Week 13 Five Factors box scores

This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 12’s superior performances in each category are below.

Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)

1. Georgia (+30% vs. Georgia Tech)
2. Wisconsin (+28% vs. Minnesota)
3. Oklahoma (+27% vs. West Virginia)
4. Memphis (+27% vs. ECU)
5. Penn State (+25% vs. Maryland)

Man, Georgia just wrecked Tech, huh?

Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)

1. Memphis (+7.8 vs. ECU)
2. Oklahoma (+6.5 vs. West Virginia)
3. Troy (+5.2 vs. Texas State)
4. Wisconsin (+48 vs. Minnesota)
5. Utah State (+4.2 vs. Air Force)

S&P+ has been picking the underdogs on the big spreads all year, and it’s paid off most of the time. This week, however, the blowouts flowed. Like, for instance, Memphis-ECU.

Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)

1. Oregon (+22.5 vs. Oregon State)
2. Michigan State (+20.1 vs. Rutgers)
3. Washington (+18.8 vs. Wazzu)
4. Navy (+18.6 vs. Houston)
5. Penn State (+17.6 vs. Maryland)

Navy lost with a huge field position advantage? That’s hard to do...

Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)

1. Wisconsin (+6.2 vs. Minnesota)
2. Penn State (+5.9 vs. Maryland)
3. Louisiana Tech (+5.2 vs. UTSA)
4. Memphis (+47 vs. ECU)
5. Houston (+4.0 vs. Navy)

...though this does explain it...

Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)

1. Georgia Southern (+3.6 vs. UL-Lafayette)
2. LSU (+3.3 vs. Texas A&M)
3. Stanford (+3.0 vs. Notre Dame)
4. Texas Tech (+2.7 vs. Texas)
5. Tulane (+2.7 vs. SMU)

Translation: LSU had a turnover margin that was +3.3 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means Texas A&M suffered about 16-17 points’ worth of bad turnovers luck. Tigers still won by 24, though.