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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Name |
Down-Distance-Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team WP Before Play |
Home Team WP Added |
|
1 |
116 |
Georgia Tech |
5-0-0 |
3 |
Duke Kick Return |
0.793 |
0.134 |
|
2 |
5 |
Duke |
2-2-51 |
1 |
Shaun Wilson Rush for 2, FUMBLE |
0.619 |
-0.131 |
|
3 |
158 |
Duke |
3-5-70 |
4 |
Thomas Sirk Pass to NA NA for 0, INTERCEPTION |
0.867 |
-0.113 |
|
4 |
153 |
Georgia Tech |
3-10-12 |
4 |
Justin Thomas Rush for 12, TOUCHDOWN |
0.951 |
-0.104 |
|
5 |
169 |
Georgia Tech |
3-5-57 |
4 |
Justin Thomas Rush for -4, FUMBLE |
0.829 |
0.094 |
Duke 34, Georgia Tech 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 61 | 82 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 41.2 | 30.8 | 29.5 |
| Possessions | 15 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.60 | 4.00 | 4.82 |
| Leverage Rate** | 80.3% | 59.8% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.531 | 0.473 | 0.588 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | |
| Total | 25.9 | 28.6 | |
| Rushing | 16.1 | 17.3 | |
| Passing | 9.8 | 11.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 39.3% | 31.7% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.1% | 34.5% | 42.8% |
| Passing (close) | 42.3% | 25.0% | 40.9% |
| Standard Downs | 42.9% | 42.9% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 25.0% | 15.2% | 30.2% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.24 | 0.86 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 0.89 | 1.88 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 1.05 | 1.08 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.32 | 1.19 | 1.80 |
| Line Stats | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.21 | 2.35 | 2.84 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 11.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| Turnovers | Duke | Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 12.1 | 7.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Georgia Tech +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Duke +2.19 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Georgia Tech +3.19 | |
| TO Points Margin | Georgia Tech +5.2 points | |
| Situational | Duke | Georgia Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.774 | 0.280 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.452 | 0.608 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.377 | 0.301 |
| Q4 S&P | 1.011 | 0.509 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.487 | 0.473 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.592 | 0.525 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.418 | 0.512 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 7.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Duke by 14 | ||
Man, Duke just put on a Little Things clinic. In terms of both equivalent points and yards, Georgia Tech out-gained the Blue Devils; plus, the Yellow Jackets won the turnover battle. But Duke converted chances better, returned a kickoff for a touchdown, and controlled the field in the field position game. Tech had to face longer fields and, for the last 50 minutes, a deficit. It kept seeming like GT might claw back, but they were running uphill all day. And because of that, Duke is going to play a serious role in the ACC division title race once again.
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