This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 14’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- NC State (+45% vs. ECU)
- Clemson (+15% vs. Pitt)
- UAB (+15% vs. MTSU)
- Virginia Tech (+12% vs. Marshall)
- Ohio State (+9% vs. Northwestern)
Yeah, um, ECU didn’t show up.
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- NC State (+5.9 vs. ECU)
- Clemson (+4.0 vs. Pitt)
- South Carolina (+2.6 vs. Akron)
- MTSU (+1.3 vs. UAB)
- NIU (+1.0 vs. Buffalo)
Not even a slightly bit.
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- South Carolina (+19.5 vs. Akron)
- Virginia Tech (+17.8 vs. Marshall)
- NC State (+15.5 vs. ECU)
- NIU (+11.6 vs. Buffalo)
- Clemson (+10.2 vs. Pitt)
NIU’s post-game win expectancy was 75%, quite a bit higher than I expected, honestly. Felt like Buffalo was in total control for 45 minutes.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- NC State (+3.0 vs. ECU)
- Clemson (+2.7 vs. Pitt)
- Utah (+2.5 vs. Washington)
- Appalachian State (+2.2 vs. UL-Lafayette)
- Fresno State (+2.2 vs. Boise State)
Kudos to Washington for creating six scoring opportunities and scoring three (offensive) points with them. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen that.
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- Akron (+3.4 vs. South Carolina)
- Clemson (+2.5 vs. Pitt)
- Stanford (+2.1 vs. Cal)
- Georgia (+2.0 vs. Alabama)
- Washington (+1.6 vs. Utah)
Translation: Akron had a turnover margin that was an incredible +3.4 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Zips enjoyed about a 17-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a 28-3 loss.