This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 11’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- ULM (+34% vs. South Alabama)
- Utah State (+32% vs. SJSU)
- Nevada (+31% vs. Colorado State)
- NIU (+29% vs. Toledo)
- Michigan (+28% vs. Rutgers)
ULM has risen from 122nd in S&P+ midseason to 97th now — they have looked good recently — and the Warhawks are a game up in the Sun Belt West race. The trick: they now face both of the teams a game behind them in the standings (Arkansas State and UL).
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- Pitt (+8.9 vs. Virginia Tech)
- Nevada (+5.2 vs. Colorado State)
- Clemson (+3.9 vs. BC)
- ULM (+3.7 vs. South Alabama)
- Arkansas State (+3.4 vs. Coastal Carolina)
EIGHT. POINT. NINE. GOOD GOD, PITT. I’m actually surprised the Panthers only moved up nine spots.
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- Ohio State (+19.2 vs. Michigan State)
- FIU (+18.1 vs. UTSA)
- Marshall (+16.8 vs. Charlote)
- West Virginia (+16.4 vs. TCU)
- Texas State (+16.2 vs. Appalachian State)
Anybody who watched the Ohio State-Michigan State game would’ve probably thought that the Buckeyes’ advantage was even larger than 19 yards.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- CMU (+4.9 vs. Bowling Green)
- Notre Dame (+4.5 vs. FSU)
- Alabama (+4.0 vs. Mississippi State)
- Clemson (+4.0 vs. Boston College)
- Appalachian State (+3.7 vs. Texas State)
So this is fascinating: both Notre Dame and FSU generated six scoring opportunities on Saturday. And the Irish won by 29. Goodness.
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- FIU (+2.9 vs. UTSA)
- EMU (+2.8 vs. Akron)
- ECU (+2.8 vs. Tulane)
- Washington State (+2.7 vs. Colorado)
- TCU (+2.7 vs. WVU)
Translation: TCU had a turnover margin that was +2.7 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means the Horned Frogs enjoyed about a 13 or 14-point boost thanks to turnovers luck. In a 37-point loss. If you’re wondering why they fell further than anyone else in the S&P+ rankings.