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Alabama 35, Wisconsin 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Alabama | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 66 | 60 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 74.6% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.8 | 29.4 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.38 | 4.25 | 4.96 |
| Leverage Rate** | 71.7% | 66.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.719 | 0.495 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Alabama | Wisconsin | |
| Total | 47.4 | 25.0 | |
| Rushing | 25.7 | 5.2 | |
| Passing | 21.7 | 19.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Alabama | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 50.0% | 31.3% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 56.5% | 13.3% | 42.9% |
| Passing (close) | 43.5% | 39.4% | 39.6% |
| Standard Downs | 60.6% | 31.3% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 23.1% | 31.3% | 29.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Alabama | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.59 | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.47 | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.76 | 1.21 | 1.53 |
| Standard Downs | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 3.56 | 1.13 | 1.84 |
| Line Stats | Alabama | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.08 | 2.07 | 2.82 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 22.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
| Turnovers | Alabama | Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 5.2 |
| Turnover Margin | Alabama +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Alabama +1.1 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Wisconsin +0.1 | |
| TO Points Margin | Alabama +5.2 points | |
| Situational | Alabama | Wisconsin |
| Q1 S&P | 0.541 | 0.464 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.747 | 0.655 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.889 | 0.323 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.590 | 0.596 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.660 | 0.451 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.667 | 0.555 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.648 | 0.504 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Alabama by 27.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Alabama by 18 | ||
Alabama's per-quarter S&P advantages: +0.077 in Q1, +0.092 in Q2, +0.566 in Q3. The Tide eased ahead and laid the hammer down. In fact, considering turnovers and everything else, it probably should have been worse than 18 points. But Wisconsin's epic first-half field position advantage and a couple of second-half missed field goals by Adam Griffith kept it respectable.