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Oklahoma 31, Tennessee 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma | Tennessee | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 87 | 76 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 22.4 | 33.9 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 16 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.40 | 2.12 | 4.80 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.1% | 68.4% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.494 | 0.465 | 0.584 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Tennessee | |
| Total | 32.4 | 24.8 | |
| Rushing | 14.5 | 15.1 | |
| Passing | 17.9 | 9.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Tennessee | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 35.6% | 34.2% | 41.3% |
| Rushing (close) | 34.8% | 35.7% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 36.6% | 32.4% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 39.3% | 40.4% | 46.8% |
| Passing Downs | 26.9% | 20.8% | 29.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Tennessee | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.91 | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Passing (close) | 1.19 | 0.89 | 1.49 |
| Standard Downs | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Passing Downs | 1.35 | 0.94 | 1.83 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma | Tennessee | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.83 | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma | Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 7.7 | 4.2 |
| Turnover Margin | Tennessee +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Tennessee +0.59 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Tennessee +0.41 | |
| TO Points Margin | Tennessee +3.5 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma | Tennessee |
| Q1 S&P | 0.386 | 0.586 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.534 | 0.445 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.210 | 0.375 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.582 | 0.000 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.457 | 0.450 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.485 | 0.504 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.445 | 0.455 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 4.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 7 | ||
I would say those per-quarter S&Ps tell the tale, wouldn't you? Tennessee went from 0.586 to 0.445 to 0.375 to ... 0.000. Zero successful plays in the fourth quarter. Hell of a rally by the Fightin' Stoopses.