:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/47582745/GettyImages-495180522.0.jpg)
:format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/4223067/Screen_Shot_2015-11-02_at_6.59.30_PM.0.png)
Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play.Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play_Description |
Pred |
WPA |
|
1 |
178 |
Texas Tech |
3 |
12 |
20 |
4 |
Patrick Mahomes II Pass to Ian Sadler for 20, TOUCHDOWN |
0.441 |
0.281 |
|
2 |
212 |
Oklahoma State |
2 |
8 |
73 |
4 |
J.W. Walsh Pass to James Washington for 73, TOUCHDOWN |
0.322 |
-0.251 |
|
3 |
207 |
Texas Tech |
2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
DeAndre Washington Rush for 4, TOUCHDOWN |
0.145 |
0.229 |
|
4 |
193 |
Oklahoma State |
2 |
3 |
75 |
4 |
J.W. Walsh Pass to Jalen McCleskey for 75, TOUCHDOWN |
0.275 |
-0.210 |
|
5 |
190 |
Texas Tech |
1 |
10 |
22 |
4 |
Patrick Mahomes II Pass INTERCEPTED |
0.499 |
-0.188 |
Oklahoma State 70, Texas Tech 53
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 94 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 99.4% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.3 | 26.6 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
9 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 6.22 | 5.62 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 65.8% | 67.7% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.719 | 0.639 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | |
| Total | 62.9 | 60.2 | |
| Rushing | 18.6 | 16.1 | |
| Passing | 44.3 | 44.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 50.6% | 39.8% | 41.7% |
| Rushing (close) | 50.0% | 36.1% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 51.1% | 42.1% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 53.9% | 36.5% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 44.4% | 46.7% | 30.3% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.26 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.09 | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Passing (close) | 1.93 | 1.84 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.34 | 1.49 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.11 | 1.78 | 1.77 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.59 | 2.98 | 2.86 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 0.0% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.0 | 16.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Oklahoma State +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Texas Tech +1.39 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oklahoma State +3.39 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oklahoma State +12.9 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.682 | 0.964 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.672 | 0.571 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.515 | 0.510 |
| Q4 S&P | 1.217 | 0.668 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.699 | 0.671 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.636 | 0.627 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.877 | 0.656 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 15.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 17 | ||
Such a wild game, one that was, as strange as it sounds, decided as much by droughts as by offensive explosions. OSU's longest drought was a series of three straight punts in the third quarter (with a punt return score in the middle), but Tech was done in by a larger one. After scoring on their first five possessions, the Red Raiders scored just once in their next five drives, went three-and-out twice, and turned the ball over on downs twice. That and the punt return allowed OSU to not only stay close while enduring its own drought, but eventually surge ahead.
Tech's drought shows up in the efficiency numbers. The Red Raiders had plenty of big plays, but they had only a 40 percent success rate -- actually worse than the national average. That they still scored 53 points was ... unique.