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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play.Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play_Description |
Pred |
WPA |
|
1 |
26 |
LSU |
3 |
18 |
98 |
1 |
Brandon Harris Pass to Travin Dural for 37, FIRST DOWN |
0.677 |
-0.175 |
|
2 |
89 |
LSU |
1 |
10 |
75 |
3 |
Brandon Harris Pass INTERCEPTED |
0.646 |
0.122 |
|
3 |
64 |
LSU |
2 |
12 |
40 |
2 |
Brandon Harris Pass to Travin Dural for 40, TOUCHDOWN |
0.806 |
-0.116 |
|
4 |
34 |
Alabama |
3 |
10 |
80 |
1 |
Jake Coker Pass to Calvin Ridley for 14, FIRST DOWN |
0.503 |
0.096 |
|
5 |
85 |
Alabama |
4 |
11 |
37 |
2 |
FIELD_GOAL |
0.561 |
0.087 |
Not a lot of high-impact plays in this game, but most of them involved Brandon Harris' arm because the run just wasn't there.
Alabama 30, LSU 16
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Alabama | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 45 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 89.5% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 31.3 | 24.8 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 3 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.29 | 5.67 | 4.75 |
| Leverage Rate** | 73.0% | 56.8% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.576 | 0.479 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Alabama | LSU | |
| Total | 39.9 | 16.3 | |
| Rushing | 26.1 | 6.3 | |
| Passing | 13.8 | 10.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Alabama | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.9% | 21.6% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.8% | 20.0% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 44.0% | 23.5% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 46.3% | 23.8% | 46.9% |
| Passing Downs | 30.0% | 18.8% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Alabama | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.21 | 1.53 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.31 | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| Passing (close) | 1.01 | 2.02 | 1.48 |
| Standard Downs | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.28 | 2.41 | 1.77 |
| Line Stats | Alabama | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.38 | 1.56 | 2.87 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.1% | 14.3% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 14.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Alabama | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | LSU +0.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Alabama +0.58 | |
| TO Points Margin | LSU +0.4 points | |
| Situational | Alabama | LSU |
| Q1 S&P | 0.512 | 0.608 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.569 | 0.616 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.637 | 0.214 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.581 | 0.602 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.626 | 0.511 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.632 | 0.480 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.440 | 0.535 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Alabama by 23.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Alabama by 14 | ||
20% rushing success rate for LSU. TWENTY. That's just nuts. Alabama showed the same offensive issues as always -- pretty good until you fall off-schedule -- but the Tide were able to run, and the Tigers were not. Hard to come up with anything to say beyond that.