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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Name |
Down-Distance-Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team WP Before Play |
Home Team WP Added |
|
1 |
80 |
Syracuse |
2-10-13 |
2 |
FIELD_GOAL |
0.542 |
-0.164 |
|
2 |
112 |
LSU |
2-13-62 |
3 |
Leonard Fournette Rush for 62, TOUCHDOWN |
0.243 |
-0.162 |
|
3 |
24 |
LSU |
2-8-63 |
1 |
Leonard Fournette Rush for 48, FIRST DOWN |
0.531 |
-0.139 |
|
4 |
87 |
LSU |
3-4-61 |
3 |
Brandon Harris Pass to Malachi Dupre for 42, FIRST DOWN |
0.393 |
-0.130 |
|
5 |
105 |
Syracuse |
1-10-40 |
3 |
Zack Mahoney Pass to Brisly Estime for 40, TOUCHDOWN |
0.139 |
0.114 |
LSU 34, Syracuse 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | LSU | Syracuse | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 58 | 69 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 88.2% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.2 | 32.6 | 29.5 |
| Possessions | 11 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.50 | 4.80 | 4.82 |
| Leverage Rate** | 60.3% | 66.7% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.660 | 0.493 | 0.588 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | LSU | Syracuse | |
| Total | 39.2 | 26.5 | |
| Rushing | 26.6 | 12.0 | |
| Passing | 12.6 | 14.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | LSU | Syracuse | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 37.9% | 33.3% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.5% | 32.1% | 42.8% |
| Passing (close) | 38.9% | 34.6% | 40.9% |
| Standard Downs | 45.7% | 41.7% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 26.1% | 16.7% | 30.2% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | LSU | Syracuse | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.78 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.77 | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.80 | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 3.83 | 1.58 | 1.80 |
| Line Stats | LSU | Syracuse | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.03 | 2.87 | 2.84 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.5% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Turnovers | LSU | Syracuse |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 4.3 |
| Turnover Margin | LSU +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | LSU +0.22 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | LSU +0.78 | |
| TO Points Margin | LSU +4.3 points | |
| Situational | LSU | Syracuse |
| Q1 S&P | 0.632 | 0.221 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.436 | 0.519 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.786 | 0.693 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.688 | 0.521 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.706 | 0.514 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.409 | 0.561 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.827 | 0.386 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: LSU by 17.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: LSU by 10 | ||
This is how LSU beats you in 2015. No dramatics, no huge, Les Miles-esque swings in fortune. They just lean on you, and eventually you fall down. Syracuse actually held up longer than Auburn and Mississippi State did (MSU fell over, then managed to get back up late), and power to the Orange for that -- they aren't nearly the pushover I expected them to be this year, and they're far further along offensively than I predicted, and kudos to them. But even when the game was close, it never felt in doubt.
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