.6 94
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 59.6% 69 60.2%
Pass Downs Run Rate 31.2% 82 34.6%
Adj. Pace +8.0 10 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 66.9% 114 74.2%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 47.2% 126 60.2%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 27.6% 117 34.5%
Overall Havoc Rate 16.7% 41 15.8%
DL Havoc Rate 5.9% 36 5.0%
LB Havoc Rate 4.5% 49 4.3%
DB Havoc Rate 6.3% 60 6.4%
PD to INC 29.6% 102 33.1%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF
Sean Wiggins LB 6'3, 232 SR 85.5 12.4% 7.0 0.0 0 1 1
Aaron Taylor LB 5'11, 208 SR 67.0 9.7% 11.5 1.5 0 2 0
Corey Hall S 5'10, 185 SR 63.0 9.2% 2.5 0.0 1 3 2
Martez Hester S 6'3, 201 SR 55.5 8.1% 2.0 1.0 1 3 1
Zack Ryan LB 5'11, 220 SR 51.0 7.4% 7.5 2.5 1 1 1
Marc Walton CB 5'10, 185 SO 50.0 7.3% 2.0 0.0 3 11 0
Josh Miller CB 5'11, 180 SO 42.5 6.2% 2.5 0.0 1 6 1
David Moore CB 5'9, 167 JR 27.0 3.9% 0.0 0.0 0 10 0
Stu Stanley LB 6'1, 233 SR 24.5 3.6% 1.0 1.0 0 0 1
Joshua Posley DE 6'1, 254 SR 22.0 3.2% 10.0 3.0 0 0 0
Anthony Winbush DE 6'1, 225 JR 19.5 2.8% 10.5 8.5 0 1 2
Lamar Anderson S 5'9, 182 FR 16.5 2.4% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0
Kevin Thurmon DT 6'1, 281 SO 16.0 2.3% 6.5 4.5 0 0 1
Kevin Willis DT 6'2, 303 JR 15.0 2.2% 4.5 2.0 0 0 0
John Whitman III DT 6'1, 299 SR 15.0 2.2% 4.0 2.5 0 3 0
Armani McNulty S 5'11, 181 SO 14.5 2.1% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0
Brian Whitaker DE 6'3, 243 JR 13.5 2.0% 3.0 1.0 0 0 0
Jeremiah Jackson LB 5'11, 219 SO 13.0 1.9% 2.5 2.0 0 0 0
Damon Singleton LB 6'2, 237 SO 13.0 1.9% 1.5 0.5 0 0 0
Jacob White LB 6'0, 229 FR 9.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
John Swisher DT 6'2, 282 JR 8.0 1.2% 1.0 0.5 0 0 1
Chris Crumb DT 6'0, 266 FR 5.5 0.8% 1.0 0.5 0 0 0
Teddy Williamson RB 5'9, 191 SR 5.0 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Reggie McGee DE 6'1, 230 JR 4.0 0.6% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0
Mitch Larsen S 5'9, 185 FR 4.0 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.1 72
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.21 39
Punt Success Rate 49.2% 96
Kickoff Success Rate 52.3% 118
Punt Return Success Rate 44.4% 87
Kick Return Success Rate 50.0% 34
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Morgan Hagee 5'11, 160 SO 37-37 15-19 78.9%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kyle Schmidt 6'2, 218 SR 57 41.3 4 9 17 45.6%
Morgan Hagee 5'11, 160 SO 4 36.0 0 2 1 75.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Kyle Schmidt 6'2, 218 SR 30 61.1 6 20.0% 0 0 0 0
Ryan Rimmler 5'10, 185 FR 20 59.4 2 10.0% 0 2 0 0
Steve Drida 6'0, 205 SR 14 57.1 0 0.0% 0 1 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Aaron Hepp 6'1, 190 SR 13 4.7 0 13 0 (0)
Corey Lacanaria 5'8, 166 JR 3 3.0 0 5 1 (1)
KeVonn Mabon 6'2, 215 SR 1 0.0 0 0 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
KeVonn Mabon 6'2, 215 SR 26 22.4 0 0 0 (0)
Darian Green 5'8, 185 JR 8 20.9 0 0 0 (0)
Marc Walton 5'10, 185 SO 4 19.0 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics