Utah 24, Michigan 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||30.9||28.6||29.6|
|Points Per Opportunity||2.83||2.83||4.96|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Michigan||Utah|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Michigan||Utah||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Michigan||Utah||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Michigan||Utah||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.38||2.74||2.82|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||5.8%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||7.1%||6.5%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||16.9||3.1|
|Turnover Margin||Utah +2|
|Exp. TO Margin||Michigan +0.07|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Utah +2.07|
|TO Points Margin||Utah +13.8 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.568||0.535|
|2nd Down S&P||0.600||0.523|
|3rd Down S&P||0.536||0.612|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Utah by 13.0|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Utah by 7|
As with Stanford-Northwestern, I haven't spent much time acknowledging the winner of this game. Sorry about that.
There were some damn even games this week, weren't there? In terms of opportunities/conversion, efficiency, explosiveness, etc., this was an almost completely even game. But Utah had a pick six, and Michigan did not.
Aside from Jake Rudock's arm, I think as or more highly of each of these teams than I did when the game began. That's as good as a win, right, Michigan?