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Utah 24, Michigan 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 70 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.9 | 28.6 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 11 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.83 | 2.83 | 4.96 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.8% | 72.9% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.548 | 0.544 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | |
| Total | 32.2 | 31.3 | |
| Rushing | 6.4 | 12.2 | |
| Passing | 25.8 | 19.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.7% | 40.0% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 31.0% | 36.1% | 42.9% |
| Passing (close) | 48.8% | 44.1% | 39.6% |
| Standard Downs | 45.1% | 51.0% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 33.3% | 10.5% | 29.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.07 | 1.12 | 1.28 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.71 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| Standard Downs | 0.81 | 0.95 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.95 | 3.37 | 1.84 |
| Line Stats | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.38 | 2.74 | 2.82 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Turnovers | Michigan | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 16.9 | 3.1 |
| Turnover Margin | Utah +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Michigan +0.07 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Utah +2.07 | |
| TO Points Margin | Utah +13.8 points | |
| Situational | Michigan | Utah |
| Q1 S&P | 0.674 | 0.514 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.409 | 0.507 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.604 | 0.812 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.633 | 0.492 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.568 | 0.535 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.600 | 0.523 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.536 | 0.612 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Utah by 13.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Utah by 7 | ||
As with Stanford-Northwestern, I haven't spent much time acknowledging the winner of this game. Sorry about that.
There were some damn even games this week, weren't there? In terms of opportunities/conversion, efficiency, explosiveness, etc., this was an almost completely even game. But Utah had a pick six, and Michigan did not.
Aside from Jake Rudock's arm, I think as or more highly of each of these teams than I did when the game began. That's as good as a win, right, Michigan?
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