Rivalry Week college football Five Factors box scores

This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 14’s superior performances in each category are below.

Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)

1. NC State (+45% vs. ECU)
2. Clemson (+15% vs. Pitt)
3. UAB (+15% vs. MTSU)
4. Virginia Tech (+12% vs. Marshall)
5. Ohio State (+9% vs. Northwestern)

Yeah, um, ECU didn’t show up.

Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)

1. NC State (+5.9 vs. ECU)
2. Clemson (+4.0 vs. Pitt)
3. South Carolina (+2.6 vs. Akron)
4. MTSU (+1.3 vs. UAB)
5. NIU (+1.0 vs. Buffalo)

Not even a slightly bit.

Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)

1. South Carolina (+19.5 vs. Akron)
2. Virginia Tech (+17.8 vs. Marshall)
3. NC State (+15.5 vs. ECU)
4. NIU (+11.6 vs. Buffalo)
5. Clemson (+10.2 vs. Pitt)

NIU’s post-game win expectancy was 75%, quite a bit higher than I expected, honestly. Felt like Buffalo was in total control for 45 minutes.

Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)

1. NC State (+3.0 vs. ECU)
2. Clemson (+2.7 vs. Pitt)
3. Utah (+2.5 vs. Washington)
4. Appalachian State (+2.2 vs. UL-Lafayette)
5. Fresno State (+2.2 vs. Boise State)

Kudos to Washington for creating six scoring opportunities and scoring three (offensive) points with them. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen that.

Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)

1. Akron (+3.4 vs. South Carolina)
2. Clemson (+2.5 vs. Pitt)
3. Stanford (+2.1 vs. Cal)
4. Georgia (+2.0 vs. Alabama)
5. Washington (+1.6 vs. Utah)

Translation: Akron had a turnover margin that was an incredible +3.4 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Zips enjoyed about a 17-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a 28-3 loss.