UCLA 35, Colorado 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||28.3||20.0||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||2.88||7.00||4.77|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.25||2.40||2.86|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.9%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||3.9%||6.3%||7.5%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||16.1||11.9|
|Exp. TO Margin||Colorado +0.8|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||UCLA +0.8|
|TO Points Margin||UCLA +4.1 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.615||0.645|
|2nd Down S&P||0.625||0.692|
|3rd Down S&P||0.540||0.428|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Colorado by 9.7|
|Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 4|
Easily the weirdest box score of the week. Colorado got a return touchdown (off of a fumble), created twice as many scoring opportunities, and snapped the ball 55 more times than UCLA ... and lost.
How? How in the hell does this happen? It happened mainly because UCLA was perfect with points on the line. This was like break points in tennis. Every time the Bruins got a chance, they broke (four opportunities, four touchdowns). Meanwhile, almost every time CU got a chance, UCLA came up big. The Buffs' eight scoring opportunities resulted in just two TDs with four field goal attempts (one missed), a pick six, and a turnover on downs. The pick six was especially damaging -- it turned three to seven likely CU points into seven for UCLA instead.
Learning to win is both a cliche and a necessity. UCLA found a way here, and CU's still learning.