clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Kansas State 39, Louisiana Tech 33: Always be closing (drives)

New, 1 comment
Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Louisiana Tech @ Kansas State

The plays to the right of the 60-minute mark are overtime plays.

LTKSwp

Top Plays

Play Number

Offense

Down-Distance-Spot

Quarter

Play Description

Home Team Win Probability Before Play

Home Team Win Probability Added

208

Kansas State

3-16-31

5

Joe Hubener Pass to Kody Cook for 31, TOUCHDOWN

0.215

0.461

184

Kansas State

3-7-22

5

Joe Hubener Pass to Dominique Heath for 22, TOUCHDOWN

0.316

0.360

189

Louisiana Tech

4-9-24

5

Jeff Driskel Rush for 15, FIRST DOWN

0.908

-0.313

181

Louisiana Tech

4-1-28

4

FIELD_GOAL

0.654

-0.255

145

Kansas State

2-2-2

4

Charles Jones Rush for 2, TOUCHDOWN

0.351

0.212

Kansas State 39, Louisiana Tech 33

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Kansas State Louisiana Tech Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 71 89
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 36.3 24.6 29.6
Possessions 16 15
Scoring Opportunities*
9 9
Points Per Opportunity 2.56 2.56 4.82
Leverage Rate** 66.2% 69.7% 68.7%
Close S&P*** 0.558 0.563 0.587
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Kansas State Louisiana Tech
Total 34.5 41.4
Rushing 16.3 15.2
Passing 18.2 26.2
Success Rate (what's this?) Kansas State Louisiana Tech Nat'l Avg
All (close) 36.6% 43.8% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 34.1% 54.6% 42.8%
Passing (close) 40.7% 37.5% 40.7%
Standard Downs 42.6% 50.0% 47.3%
Passing Downs 25.0% 29.6% 29.8%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Kansas State Louisiana Tech Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.33 1.06 1.26
Rushing (close) 1.09 0.85 1.06
Passing (close) 1.66 1.25 1.49
Standard Downs 1.03 0.96 1.10
Passing Downs 2.33 1.47 1.81
Line Stats Kansas State Louisiana Tech Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.74 2.87 2.83
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 6.1% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 6.7% 13.0% 6.6%
Turnovers Kansas State Louisiana Tech
Turnovers 1 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 5.4 9.0
Turnover Margin Kansas State +1
Exp. TO Margin Kansas State +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Kansas State +0.78
TO Points Margin Kansas State +3.6 points
Situational Kansas State Louisiana Tech
Q1 S&P 0.619 0.619
Q2 S&P 0.421 0.660
Q3 S&P 0.640 0.481
Q4 S&P 0.547 0.606
1st Down S&P 0.531 0.607
2nd Down S&P 0.507 0.611
3rd Down S&P 0.524 0.600
Projected Scoring Margin: Louisiana Tech by 3.4
Actual Scoring Margin: Kansas State by 6

18 scoring opportunities in this game ... and six touchdowns. These teams combined for nine field goal attempts, and the fact that Tech missed one in the first quarter ended up kind of making the difference in the game. Neither offense could do anything on passing downs (i.e. play-maker downs).