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Washington State 37, Rutgers 34
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Rutgers | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 66 | 82 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.6 | 27.5 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 10 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 9 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.86 | 4.11 | 4.80 |
| Leverage Rate** | 80.3% | 73.2% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.650 | 0.663 | 0.584 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Rutgers | Washington State | |
| Total | 38.4 | 51.4 | |
| Rushing | 19.5 | 8.4 | |
| Passing | 18.9 | 43.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Rutgers | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 54.6% | 53.7% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 58.3% | 66.7% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 50.0% | 50.8% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 60.4% | 63.3% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 30.8% | 27.3% | 29.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Rutgers | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.07 | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.93 | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 0.94 | 1.02 | 1.10 |
| Passing Downs | 2.06 | 2.07 | 1.83 |
| Line Stats | Rutgers | Washington State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.40 | 4.05 | 2.80 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.4% | 2.2% | 5.1% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% |
| Turnovers | Rutgers | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 12.0 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Washington State +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Rutgers +0.74 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Washington State +3.74 | |
| TO Points Margin | Washington State +12.0 points | |
| Situational | Rutgers | Washington State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.544 | 0.831 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.593 | 0.475 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.751 | 0.581 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.656 | 0.698 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.673 | 0.722 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.635 | 0.711 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.655 | 0.718 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Washington State by 24.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Washington State by 3 | ||
Washington State should have won easily! What happened? Well ... it's Washington State. The answer to "What happened?" is almost always "special teams." Wazzu did make field goals of 46 and 47, but two long Janarion Grant returns -- a 55-yard punt return and a 100-yard kick return -- were nearly the difference.
Hell of a job by Wazzu in pulling this one out, though. Luke Falk was 47-for-66 with no sacks and one pick, and after the Cougs NEARLY scored the game winner (which was correctly ruled out of bounds on replay), then did again two plays later.