USC 38, Arizona 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||35.2||31.7||29.7|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.29||4.75||4.75|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Arizona||USC|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Arizona||USC||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Arizona||USC||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Arizona||USC||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.28||3.04||2.87|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||9.7%||0.0%||4.9%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||13.6%||10.5%||7.5%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||5.1||3.9|
|Exp. TO Margin||USC +0.44|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Arizona +0.44|
|TO Points Margin||USC +1.1 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.572||0.639|
|2nd Down S&P||0.547||0.594|
|3rd Down S&P||0.687||0.747|
|Projected Scoring Margin: USC by 10.8|
|Actual Scoring Margin: USC by 8|
The extra possession for USC turns out to be the difference in this game even though Arizona scored its last touchdown with only 10 seconds left in the game.
|Backs-Wide||% of Plays||Yds/Play||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
|0 backs, 5 wide||1.3%||0.0||2.7%||1.5|
|1 back, 2 wide||12.0%||6.0|
|1 back, 3 wide||2.5%||18.0||56.0%||6.5|
|1 back, 4 wide||77.2%||5.2||16.0%||4.8|
|2 backs, 2 wide||1.3%||2.0||5.3%||6.3|
|2 backs, 3 wide||17.7%||4.1||8.0%||9.3|
|No Huddle?||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
|Hash||% of Plays||Yds/Play||% of Plays||Yds/Play|
|Passing||Comp Rt||Yds/Pass||Passing||Comp Rt||Yds/Pass|
|Behind Line||3-3, 20 yards||100.0%||6.7||8-8, 22 yards||100.0%||2.8|
|0 to 4||11-15, 51 yards||73.3%||3.4||2-4, 53 yards||50.0%||13.3|
|5 to 9||6-9, 47 yards||66.7%||5.2||8-14, 56 yards||57.1%||4.0|
|10 to 19||9-12, 169 yards||75.0%||14.1||2-4, 33 yards||50.0%||8.3|
|20 to 29||2-3, 65 yards||66.7%||21.7||0-1, 0 yards||0.0%||0.0|
|30-plus||2-5, 79 yards||40.0%||15.8|
|Passing (no blitz)||29-43, 348 yards, 5 sacks, 7.3 yds. per att.||16-22, 151 yards, 2 sacks, 6.3 yds. per att.|
|Passing (blitz)||1-3, 3 yards, 1 sacks, 0.8 yds. per att.||5-13, 85 yards, 1 sacks, 6.1 yds. per att.|
|Reason for INC/INT||Arizona||USC|
Easily the best performance of the season for the USC pass rush as they attacked a reeling Arizona offensive line and recorded six sacks. The Arizona defense didn't struggle in generating pressure either in recording three sacks of its own and constantly confusing the USC offensive line by continuously bringing its blitzers from different spots throughout the defense.
Cody Kessler is mostly a game manager now, although that might have something to do with the emergence of the running game. It helps he has an amazing WR in Juju Smith-Schuster, who played this game after having surgery on Monday on his right hand. Anu Solomon, on the other hand, had his best game of the season yardage wise despite the aforementioned six sacks and the interception, which was clearly thrown behind the intended target.
Well did USC contain the Arizona run game? Yeah I'd say so. 22 carries for 72 yards. Keep in mind this is removing both sacks and QB scrambles from the equation so if you're looking at your typical box score that's what the difference is.
Most importantly though...
Man. USC hasn't had a running back this exciting since "he who must not be named" (at least according the NCAA). Ronald Jones II is so incredibly exciting to watch. Not only was he explosive (two plays with 20+ yards), but he also didn't have a negative carry. Justin Davis was just about as good as Jones, with three carries over 10 yards and no negative plays himself.
One more important note about Ronald Jones.
|Option - zone read||4-8|
|Sack - in pocket||4-(-22)||2-(-8)|
|Sack - QB fault||1-(-3)||1-(-7)|