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2016 Big Ten win projections: The numbers *love* Michigan

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Full 2016 S&P+ projections and win probabilities for the Big Ten.

NCAA Football: Michigan at Utah Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

The final 2016 S&P+ projections are complete, but since I teased the idea of win probabilities in the primary SB Nation post, I wanted to use Study Hall as a repository for total win projections. Below you’ll find odds of each possible given record (overall and conference-only) for each team in the Big Ten. Enjoy.

Big Ten total win projections

(Click on the images to zoom.)

Big Ten win projections

Big Ten conference-play win projections

Big Ten projected conference wins

Your East division favorites: Michigan and Ohio State. I like Michigan State more than the numbers do (and I love that both UM and OSU have to go to East Lansing), so I would throw the Spartans in, too, but the Buckeyes are the only team within 1.3 projected conference wins of the Wolverines.

Your West division favorites: Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa. Wisconsin is projected to be as good as those teams, but with a much rougher conference slate. (“FINALLY,” say fans of other division teams.)

Your national title contenders: Michigan. Ohio State is given a 7% chance of finishing 11-1 or better, but the Buckeyes’ returning production figures drop them quite a bit. We’ll see if Urban Meyer’s got the magic touch with all those freshmen and sophomores.