This week’s Five Factors box scores are up! Check out all the results here. Week 5’s superior performances in each category are below.
Top 5 success rate margins (vs. FBS)
- Oregon (+29% vs. Cal)
- Pitt (+27% vs. Rice)
- Alabama (+26% vs. Ole Miss)
- Ohio State (+26% vs. Rutgers)
- Navy (+21% vs. Tulsa)
I would say Oregon responded pretty well to the surprising loss to Arizona State. Posting a success rate over 50 percent (54) and holding your opponent under 30 percent (25) will win you just about every game you play.
Top 5 yards per play margins (vs. FBS)
- Ohio State (+6.2 vs. Rutgers)
- New Mexico (+5.3 vs. Air Force)
- Auburn (+4.9 vs. Mississippi State)
- Alabama (+3.6 vs. Ole Miss)
- WMU (+3.2 vs. Ball State)
Better wake up quickly, Mississippi State.
Top 5 field position margins (vs. FBS)
- WMU (+29.7 vs. Ball State)
- Arkansas (+19.1 vs. NMSU)
- Alabama (+17.3 vs. Ole Miss)
- Michigan State (+16.7 vs. Iowa)
- Boston College (+16.4 vs. CMU)
On a per-play basis, Michigan State and Iowa was virtually dead even. They had a nearly identical success rate and struggled at an almost equal level to turn scoring chances into points. But thanks to a drastic field position edge, Sparty created two more chances. That was enough to win by seven.
Top 5 points per scoring opportunity margins (vs. FBS)
- Ohio State (+7.0 vs. Rutgers)
- Georgia (+5.9 vs. Tennessee)
- Alabama (+4.9 vs. Ole Miss)
- UNLV (+4.1 vs. SJSU)
- Nebraska (+4.1 vs. Illinois)
It’s hard to create three scoring chances and still get shut out. Congrats, Rutgers.
Top 5 turnovers luck margins (vs. FBS)
- Utah State (+4.1 vs. BYU)
- SDSU (+2.8 vs. NIU)
- Georgia (+2.6 vs. Tennessee)
- Mississippi State (+2.4 vs. Auburn)
- Florida State (+2.2 vs. Wake Forest)
Translation: Utah State had a turnover margin that was +4.1 ahead of where national averages suggest it should have been. As each turnover is worth approximately five points, that means BYU suffered about 20-21 points’ worth of bad turnovers luck. In a 16-point loss.