clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

2015 Missouri advanced statistical profile

Updated on 8/21/2016

Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.

Back to the index page.

Got position corrections? Note them here.

Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.

2015 | 2016

Missouri Tigers (SEC East)

2015 Schedule & Results
Record: 5-7 | Second-order wins (diff.): 4.4 (-0.6) | S&P+ Rk: 85
Date Opponent Opp. S&P+ Rk Score W-L Win
Expectancy
Adj. Scoring
Margin
Percentile
Performance
Off.
Percentile
Def.
Percentile
5-Sep SE Missouri State N/A 34-3 W 99% 19.4 70% 28% 76%
12-Sep at Arkansas State 79 27-20 W 72% 4.7 90% 17% 91%
19-Sep Connecticut 87 9-6 W 85% 8.3 86% 18% 87%
26-Sep at Kentucky 95 13-21 L 8% -11.3 31% 37% 14%
3-Oct South Carolina 88 24-10 W 81% 6.9 89% 24% 96%
10-Oct Florida 18 3-21 L 5% -12.9 19% 22% 59%
17-Oct at Georgia 32 6-9 L 11% -9.7 36% 13% 82%
24-Oct at Vanderbilt 83 3-10 L 2% -16.2 5% 5% 41%
5-Nov Mississippi State 16 13-31 L 1% -19.1 19% 9% 63%
14-Nov vs. BYU 38 20-16 W 64% 2.8 61% 64% 66%
21-Nov Tennessee 22 8-19 L 7% -11.6 30% 27% 78%
27-Nov at Arkansas 15 3-28 L 0% -29.7 11% 4% 60%
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
S&P+ 16.5 120 19.4 13
Points Per Game 13.6 127 16.2 5
Five Factors
Offense Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP 1.22 91 1.06 1 1.27
EFFICIENCY Success Rate 30.9% 126 37.9% 29 40.3%
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 27.1 117 30.9 92 29.9
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Trip in 40 3.08 128 3.46 2 4.67
TURNOVER MARGIN EXPECTED -1.1 81 Turnover Luck (PPG):
+0.04
ACTUAL -1 74
Rushing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Rushing S&P+ 79.0 124 120.0 14 100.0
Rushing Success Rate 31.1% 128 37.8% 29 42.3%
Rushing IsoPPP 1.11 44 0.93 11 1.08
Adj. Line Yards 93.4 102 112.7 22 100.0
Opportunity Rate 32.9% 119 33.1% 12 38.9%
Power Success Rate 48.4% 126 63.9% 53 66.3%
Stuff Rate 24.5% 117 27.3% 6 19.6%

Individual Rushing Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Rushes Yards TD Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Opp.
Opp.
Rate
Fumbles
(Lost)
Ish Witter TB 5'10, 190 SO 126 518 1 4.1 3.8 33.3% 2 (2)
Russell Hansbrough TB 5'9, 195 SR 111 436 1 3.9 4.2 30.6% 2 (0)
Tyler Hunt TB 5'11, 210 SR 42 185 1 4.4 7.8 26.2% 2 (0)
Maty Mauk QB 6'0, 200 JR 31 165 1 5.3 7.2 35.5% 3 (0)
Drew Lock QB 6'4, 205 FR 27 184 1 6.8 6.5 48.1% 2 (0)
Morgan Steward TB 6'0, 210 JR 10 18 0 1.8 1.6 10.0% 0 (0)
Chase Abbington TB 6'2, 215 JR 6 39 0 6.5 3.1 66.7% 0 (0)
Ray Wingo WR 5'11, 175 FR 2 4 0 2.0 0.0 0.0% 0 (0)
Corey Fatony P 5'11, 185 FR 1 26 0 26.0 18.5 100.0% 0 (0)
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns.
Passing
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing S&P+ 76.4 119 117.3 15 100.0
Passing Success Rate 30.7% 121 37.9% 37 40.3%
Passing IsoPPP 1.32 105 1.21 2 1.49
Adj. Sack Rate 85.7 85 103.7 56 100

Individual Passing Stats

Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD INT Comp
Rate
Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Drew Lock 6'4, 205 FR 129 263 1332 4 8 49.0% 25 8.7% 4.1
Maty Mauk 6'0, 200 JR 57 110 654 6 4 51.8% 5 4.3% 5.5

Individual Receiving Stats

Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year Targets Catches Yards TD Yds/
Catch
Yds/
Target
Catch Rate Success Rate Target
Rate
J'Mon Moore WR 6'3, 190 SO 65 29 350 3 12.1 5.4 44.6% 33.8% 18.7%
Nate Brown WR 6'3, 205 SO 58 27 326 4 12.1 5.6 46.6% 41.4% 16.7%
Wesley Leftwich WR 6'1, 205 SR 53 22 285 1 13.0 5.4 41.5% 30.2% 15.3%
Jason Reese TE 6'5, 250 SO 27 15 126 0 8.4 4.7 55.6% 37.0% 7.8%
Sean Culkin TE 6'6, 245 JR 26 16 139 1 8.7 5.4 61.5% 42.3% 7.5%
Russell Hansbrough TB 5'9, 195 SR 21 17 59 0 3.5 2.8 81.0% 19.0% 6.1%
Ish Witter TB 5'10, 190 SO 20 15 143 0 9.5 7.2 75.0% 30.0% 5.8%
Emanuel Hall WR 6'3, 200 FR 17 8 64 0 8.0 3.8 47.1% 29.4% 4.9%
Keyon Dilosa WR 6'3, 200 FR 15 11 86 0 7.8 5.7 73.3% 53.3% 4.3%
Cam Hilton S 6'0, 180 FR 12 9 129 0 14.3 10.8 75.0% 66.7% 3.5%
Ray Wingo WR 5'11, 175 FR 8 4 24 0 6.0 3.0 50.0% 25.0% 2.3%
Tyler Hunt TB 5'11, 210 SR 7 6 203 1 33.8 29.0 85.7% 71.4% 2.0%
DeSean Blair WR 6'3, 190 FR 5 2 25 0 12.5 5.0 40.0% 20.0% 1.4%
Chase Abbington TB 6'2, 215 JR 4 1 5 0 5.0 1.3 25.0% 0.0% 1.2%
Clayton Echard TE 6'5, 260 SR 3 2 14 0 7.0 4.7 66.7% 33.3% 0.9%
Thomas Richard WR 6'1, 190 FR 2 1 4 0 4.0 2.0 50.0% 0.0% 0.6%
Standard Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Standard Downs S&P+ 77.1 124 116.2 14 100.0
Standard Downs Success Rate 35.2% 127 42.8% 34 46.5%
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.06 86 0.92 1 1.11
SD Line Yards per Carry 2.20 126 2.63 29 2.90
SD Sack Rate 7.3% 109 5.5% 52 5.0%
Passing Downs
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk Nat'l Avg.
Passing Downs S&P+ 81.8 112 122.7 15 100.0
Passing Downs Success Rate 24.0% 120 28.7% 44 30.7%
Passing Downs IsoPPP 1.58 107 1.47 4 1.77
PD Line Yards per Carry 3.71 23 2.42 8 3.20
PD Sack Rate 7.4% 64 9.1% 33 7.5%
Situational
Offense Defense
Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Q1 S&P+ 80.7 115 123.3 17
Q2 S&P+ 77.7 122 109.1 47
Q3 S&P+ 80.6 117 132.9 10
Q4 S&P+ 84.3 115 149.3 2
1st Down S&P+ 79.8 121 123.9 6
2nd Down S&P+ 81.3 117 138.4 4
3rd Down S&P+ 82.0 116 107.1 47
Offensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 57.4% 77 60.4%
Pass Downs Run Rate 33.1% 59 34.0%
Adj. Pace -8.4 126 +0.0
% of Solo Tackles 74.6% 69 74.9%
Defensive Footprint
Team Rk Nat'l Average
Std. Downs Run Rate 61.0% 56 60.3%
Pass. Downs Run Rate 39.3% 20 33.9%
Overall Havoc Rate 20.0% 10 16.0%
DL Havoc Rate 8.7% 5 5.1%
LB Havoc Rate 5.5% 37 4.5%
DB Havoc Rate 5.9% 79 6.3%
PD to INC 39.3% 15 32.8%
Individual Defensive Stats
Name Pos Ht, Wt Year Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kentrell Brothers LB 6'1, 235 SR 112.5 16.4% 12.0 2.5 2 3 1 0
Michael Scherer LB 6'3, 235 JR 70.0 10.2% 9.0 0.0 0 3 0 0
Anthony Sherrils S 6'0, 190 SO 52.5 7.7% 4.0 0.0 1 6 1 0
Donavin Newsom LB 6'2, 230 JR 52.0 7.6% 9.0 2.5 0 2 2 0
Aarion Penton CB 5'10, 190 JR 50.0 7.3% 4.5 0.0 1 8 1 0
Charles Harris DE 6'3, 255 SO 44.0 6.4% 18.5 7.0 0 1 2 0
Ian Simon S 6'0, 195 SR 38.5 5.6% 0.0 0.0 2 4 0 0
Kenya Dennis CB 6'0, 200 SR 33.0 4.8% 2.5 1.0 1 7 0 0
Walter Brady DE 6'3, 255 FR 30.5 4.5% 12.5 7.0 1 2 1 0
Josh Augusta DT 6'4, 335 JR 22.0 3.2% 8.5 0.0 0 1 0 0
Terry Beckner, Jr. DT 6'4, 300 FR 20.0 2.9% 8.0 3.0 0 1 0 0
Clarence Green LB 6'0, 220 SR 18.5 2.7% 1.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Rickey Hatley DT 6'4, 285 JR 18.0 2.6% 4.5 1.0 0 0 0 0
Marcell Frazier DE 6'5, 265 JR 14.0 2.0% 6.0 2.0 0 0 1 0
A.J. Logan DT 6'2, 300 SO 14.0 2.0% 2.0 0.0 0 0 1 0
Thomas Wilson S 5'10, 190 SO 11.0 1.6% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Logan Cheadle CB 5'10, 180 SO 10.5 1.5% 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 0
John Gibson CB 6'0, 190 JR 9.5 1.4% 0.0 0.0 1 2 0 0
Nate Howard DE 6'4, 230 FR 8.5 1.2% 2.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Joey Burkett LB 6'2, 210 SO 7.0 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Josh Moore DT 6'5, 260 FR 6.5 1.0% 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 0
Cortland Browning S 6'1, 205 SR 6.5 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Terez Hall LB 6'2, 215 FR 5.5 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Brandon Lee LB 6'2, 220 FR 3.0 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0
Eric Beisel LB 6'3, 225 SO 3.0 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0
Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected.
Special Teams

Rating Rank
Special Teams S&P+ -0.3 79
Category Rate Rank
FG Value (per kick) 0.07 57
Punt Success Rate 59.3% 42
Kickoff Success Rate 65.9% 86
Punt Return Success Rate 44.4% 83
Kick Return Success Rate 21.1% 126
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT FG Pct
Andrew Baggett 6'1, 215 SR 15-15 16-20 80.0%
Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Corey Fatony 5'11, 185 FR 81 42.9 3 28 26 66.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg TB TB% OOB Fair
Catches
Onside
Att
Onside
Success
Corey Fatony 5'11, 185 FR 43 62.8 18 41.9% 0 1 0 0
Andrew Baggett 6'1, 215 SR 1 63.0 0 0.0% 0 0 0 0
Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
Aarion Penton 5'10, 190 JR 15 7.7 1 9 2 (0)
Cam Hilton 6'0, 180 FR 6 3.5 0 10 2 (2)
Ian Simon 6'0, 195 SR 2 2.0 0 1 0 (0)
Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD Fair Catch Fumbles (Lost)
John Gibson 6'0, 190 JR 13 14.8 0 0 0 (0)
Finis Stribling IV 5'11, 175 FR 10 16.4 0 0 1 (0)
Anthony Sherrils 6'0, 190 SO 8 17.8 0 0 0 (0)

Stats via SportSource Analytics