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2012 Florida International Golden Panthers Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 60
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
1-Sep North Texas 41-16 W 33.2 - 23.1 W
9-Sep at Louisville 24-17 W 30.6 - 28.5 W
17-Sep Central Florida 17-10 W 24.9 - 23.9 W
24-Sep UL-Lafayette 31-36 L 28.1 - 30.3 L
1-Oct Duke 27-31 L 26.6 - 30.4 L
8-Oct at Akron 27-17 W 26.9 - 30.9 L
18-Oct at Arkansas State 16-34 L 27.0 - 30.0 L
25-Oct Troy 23-20 W 24.8 - 24.7 W
5-Nov at Western Kentucky 9-10 L 18.5 - 27.3 L
12-Nov Florida Atlantic 41-7 W 31.3 - 28.4 W
19-Nov at UL-Monroe 28-17 W 27.1 - 23.2 W
26-Nov at Middle Tennessee 31-18 W 28.8 - 27.9 W
20-Dec vs Marshall 10-20 L 20.7 - 28.0 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 25.0 74 19.5 14
Adj. Points Per Game 26.8 73 27.4 54

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Duke 75
8-Sep Akron 123
15-Sep at Central Florida 49
22-Sep Louisville 50
29-Sep at UL-Lafayette 99
4-Oct Arkansas State 87
13-Oct Middle Tennessee 113
20-Oct at Troy 100
27-Oct Western Kentucky 88
3-Nov at South Alabama 120
16-Nov at Florida Atlantic 114
24-Nov UL-Monroe 90
Five-Year F/+ Rk 95
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 74
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +5 / +4.9
TO Luck/Game 0.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 17 (7, 10)
Yds/Pt Margin** -3.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 82 95 74 100
RUSHING 72 79 46 93
PASSING 70 92 89 92
Standard Downs 85 56 95
Passing Downs 104 112 100
Redzone 96 63 104
Q1 Rk 52 1st Down Rk 71
Q2 Rk 99 2nd Down Rk 110
Q3 Rk 43 3rd Down Rk 76
Q4 Rk 120
Adj. Line Yards Rk 63
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 33

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Wesley Carroll 200 332 2,374 60.2% 14 4 12 3.5% 6.6
Jake Medlock 6'3, 210 So. *** (5.5) 37 56 376 66.1% 1 1 3 5.1% 6.1
Laranzo Hammonds 6'1, 188 RSFr. ** (5.4)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Kedrick Rhodes RB 5'10, 190 Jr. *** (5.5) 233 1,159 5.0 1.8 8 -0.1
Darriet Perry RB 131 496 3.8 1.1 6 -6.8
Wesley Carroll QB 26 107 4.1 0.9 0 -3.4
Jeremiah Harden RB 5'9, 200 Sr. ** (5.4) 21 90 4.3 1.5 1 -0.5
T.Y. Hilton WR 19 124 6.5 3.0 1 +2.2
Jake Medlock QB 6'3, 210 So. *** (5.5) 16 102 6.4 2.2 2 +1.5

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
T.Y. Hilton WR 118 72 1,038 61.0% 31.9% 52.5% 8.2
Wayne Times WR 5'11, 178 Sr. *** (5.6) 76 54 541 71.1% 20.5% 64.5% 7.0
Kedrick Rhodes RB 5'10, 190 Jr. *** (5.5) 35 26 238 74.3% 9.5% 34.3% 7.3
Jacob Younger WR 6'2, 175 Sr. NR 30 21 285 70.0% 8.1% 56.7% 9.4
Glenn Coleman WR 6'2, 205 Jr. *** (5.6) 27 14 128 51.9% 7.3% 66.7% 2.5
Dominique Rhymes WR 6'3, 205 So. *** (5.5) 17 9 112 52.9% 4.6% 41.2% 3.9
Darriet Perry RB 15 11 89 73.3% 4.1% 46.7% 5.5
Willis Wright WR 6'1, 200 Jr. *** (5.5) 15 10 133 66.7% 4.1% 46.7% 10.8
Jonathan Faucher TE 14 8 92 57.1% 3.8% 78.6% 3.5
Colt Anderson TE 12 7 89 58.3% 3.2% 83.3% 5.2
Richard Leonard^ WR 5'9, 170 So. *** (5.6)
James Louis^^ WR 5'10, 180 So. **** (5.8)
DeAndre Jasper WR 5'11, 180 Fr. *** (5.6)

^ Leonard is a defensive back who has either moved to receiver or will split time at both positions.
^^ Louis is an Ohio State transfer and will be eligible this fall.

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Caylin Hauptmann LT 6'4, 311 Sr. *** (5.6) 25 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Sun Belt
Rupert Bryan RT 6'2, 276 Sr. *** (5.5) 29 career starts
Curtis Bryant RG 21 career starts
Giancarlo Revilla C 6'2, 268 Sr. ** (5.4) 15 career starts
Shae Smith LG 6'4, 281 Sr. NR 11 career starts
Kevin Van Kirk LG 3 career starts
Ceedrick Davis RG 6'4, 286 Jr. ** (5.3) 2 career starts
Jordan White RG 6'4, 305 So. ** (5.2) 1 career starts
David Delsoln LT 6'6, 288 So. *** (5.5)
Donald Senat LG 6'2, 271 So. NR

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 31 59 54 60
RUSHING 22 81 79 79
PASSING 65 41 32 53
Standard Downs 47 43 55
Passing Downs 86 101 77
Redzone 29 32 29
Q1 Rk 100 1st Down Rk 72
Q2 Rk 36 2nd Down Rk 61
Q3 Rk 86 3rd Down Rk 57
Q4 Rk 47
Adj. Line Yards Rk 86
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 34

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Greg Hickman DE 6'1, 270 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 29.0 4.0% 11 5 1 2 1
Isame Faciane DT 6'5, 290 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 29.0 4.0% 8.5 3 4 1
Tourek Williams DE 6'4, 247 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 27.5 3.8% 13 4.5 4
James Jones DE 13 26.5 3.7% 5.5 3 1 1
Paul Crawford DE 6'9, 250 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 16.0 2.2% 2.5 1
Jerrico Lee DT 5'11, 270 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 11.0 1.5% 2
Andre Pound DT 6'3, 281 Sr. ** (4.9) 13 8.0 1.1% 1 0.5 1
Joshua Forney DT 6'2, 262 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 6.0 0.8% 2 1 1
Darrian Dyson DE 6'3, 290 Fr. *** (5.7)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Winston Fraser LB 6'2, 227 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 86.0 11.9% 7.5 4 1 2 1
Jordan Hunt LB 6'1, 235 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 68.0 9.4% 11.5 4
Kenneth Dillard LB 6'0, 220 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 22.5 3.1% 2
Chris Edwards LB 8 9.5 1.3% 1 1
Markieth Russell LB 6'1, 210 Sr. ** (5.3) 8 6.5 0.9%
Jamie Willis LB 6'2, 180 Fr. *** (5.6)
Patrick Jean LB 6'3, 200 Fr. *** (5.6)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jonathan Cyprien SS 6'0, 205 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 64.5 8.9% 5.5 1 1 8
Sam Miller CB 5'10, 180 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 54.0 7.5% 5 3 2 5 2
Jose Cheeseborough CB 5'9, 160 Jr. NR 13 51.0 7.0% 3 2 3
Richard Leonard CB 5'9, 170 So. *** (5.6) 13 41.5 5.7% 2 3 6 1
Terrance Taylor FS 6'1, 185 Jr. ** (5.2) 12 32.0 4.4% 1 3
Junior Mertile CB 6'1, 200 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 24.0 3.3% 1 1
Justin Halley FS 6'2, 185 So. *** (5.5) 8 22.0 3.0% 1 4 6
Chuck Grace SS 3 14.0 1.9%
Tevin Blanchard CB 6'0, 180 Sr. ** (5.4) 11 11.5 1.6% 2 1 2 1
Emmanuel Souarin CB 5'11, 175 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 8.0 1.1% 2

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Josh Brisk 5'10, 200 Sr. 61 42.3 9 19 16 57.4%
Jack Griffin 6'1, 200 Sr. 4 34.8 0 1 0 25.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Jack Griffin 6'1, 200 Sr. 68 60.8 5 7.4%
Dylan Lynch 6'3, 215 Jr. 5 59.8 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Jack Griffin 6'1, 200 Sr. 36-36 16-18 88.9% 6-8 75.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
T.Y. Hilton KR 18 30.4 0
Wayne Times KR 5'11, 178 Sr. 11 23.6 0
T.Y. Hilton PR 8 23.2 1
Richard Leonard PR 5'9, 170 So. 3 7.7 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 11
Net Punting 106
Net Kickoffs 112
Touchback Pct 97
Field Goal Pct 9
Kick Returns Avg 16
Punt Returns Avg 1

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.