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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play.Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play_Description |
Pred |
WPA |
|
1 |
70 |
Florida |
2 |
10 |
66 |
2 |
Treon Harris Pass to Antonio Callaway for 66, TOUCHDOWN |
0.731 |
0.157 |
|
2 |
35 |
Georgia |
2 |
5 |
65 |
1 |
Faton Bauta Pass INTERCEPTED |
0.458 |
0.134 |
|
3 |
40 |
Florida |
4 |
8 |
48 |
1 |
PUNT |
0.495 |
0.122 |
|
4 |
7 |
Florida |
3 |
3 |
53 |
1 |
Treon Harris Pass to C'yontai Lewis for 25, FIRST DOWN |
0.533 |
0.099 |
|
5 |
48 |
Georgia |
4 |
1 |
36 |
2 |
Sony Michel Rush for -3 |
0.650 |
0.079 |
Florida 27, Georgia 3
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 56 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 76.4% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 37.1 | 27.3 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 13 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 2 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.50 | 1.50 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 59.6% | 69.1% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.584 | 0.410 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida | Georgia | |
| Total | 38.1 | 18.0 | |
| Rushing | 24.5 | 6.1 | |
| Passing | 13.6 | 11.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 28.9% | 31.0% | 41.7% |
| Rushing (close) | 30.3% | 18.8% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 26.3% | 38.5% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 35.5% | 31.0% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 19.1% | 30.8% | 30.3% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.77 | 0.81 | 1.26 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.35 | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Passing (close) | 2.61 | 0.75 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.16 | 0.71 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 3.45 | 1.04 | 1.77 |
| Line Stats | Florida | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.32 | 1.97 | 2.86 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Florida | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 5 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.4 | 25.7 |
| Turnover Margin | Florida +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida +1.03 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Florida +2.97 | |
| TO Points Margin | Florida +21.3 points | |
| Situational | Florida | Georgia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.465 | 0.378 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.715 | 0.405 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.590 | 0.439 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.737 | 0.614 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.656 | 0.471 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.502 | 0.564 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.808 | 0.483 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Florida by 41.3 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Florida by 24 | ||
Florida missed an early field goal, turned the ball over on downs at the UGA 11, and showed mercy by killing the clock late instead of scoring again. That's all that kept the Gators from winning by closer to 35 or 40. I still don't think Mark Richt should be fired by any means, but holy moly, has he made a mess of this season. (Also: kudos, Jim McElwain. Hell of a debut.)
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