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2012 UTEP Miners Football: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 5-7 | Adj. Record: 4-8 | Final F/+ Rk: 91
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Stony Brook 31-24 W 23.9 - 32.9 L
10-Sep at SMU 17-28 L 22.6 - 28.6 L
17-Sep at New Mexico State 16-10 W 20.0 - 23.1 L
24-Sep at South Florida 24-52 L 27.0 - 33.4 L
29-Sep Houston 42-49 L 38.9 - 30.1 W
15-Oct at Tulane 44-7 W 25.7 - 24.9 W
22-Oct Colorado State 31-17 W 31.4 - 23.5 W
29-Oct Southern Miss 13-31 L 23.1 - 28.4 L
5-Nov at Rice 37-41 L 31.0 - 33.7 L
12-Nov East Carolina 22-17 W 27.5 - 21.7 W
19-Nov Tulsa 28-57 L 29.1 - 33.2 L
25-Nov at Central Florida 14-31 L 27.1 - 32.5 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 26.6 62 30.3 86
Adj. Points Per Game 27.3 62 28.8 82

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Oklahoma 3
8-Sep at Ole Miss 83
15-Sep New Mexico State 121
22-Sep at Wisconsin 18
29-Sep at East Carolina 82
6-Oct SMU 65
13-Oct at Tulsa 47
20-Oct Tulane 111
27-Oct at Houston 29
10-Nov Central Florida 49
17-Nov at Southern Miss 46
24-Nov Rice 112
Five-Year F/+ Rk 93
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 111
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -8 / -11.1
TO Luck/Game 1.3
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 11 (7, 4)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 64 74 102 57
RUSHING 61 63 105 28
PASSING 67 79 82 80
Standard Downs 91 108 78
Passing Downs 36 42 38
Redzone 72 91 55
Q1 Rk 18 1st Down Rk 102
Q2 Rk 93 2nd Down Rk 45
Q3 Rk 94 3rd Down Rk 66
Q4 Rk 86
Adj. Line Yards Rk 59
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 94

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Lamaison 6'1, 210 Sr. ** (5.4) 130 224 1,718 58.0% 12 10 19 7.8% 6.5
Carson Meger 5'11, 200 Jr. NR 71 112 669 63.4% 2 5 5 4.3% 5.3
Jay Hall 6'1, 190 So. *** (5.6) 20 55 281 36.4% 0 2 6 9.8% 4.0

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Joe Banyard RB 127 832 6.6 3.4 6 +8.0
Leilyon Myers RB 106 368 3.5 0.7 12 +3.7
Vernon Frazier RB 61 434 7.1 3.6 3 +8.4
Nathan Jeffery RB 5'11, 195 So. ** (5.3) 26 166 6.4 3.2 1 +3.0
Nick Lamaison QB 6'1, 210 Sr. ** (5.4) 21 172 8.2 3.5 1 +2.9
Carson Meger QB 5'11, 200 Jr. NR 10 58 5.8 1.2 0 -1.5
LaQuintus Dowell RB 5'9, 195 RSFr. NR





Paul Franklin RB 6'1, 205 Fr. *** (5.5)





Autrey Golden RB 5'10, 190 Fr. *** (5.5)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Mike Edwards WR-Z 5'10, 190 Sr. ** (5.4) 83 50 657 60.2% 21.8% 62.7% 6.5
Jordan Leslie WR-X 6'2, 205 So. *** (5.6) 53 30 430 56.6% 13.9% 56.6% 6.4
Donavon Kemp WR-X 53 23 456 43.4% 13.9% 56.6% 4.2
Russell Carr WR-A 24 12 119 50.0% 6.3% 75.0% 4.6
Julio Lopez WR-A 36 25 233 69.4% 9.5% 41.7% 6.3
Lavorick Williams WR-Z


25 8 62 32.0% 6.6% 52.0% -0.6
Kevin Perry TE 6'5, 255 Jr. ** (4.9) 22 17 203 77.3% 5.8% 59.1% 10.1
Vernon Frazier RB 18 13 56 72.2% 4.7% 66.7% 2.7
Joe Banyard RB 15 12 67 80.0% 3.9% 53.3% 4.7
Eric Tomlinson TE 6'6, 255 So. *** (5.5) 12 6 83 50.0% 3.2% 58.3% 8.1
Craig Wenrick TE 6'5, 260 So. *** (5.5) 8 4 105 50.0% 2.1% 75.0% 8.1
Devin Patterson WR 6'0, 205 So. ** (5.4) 3 1 12 33.3% 0.8% 33.3% 4.0
Malcolm Trail WR 6'1, 185 So. ** (5.2) 2 2 9 100.0% 0.5% 100.0% 4.5
Ishmael Harrison WR 5'11, 190 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Felix Neboh WR 5'8, 160 RSFr. NR

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Nathan McCage RG 14 career starts
Eloy Atkinson C 6'3, 300 Sr. ** (5.2) 17 career starts
Brander Craighead LT 6'6, 290 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 career starts
Jerel Watkins LG 6'2, 275 So. ** (5.0) 11 career starts
James Nelson RT 6'7, 330 Sr. NR 8 career starts
James Martin LT 6'6, 290 Sr. ** (5.2) 4 career starts
Paul Santillan LG 6'4, 305 Sr. ** (5.1) 1 career start
Kyle Brown C 6'2, 280 So. ** (5.2)
James Robinson RG 6'4, 330 Sr. ** (5.4)
Nick Martin RT


Wayne Frazier LG 6'4, 320 Jr. ** (5.3)
David Grubaugh RT 6'4, 300 Jr. NR
Wayne Melendez C 6'2, 310 RSFr. NR

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 104 90 75 100
RUSHING 96 104 78 110
PASSING 92 76 68 78
Standard Downs 77 46 90
Passing Downs 110 113 111
Redzone 63 49 66
Q1 Rk 110 1st Down Rk 58
Q2 Rk 67 2nd Down Rk 102
Q3 Rk 88 3rd Down Rk 107
Q4 Rk 66
Adj. Line Yards Rk 100
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 47

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Horace Miller DE 6'1, 235 Jr. ** (5.3) 12 25.5 3.9% 8 5 2 1
Germard Reed DT 6'0, 280 Jr. ** (5.4) 10 23.5 3.6% 7.5 4 1
Greg Watkins DE 6'5, 225 Sr. ** (5.3) 12 22.0 3.3% 5 3 1 1
Bernard Obi DE 12 17.5 2.7% 2.5 1.5 1
Jamie Fehoko NT 12 15.5 2.4% 4.5 0.5
Marcus Bagley DT 6'1, 330 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 13.0 2.0% 1
James Davidson DE 6'3, 230 Jr. ** (5.2) 11 12.5 1.9% 3 2 1
Adam Ayala DE 6'5, 275 Jr. *** (5.5) 9 3.5 0.5% 1 1 1
Yahchaaroah Lightbourne DT 7 3.0 0.5% 1 1
Devonte Richardson DT 6'2, 290 Fr. *** (5.5)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jeremy Springer MLB 12 50.5 7.7% 5 1 3
Josh Fely WLB 5'11, 225 Sr. ** (5.4) 12 47.5 7.2% 5.5 3 1
Isaiah Carter WLB 12 40.0 6.1% 4.5 1 1 1
Royzell Smith SLB 12 31.5 4.8% 0.5 2
Aubrey Alexius SLB 5'11, 220 Sr. ** (4.9) 10 15.0 2.3% 1 1
DeAndre Little MLB 6'1, 235 So. *** (5.7) 7 4.0 0.6% 0.5 1
A.J. Ropati LB 6'2, 230 Jr. *** (5.5)






Jamie Irving LB 6'0, 235 Jr. ** (5.4)






Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
DeShawn Grayson FS 6'0, 205 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 52.5 8.0% 1 2 5 1
Drew Thomas CB 5'10, 185 Sr. NR 12 42.0 6.4% 2 6
TraVaun Nixon SS 7 40.5 6.2% 1.5 4
Wesley Miller SS 5'9, 185 So. NR 12 40.0 6.1% 1 2
Antwon Blake CB 12 39.5 6.0% 1 1 7
Richard Spencer DB 6'2, 210 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 39.0 5.9% 3.5 2 1 1 1
Adrian James CB 5'11, 180 Jr. ** (5.2) 12 16.0 2.4% 1 3
Derrick Morgan FS 6'1, 205 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 15.0 2.3% 1 2 1
Darren Woodard CB 5'11, 175 Sr. ** (5.2) 9 9.0 1.4% 2 2
Dashone Smith DB 5'11, 185 Fr. *** (5.5)
DaCarlos Renfro DB 5'10, 173 Fr. *** (5.5)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ian Campbell 5'11, 170 Sr. 48 46.1 6 6 16 45.8%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Steven Valadez 5'11, 175 So. 64 65.5 21 32.8%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Dakota Warren 5'10, 190 Sr. 32-34 7-13 53.8% 6-9 66.7%
Steven Valadez 5'11, 175 So. 0-0 0-1 0.0% 1-1 100.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Vernon Frazier KR 29 30.5 0
Nathan Jeffery KR 5'11, 195 So. 14 22.6 0
Anthony McGhee PR 10 7.3 0
Mike Edwards PR 5'10, 190 Sr. 8 10.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 51
Net Punting 6
Net Kickoffs 29
Touchback Pct 10
Field Goal Pct 104
Kick Returns Avg 4
Punt Returns Avg 41

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.