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Kansas Jayhawks (1-2) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1)
September 29, 2016 ( 8:30 PM ET, FS1 )
Spread: Texas Tech -28.5
S&P+ Projection: Texas Tech (45.3-23.7)
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
Statistical profiles index.
Full Football Outsiders F/+ rankings can be found here.
The Basics
| Category | Kansas | Texas Tech | ||
| S&P+ (Rk) | 109 | 49 | ||
| Category | Kansas offense | Texas Tech defense | Texas Tech offense | Kansas defense |
| Yards per play (Rk) | 5.97 (41) | 6.38 (118) | 7.80 (2) | 4.46 (21) |
| Yards per game (Rk) | 378.0 (89) | 548.3 (126) | 678.3 (2) | 358.0 (46) |
| Points per possession (Rk) | 1.93 (94) | 2.83 (117) | 4.07 (3) | 1.91 (58) |
| Category | Kansas offense | Texas Tech defense | Texas Tech offense | Kansas defense |
| S&P+ (Rk) | 22.2 (111) | 41.4 (125) | 49.1 (2) | 33.4 (87) |
| Rushing S&P+ (Rk) | 92.8 (103) | 79.3 (123) | 114.5 (38) | 83.3 (117) |
| Passing S&P+ (Rk) | 114.6 (43) | 86.6 (101) | 126.9 (21) | 135.6 (9) |
| Standard Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 95.8 (91) | 86.4 (111) | 120.1 (17) | 110.9 (41) |
| Passing Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 141.1 (18) | 80.9 (111) | 130.3 (27) | 97.5 (77) |
| Q1 S&P+ (Rk) | 73.2 (119) | 102.8 (62) | 128.1 (28) | 94.1 (88) |
| Q2 S&P+ (Rk) | 120.4 (30) | 69.1 (128) | 146.0 (7) | 107.9 (53) |
| Q3 S&P+ (Rk) | 121.3 (30) | 88.5 (100) | 102.9 (76) | 118.0 (37) |
| Q4 S&P+ (Rk) | 84.4 (109) | 111.7 (38) | 106.8 (63) | 159.0 (2) |
Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)
* or smallest disadvantages
Kansas
- Adj. Sack Rate (No. 6 offense vs. No. 127 defense)
- Standard Downs Sack Rate (No. 1 offense vs. No. 118 defense)
- Redzone S&P+ (No. 6 offense vs. No. 101 defense)
- Passing Downs Sack Rate (No. 28 offense vs. No. 122 defense)
- Passing Downs S&P+ (No. 18 offense vs. No. 111 defense)
Texas Tech
- Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 24 offense vs. No. 124 defense)
- Passing Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 14 offense vs. No. 100 defense)
- Passing Downs Sack Rate (No. 21 offense vs. No. 104 defense)
- Rushing S&P+ (No. 38 offense vs. No. 117 defense)
- Q1 S&P+ (No. 43 vs. No. 117 )
Five Factors
| Category | Kansas offense | Texas Tech defense | Texas Tech offense | Kansas defense |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | 1.66 (4) | 1.25 (67) | 1.40 (26) | 1.39 (103) |
| EFFICIENCY | 35.8% (115) | 50.7% (128) | 55.2% (3) | 36.7% (31) |
| FIELD POSITION | 28.6 (95) | 28.7 (61) | 29.9 (67) | 35.3 (125) |
| FINISHING DRIVES | 5.2 (47) | 5.2 (96) | 5.7 (19) | 4.1 (35) |
| TURNOVER MARGIN |
EXPECTED: Kansas 0.16 (69) Texas Tech 2.05 (29) |
ACTUAL Kansas -7 (127) Texas Tech 0 (60) |
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Offensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Kansas offense | Texas Tech offense |
| Adj. Pace | -9.8 (114) | 12.4 (6) |
| Plays per game | 63.3 (118) | 87.0 (6) |
| Possessions per game | 14.3 (26) | 15.0 (9) |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 40.7% (121) | 48.4% (114) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 35.7% (50) | 18.6% (122) |
| % of solo tackles | 88.8% (5) | 89.5% (4) |
Defensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Kansas defense | Texas Tech defense |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 63.0% (38) | 63.6% (34) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 52.5% (4) | 33.3% (66) |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 22.4% (10) | 13.3% (104) |
| Front 7 Havoc Rate | 13.4% (18) | 7.5% (102) |
| DB Havoc Rate | 8.6% (21) | 5.8% (74) |
| PD to INC | 45.5% (3) | 33.3% (55) |
When Kansas has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Kansas Offense | Texas Tech Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 95.8 | 91 | 86.4 | 111 | Kansas |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 40.7 | 109 | 52.3 | 116 | |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.39 | 11 | 1.22 | 105 | Kansas big |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 2.31 | 115 | 3.26 | 107 | |
| SD Sack Rate | 0% | 1 | 0% | 118 | Kansas big |
Passing Downs
| Kansas Offense | Texas Tech Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 141.1 | 18 | 80.9 | 111 | Kansas big |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 26.2 | 109 | 46.2 | 128 | Kansas |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 2.46 | 4 | 1.75 | 4 | |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.89 | 93 | 2.53 | 31 | Texas Tech big |
| PD Sack Rate | 3.7% | 28 | 0% | 122 | Kansas big |
When Texas Tech has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Texas Tech Offense | Kansas Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 120.1 | 17 | 110.9 | 41 | Texas Tech |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 55.7 | 10 | 38.9 | 24 | Texas Tech |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.25 | 29 | 1.26 | 101 | Texas Tech big |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.03 | 63 | 2.65 | 50 | Kansas |
| SD Sack Rate | 1.6% | 25 | 5% | 60 | Texas Tech |
Passing Downs
| Texas Tech Offense | Kansas Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 130.3 | 27 | 97.5 | 77 | Texas Tech |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 53.5 | 2 | 32.8 | 85 | Texas Tech big |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.85 | 50 | 1.25 | 73 | Texas Tech |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.79 | 36 | 2.97 | 49 | Texas Tech |
| PD Sack Rate | 2.9% | 21 | 3.4% | 104 | Texas Tech big |
Individual Passing Stats
| Team | Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Kansas | Montell Cozart | 6'2, 200 | JR | 48 | 71 | 484 | 5 | 3 | 67.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 6.8 |
| Kansas | Ryan Willis | 6'4, 215 | SO | 17 | 27 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 63.0% | 2 | 6.9% | 7.6 |
| Kansas | Carter Stanley | 6'2, 196 | FR | 7 | 10 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 70.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 8.2 |
| Texas Tech | Patrick Mahomes II | 6'3, 230 | JR | 94 | 132 | 1493 | 14 | 2 | 71.2% | 4 | 2.9% | 10.8 |
| Texas Tech | Nic Shimonek | 6'3, 220 | JR | 18 | 28 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 64.3% | 2 | 6.7% | 4.4 |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
| Kansas | Ke'aun Kinner | RB | 5'9, 191 | SR | 24 | 134 | 1 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 45.8% |
| Kansas | Khalil Herbert | RB | 5'9, 200 | FR | 12 | 91 | 1 | 7.6 | 15.6 | 33.3% |
| Kansas | Denzell Evans | RB | 5'11, 215 | JR | 12 | 26 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 16.7% |
| Kansas | Montell Cozart | QB | 6'2, 200 | JR | 11 | 38 | 0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 45.5% |
| Texas Tech | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | 6'3, 230 | JR | 29 | 167 | 4 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 51.7% |
| Texas Tech | Justin Stockton | RB | 5'10, 200 | JR | 26 | 78 | 1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 34.6% |
| Texas Tech | Demarcus Felton | RB | 5'7, 190 | SO | 22 | 156 | 3 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 68.2% |
| Texas Tech | Quinton White, Jr. | RB | 5'7, 215 | SR | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Individual Receiving Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate |
| Kansas | LaQuvionte Gonzalez | WR | 5'10, 176 | JR | 24 | 18 | 167 | 1 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 75.0% |
| Kansas | Steven Sims Jr. | WR | 5'10, 176 | SO | 18 | 11 | 253 | 4 | 23.0 | 14.1 | 61.1% |
| Kansas | Tyler Patrick | WR | 6'0, 177 | SO | 15 | 11 | 63 | 1 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 73.3% |
| Kansas | Bobby Hartzog, Jr. | WR | 5'11, 195 | JR | 12 | 8 | 55 | 0 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 66.7% |
| Kansas | Keegan Brewer | WR | 5'11, 177 | FR | 7 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 71.4% |
| Kansas | Ke'aun Kinner | RB | 5'9, 191 | SR | 6 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 11.6 | 9.7 | 83.3% |
| Kansas | Ben Johnson | TE | 6'5, 245 | JR | 5 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 60.0% |
| Texas Tech | Devin Lauderdale | WR | 5'10, 176 | SR | 22 | 15 | 133 | 1 | 8.9 | 6.1 | 68.2% |
| Texas Tech | Jonathan Giles | WR | 5'11, 185 | SO | 21 | 19 | 346 | 5 | 18.2 | 16.5 | 90.5% |
| Texas Tech | Cameron Batson | WR | 5'9, 175 | JR | 20 | 14 | 197 | 3 | 14.1 | 9.9 | 70.0% |
| Texas Tech | Dylan Cantrell | WR | 6'3, 210 | JR | 15 | 11 | 168 | 3 | 15.3 | 11.2 | 73.3% |
| Texas Tech | Justin Stockton | RB | 5'10, 200 | JR | 12 | 10 | 191 | 1 | 19.1 | 15.9 | 83.3% |
| Texas Tech | Derrick Willies | WR | 6'3, 215 | JR | 9 | 6 | 144 | 1 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 66.7% |
| Texas Tech | Reginald Davis III | WR | 6'0, 185 | SR | 8 | 4 | 105 | 0 | 26.3 | 13.1 | 50.0% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Team | Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Kansas | Bazie Bates IV | S | 6'1, 197 | SR | 17.0 | 9.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Daniel Wise | DT | 6'3, 285 | SO | 15.0 | 8.6% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Marcquis Roberts | LB | 6'1, 223 | SR | 14.0 | 8.1% | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Joe Dineen Jr. | LB | 6'2, 225 | JR | 13.0 | 7.5% | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Fish Smithson | S | 5'11, 190 | SR | 12.0 | 6.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Marnez Ogletree | CB | 5'10, 185 | SR | 8.5 | 4.9% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Osaze Ogbebor | LB | 6'1, 220 | SO | 7.5 | 4.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Courtney Arnick | LB | 6'2, 215 | SR | 7.0 | 4.0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Dorance Armstrong Jr. | DE | 6'4, 246 | SO | 6.0 | 3.5% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | DeeIsaac Davis | DT | 6'3, 300 | JR | 6.0 | 3.5% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Tyrone Miller Jr. | S | 6'0, 182 | SO | 6.0 | 3.5% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Derrick Neal | CB | 5'11, 180 | JR | 6.0 | 3.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | Tevin Shaw | S | 5'11, 206 | SR | 5.5 | 3.2% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Jordyn Brooks | LB | 6'1, 235 | FR | 18.0 | 9.0% | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Malik Jenkins | LB | 6'1, 225 | SR | 16.0 | 8.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Jah'Shawn Johnson | DB | 5'10, 180 | SO | 15.5 | 7.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Justis Nelson | DB | 6'2, 180 | SR | 13.0 | 6.5% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Keenon Ward | DB | 5'9, 200 | SR | 12.5 | 6.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Thierry Nguema | DB | 5'10, 175 | SR | 11.0 | 5.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Luke Stice | LB | 6'0, 230 | SR | 10.0 | 5.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | D.J. Polite-Bray | DB | 6'0, 195 | JR | 8.5 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Kris Williams | LB | 6'1, 240 | SR | 8.5 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Kolin Hill | LB | 6'2, 250 | SO | 8.5 | 4.3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | D'Vonta Hinton | LB | 5'9, 225 | SO | 8.0 | 4.0% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Tevin Madison | DB | 5'10, 175 | JR | 8.0 | 4.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Ondre Pipkins | DL | 6'3, 325 | SR | 7.5 | 3.8% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | ||||||||||||
Individual Special Teams Stats
| Team | Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Kansas | Cole Moos | 5'11, 185 | JR | 16 | 39.8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 56.3% |
| Texas Tech | Michael Barden | 5'10, 175 | SO | 9 | 37.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Team | Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
| Kansas | Matthew Wyman | 6'1, 220 | SR | 16 | 64.6 | 9 | 56.3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Tech | Clayton Hatfield | 5'10, 170 | SO | 32 | 63.6 | 13 | 40.6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Kansas | Matthew Wyman | 6'1, 220 | SR | 11-11 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| Texas Tech | Clayton Hatfield | 5'10, 170 | SO | 24-25 | 3-4 | 75.0% |
| Team | Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kansas | LaQuvionte Gonzalez | 5'10, 176 | JR | 9 | 28.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kansas | Emmanuel Moore | 6'0, 190 | SO | 2 | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Texas Tech | Reginald Davis III | 6'0, 185 | SR | 2 | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Texas Tech | Keke Coutee | 5'11, 175 | SO | 1 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Team | Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kansas | LaQuvionte Gonzalez | 5'10, 176 | JR | 3 | -0.7 | 0 | 4 | 2 (2) |
| Kansas | Derrick Neal | 5'11, 180 | JR | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) |
| Texas Tech | Cameron Batson | 5'9, 175 | JR | 7 | 12.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics