clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Washington State 37, Rutgers 34: Special teams only NEARLY killed the Cougs this time

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

Washington State 37, Rutgers 34

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Rutgers Washington State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 66 82
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 28.6 27.5 29.7
Possessions 10 12
Scoring Opportunities*
7 9
Points Per Opportunity 2.86 4.11 4.80
Leverage Rate** 80.3% 73.2% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.650 0.663 0.584
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Rutgers Washington State
Total 38.4 51.4
Rushing 19.5 8.4
Passing 18.9 43.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Rutgers Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 54.6% 53.7% 41.3%
Rushing (close) 58.3% 66.7% 42.5%
Passing (close) 50.0% 50.8% 40.1%
Standard Downs 60.4% 63.3% 46.8%
Passing Downs 30.8% 27.3% 29.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Rutgers Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.07 1.17 1.27
Rushing (close) 0.93 0.84 1.06
Passing (close) 1.26 1.26 1.49
Standard Downs 0.94 1.02 1.10
Passing Downs 2.06 2.07 1.83
Line Stats Rutgers Washington State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.40 4.05 2.80
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 4.4% 2.2% 5.1%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 6.6%
Turnovers Rutgers Washington State
Turnovers 3 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 12.0 0.0
Turnover Margin Washington State +3
Exp. TO Margin Rutgers +0.74
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Washington State +3.74
TO Points Margin Washington State +12.0 points
Situational Rutgers Washington State
Q1 S&P 0.544 0.831
Q2 S&P 0.593 0.475
Q3 S&P 0.751 0.581
Q4 S&P 0.656 0.698
1st Down S&P 0.673 0.722
2nd Down S&P 0.635 0.711
3rd Down S&P 0.655 0.718
Projected Scoring Margin: Washington State by 24.9
Actual Scoring Margin: Washington State by 3

Washington State should have won easily! What happened? Well ... it's Washington State. The answer to "What happened?" is almost always "special teams." Wazzu did make field goals of 46 and 47, but two long Janarion Grant returns -- a 55-yard punt return and a 100-yard kick return -- were nearly the difference.

Hell of a job by Wazzu in pulling this one out, though. Luke Falk was 47-for-66 with no sacks and one pick, and after the Cougs NEARLY scored the game winner (which was correctly ruled out of bounds on replay), then did again two plays later.