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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Name |
Down-Distance-Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team WP Before Play |
Home Team WP Added |
|
1 |
27 |
Arizona |
1-10-64 |
1 |
Team Team Rush for -20, FUMBLE |
0.595 |
-0.198 |
|
2 |
63 |
Arizona |
1-10-65 |
2 |
Anu Solomon Rush for -5, FUMBLE |
0.184 |
-0.091 |
|
3 |
21 |
UCLA |
2-11-35 |
1 |
Josh Rosen Pass to Thomas Duarte for 35, TOUCHDOWN |
0.680 |
-0.087 |
|
4 |
8 |
Arizona |
3-9-49 |
1 |
Anu Solomon Pass to Cayleb Jones for 12, FIRST DOWN |
0.571 |
0.084 |
|
5 |
13 |
Arizona |
1-65-65 |
1 |
PENALTY |
0.630 |
0.083 |
UCLA 56, Arizona 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 87 | 75 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 54.3% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 29.7 | 34.0 | 29.5 |
| Possessions | 13 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.88 | 7.00 | 4.82 |
| Leverage Rate** | 76.3% | 74.0% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.642 | 0.729 | 0.588 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona | UCLA | |
| Total | 46.4 | 49.1 | |
| Rushing | 34.6 | 22.7 | |
| Passing | 11.9 | 26.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 52.6% | 52.0% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 72.7% | 50.0% | 42.8% |
| Passing (close) | 25.0% | 54.6% | 40.9% |
| Standard Downs | 48.3% | 46.0% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 66.7% | 69.2% | 30.2% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.10 | 1.56 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.94 | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.76 | 2.11 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 0.99 | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.38 | 2.42 | 1.80 |
| Line Stats | Arizona | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.32 | 3.39 | 2.84 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% |
| Turnovers | Arizona | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 13.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | UCLA +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | UCLA +2.63 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | UCLA +0.37 | |
| TO Points Margin | UCLA +13.7 points | |
| Situational | Arizona | UCLA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.602 | 0.703 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.712 | 0.758 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.536 | 0.519 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.659 | 0.604 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.655 | 0.588 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.623 | 0.461 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.623 | 0.729 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 16.3 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 26 | ||
This risks falling into that "They didn't beat us, we beat ourselves!" quicksand, but UCLA was good enough to take advantage of Arizona's mistakes ... and Arizona made a TON of mistakes. The Wildcats blew opportunities and handed UCLA points via turnover. And UCLA, to its infinite credit, took complete and total advantage: eight scoring opportunities, eight touchdowns.