Updated on 8/21/2016
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2015 | 2016
Texas State Bobcats (Sun Belt)
2015 Schedule & Results
| Record: 3-9 | Second-order wins (diff.): 3.8 (0.8) | S&P+ Rk: 112 | |||||||||
| Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
| 5-Sep | at Florida State | 7 | 16-59 | L | 0% | -29.7 | 32% | 43% | 9% |
| 12-Sep | Prairie View A&M | N/A | 63-24 | W | 100% | 34.5 | 66% | 84% | 13% |
| 19-Sep | Southern Miss | 58 | 50-56 | L | 17% | -7.8 | 70% | 89% | 17% |
| 26-Sep | at Houston | 44 | 14-59 | L | 0% | -36.7 | 20% | 35% | 3% |
| 10-Oct | at UL-Lafayette | 107 | 27-49 | L | 0% | -20.9 | 8% | 9% | 14% |
| 24-Oct | South Alabama | 103 | 36-18 | W | 89% | 9.9 | 43% | 61% | 26% |
| 29-Oct | at Georgia Southern | 39 | 13-37 | L | 0% | -23.8 | 19% | 20% | 46% |
| 7-Nov | New Mexico State | 116 | 21-31 | L | 46% | -0.9 | 14% | 18% | 34% |
| 14-Nov | Georgia State | 91 | 19-41 | L | 0% | -22.4 | 11% | 49% | 3% |
| 19-Nov | UL-Monroe | 122 | 16-3 | W | 98% | 17.2 | 56% | 26% | 80% |
| 28-Nov | at Idaho | 109 | 31-38 | L | 33% | -3.6 | 13% | 41% | 6% |
| 5-Dec | at Arkansas State | 79 | 17-55 | L | 0% | -26.1 | 18% | 38% | 14% |
| Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
| S&P+ | 27.4 | 77 | 41.7 | 126 |
| Points Per Game | 26.9 | 80 | 39.2 | 120 |
Five Factors
| Offense | Defense | |||||
| Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.28 | 54 | 1.32 | 93 | 1.27 |
| EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 40.6% | 77 | 49.6% | 125 | 40.3% |
| FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 28.8 | 95 | 29.0 | 50 | 29.9 |
| FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.61 | 81 | 5.28 | 115 | 4.67 |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 0.78 | 60 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -3.24 |
||
| ACTUAL | -7 | 105 | ||||
Rushing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Rushing S&P+ | 102.6 | 64 | 85.2 | 118 | 100.0 |
| Rushing Success Rate | 42.6% | 66 | 49.9% | 119 | 42.3% |
| Rushing IsoPPP | 1.17 | 25 | 1.12 | 85 | 1.08 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 95.9 | 93 | 83.5 | 124 | 100.0 |
| Opportunity Rate | 38.9% | 66 | 42.8% | 114 | 38.9% |
| Power Success Rate | 62.8% | 85 | 64.2% | 54 | 66.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.1% | 59 | 14.4% | 120 | 19.6% |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
| Robert Lowe | RB | 5'10, 195 | SR | 175 | 915 | 7 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 38.3% | 1 (1) |
| Tyler Jones | QB | 6'2, 205 | JR | 123 | 713 | 10 | 5.8 | 8.4 | 36.6% | 4 (2) |
| Tyler Siudzinski | RB | 5'10, 185 | JR | 59 | 290 | 1 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 35.6% | 0 (0) |
| Chris Nutall | RB | 5'8, 202 | SR | 35 | 176 | 4 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 45.7% | 1 (1) |
| C.J. Best | WR | 5'10, 185 | SR | 20 | 105 | 1 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 60.0% | 2 (2) |
| Connor White | QB | 6'5, 200 | FR | 14 | 78 | 0 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 42.9% | 0 (0) |
| Stedman Mayberry | RB | 5'10, 189 | FR | 14 | 61 | 0 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 28.6% | 0 (0) |
| Nick Bingham | RB | 5'11, 205 | FR | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 20.0% | 0 (0) |
| Stephan Johnson | S | 6'0, 190 | SO | 2 | 11 | 0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 1 (1) |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Passing
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing S&P+ | 88.8 | 99 | 76.0 | 126 | 100.0 |
| Passing Success Rate | 38.4% | 84 | 49.1% | 124 | 40.3% |
| Passing IsoPPP | 1.42 | 87 | 1.59 | 106 | 1.49 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 102.2 | 59 | 62.6 | 118 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
| Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Tyler Jones | 6'2, 205 | JR | 223 | 382 | 2517 | 14 | 10 | 58.4% | 18 | 4.5% | 6.0 |
| Connor White | 6'5, 200 | FR | 26 | 47 | 235 | 1 | 2 | 55.3% | 2 | 4.1% | 4.6 |
Individual Receiving Stats
| Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
| C.J. Best | WR | 5'10, 185 | SR | 86 | 58 | 594 | 1 | 10.2 | 6.9 | 67.4% | 48.8% | 21.7% |
| Jafus Gaines | WR | 5'11, 175 | SR | 68 | 42 | 518 | 2 | 12.3 | 7.6 | 61.8% | 45.6% | 17.2% |
| Brandon Smith | WR | 6'2, 170 | SR | 54 | 33 | 462 | 2 | 14.0 | 8.6 | 61.1% | 48.1% | 13.6% |
| Ryan Carden | TE | 6'4, 250 | SR | 31 | 25 | 243 | 0 | 9.7 | 7.8 | 80.6% | 58.1% | 7.8% |
| Demun Mercer | WR | 6'2, 197 | SO | 31 | 19 | 235 | 2 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 61.3% | 38.7% | 7.8% |
| Robert Lowe | RB | 5'10, 195 | SR | 31 | 18 | 145 | 3 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 58.1% | 22.6% | 7.8% |
| Ryan Garrey | WR | 5'11, 180 | SR | 27 | 15 | 137 | 0 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 55.6% | 40.7% | 6.8% |
| Lawrence White | TE | 6'7, 255 | SR | 26 | 15 | 169 | 3 | 11.3 | 6.5 | 57.7% | 53.8% | 6.6% |
| Chris Nutall | RB | 5'8, 202 | SR | 10 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Siudzinski | RB | 5'10, 185 | JR | 8 | 4 | 71 | 0 | 17.8 | 8.9 | 50.0% | 37.5% | 2.0% |
| Stedman Mayberry | RB | 5'10, 189 | FR | 8 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 62.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% |
| Chris French | TE | 6'4, 245 | SO | 5 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 80.0% | 60.0% | 1.3% |
| Kwamane Bowens | WR | 6'0, 196 | SO | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Rhoades | WR | 6'3, 201 | SR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.5% |
| Tim Gay | RB | 5'11, 248 | SR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabe Schrade | TE | 6'4, 227 | SO | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.3% |
Standard Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 95.1 | 95 | 84.6 | 121 | 100.0 |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 46.2% | 72 | 53.0% | 118 | 46.5% |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.14 | 50 | 1.20 | 103 | 1.11 |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.76 | 85 | 3.39 | 120 | 2.90 |
| SD Sack Rate | 3.8% | 40 | 4.5% | 85 | 5.0% |
Passing Downs
| Offense | Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 97.0 | 79 | 76.7 | 127 | 100.0 |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 29.7% | 75 | 40.3% | 126 | 30.7% |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.73 | 74 | 1.74 | 63 | 1.77 |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.12 | 76 | 3.68 | 110 | 3.20 |
| PD Sack Rate | 6.7% | 52 | 3.6% | 121 | 7.5% |
Situational
| Offense | Defense | |||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
| Q1 S&P+ | 95.6 | 93 | 79.5 | 126 |
| Q2 S&P+ | 104.5 | 58 | 85.9 | 111 |
| Q3 S&P+ | 78.5 | 120 | 80.7 | 123 |
| Q4 S&P+ | 96.6 | 89 | 80.2 | 124 |
| 1st Down S&P+ | 91.6 | 103 | 85.6 | 119 |
| 2nd Down S&P+ | 97.9 | 80 | 81.9 | 118 |
| 3rd Down S&P+ | 95.1 | 88 | 70.4 | 128 |
Offensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.3% | 41 | 60.4% |
| Pass Downs Run Rate | 32.0% | 68 | 34.0% |
| Adj. Pace | +3.4 | 30 | +0.0 |
| % of Solo Tackles | 86.5% | 3 | 74.9% |
Defensive Footprint
| Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 64.3% | 28 | 60.3% |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 39.8% | 16 | 33.9% |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 10.3% | 127 | 16.0% |
| DL Havoc Rate | 3.9% | 92 | 5.1% |
| LB Havoc Rate | 1.2% | 128 | 4.5% |
| DB Havoc Rate | 5.0% | 104 | 6.3% |
| PD to INC | 22.8% | 127 | 32.8% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Damani Alexcee | S | 6'2, 192 | JR | 70.0 | 9.8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Trey McGowan | LB | 6'0, 247 | SR | 61.5 | 8.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jerrid Jeter-Gilmon | LB | 6'1, 230 | SR | 54.0 | 7.6% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| David Mims II | CB | 5'11, 198 | SR | 53.5 | 7.5% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Shaw | DB | 5'10, 196 | SR | 49.5 | 6.9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon McDowell | CB | 5'10, 183 | SO | 38.5 | 5.4% | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Karee Berry | DE | 6'3, 225 | SO | 29.5 | 4.1% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dallas McClarty | DT | 5'11, 275 | JR | 28.0 | 3.9% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dila Rosemond | DB | 5'10, 175 | SO | 25.5 | 3.6% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Dallas, Jr. | DE | 6'4, 245 | SR | 24.5 | 3.4% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ishmael Davis | LB | 6'3, 223 | FR | 22.5 | 3.2% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen Smith | LB | 6'3, 221 | JR | 21.5 | 3.0% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephan Johnson | S | 6'0, 190 | SO | 21.0 | 2.9% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Donta Clanton | CB | 5'10, 185 | SR | 19.0 | 2.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javante O'Roy | CB | 6'0, 180 | JR | 18.5 | 2.6% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mershad Dillon | DT | 6'3, 300 | SR | 16.5 | 2.3% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Camyron Brown | S | 5'11, 199 | FR | 15.5 | 2.2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Easy Anyama | S | 6'3, 220 | SO | 15.0 | 2.1% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Gay | RB | 5'11, 248 | SR | 14.0 | 2.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dondre Elvoid | DT | 6'4, 305 | SR | 13.5 | 1.9% | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rusmin Nikocevic | DT | 6'4, 258 | SR | 12.0 | 1.7% | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeff Banks | DE | 6'5, 212 | SO | 9.5 | 1.3% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Demetrius Woodard | S | 6'2, 210 | SR | 9.5 | 1.3% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Herbert Gonzales | DT | 6'0, 297 | SR | 9.0 | 1.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Roosevelt Pearson | DE | 6'5, 255 | JR | 8.0 | 1.1% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | |||||||||||
Special Teams
| Rating | Rank | |
| Special Teams S&P+ | -0.9 | 104 |
| Category | Rate | Rank |
| FG Value (per kick) | -0.32 | 112 |
| Punt Success Rate | 57.8% | 49 |
| Kickoff Success Rate | 77.4% | 39 |
| Punt Return Success Rate | 60.0% | 32 |
| Kick Return Success Rate | 38.1% | 94 |
| Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Lumi Kaba | 6'2, 182 | JR | 26-27 | 10-18 | 55.6% |
| James Sherman | 5'10, 180 | FR | 6-10 | 1-1 | 100.0% |
| Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Lumi Kaba | 6'2, 182 | JR | 65 | 44.3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 49.2% |
| Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Lumi Kaba | 6'2, 182 | JR | 62 | 63.8 | 43 | 69.4% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Brandon McDowell | 5'10, 183 | SO | 14 | 13.1 | 1 | 19 | 2 (1) |
| Tyler Watts | 5'8, 150 | FR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Dila Rosemond | 5'10, 175 | SO | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Brandon Smith | 6'2, 170 | SR | 27 | 23.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 (0) |
| Jafus Gaines | 5'11, 175 | SR | 8 | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Ryan Carden | 6'4, 250 | SR | 3 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics