The final 2016 S&P+ projections are complete, but since I teased the idea of win probabilities in the primary SB Nation post, I wanted to use Study Hall as a repository for total win projections. Below you’ll find odds of each possible given record (overall and conference-only) for each team in the Big Ten. Enjoy.
Big Ten total win projections
(Click on the images to zoom.)
Big Ten conference-play win projections
Your East division favorites: Michigan and Ohio State. I like Michigan State more than the numbers do (and I love that both UM and OSU have to go to East Lansing), so I would throw the Spartans in, too, but the Buckeyes are the only team within 1.3 projected conference wins of the Wolverines.
Your West division favorites: Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa. Wisconsin is projected to be as good as those teams, but with a much rougher conference slate. (“FINALLY,” say fans of other division teams.)
Your national title contenders: Michigan. Ohio State is given a 7% chance of finishing 11-1 or better, but the Buckeyes’ returning production figures drop them quite a bit. We’ll see if Urban Meyer’s got the magic touch with all those freshmen and sophomores.