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Rivalry Week college football Five Factors box scores

It appears East Carolina isn’t very good.

East Carolina v North Carolina State Photo by Lance King/Getty Images

This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 14’s superior performances in each category are below.

Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)

  1. NC State (+45% vs. ECU)
  2. Clemson (+15% vs. Pitt)
  3. UAB (+15% vs. MTSU)
  4. Virginia Tech (+12% vs. Marshall)
  5. Ohio State (+9% vs. Northwestern)

Yeah, um, ECU didn’t show up.

Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)

  1. NC State (+5.9 vs. ECU)
  2. Clemson (+4.0 vs. Pitt)
  3. South Carolina (+2.6 vs. Akron)
  4. MTSU (+1.3 vs. UAB)
  5. NIU (+1.0 vs. Buffalo)

Not even a slightly bit.

Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)

  1. South Carolina (+19.5 vs. Akron)
  2. Virginia Tech (+17.8 vs. Marshall)
  3. NC State (+15.5 vs. ECU)
  4. NIU (+11.6 vs. Buffalo)
  5. Clemson (+10.2 vs. Pitt)

NIU’s post-game win expectancy was 75%, quite a bit higher than I expected, honestly. Felt like Buffalo was in total control for 45 minutes.

Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)

  1. NC State (+3.0 vs. ECU)
  2. Clemson (+2.7 vs. Pitt)
  3. Utah (+2.5 vs. Washington)
  4. Appalachian State (+2.2 vs. UL-Lafayette)
  5. Fresno State (+2.2 vs. Boise State)

Kudos to Washington for creating six scoring opportunities and scoring three (offensive) points with them. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen that.

Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)

  1. Akron (+3.4 vs. South Carolina)
  2. Clemson (+2.5 vs. Pitt)
  3. Stanford (+2.1 vs. Cal)
  4. Georgia (+2.0 vs. Alabama)
  5. Washington (+1.6 vs. Utah)

Translation: Akron had a turnover margin that was an incredible +3.4 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Zips enjoyed about a 17-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a 28-3 loss.