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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play.Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play_Description |
Pred |
WPA |
|
1 |
115 |
Clemson |
3 |
2 |
38 |
3 |
Deshaun Watson Pass to Deon Cain for 38, TOUCHDOWN |
0.474 |
0.169 |
|
2 |
174 |
Florida State |
4 |
1 |
40 |
4 |
Dalvin Cook Rush for 0 |
0.675 |
0.125 |
|
3 |
86 |
Florida State |
4 |
27 |
75 |
2 |
PUNT |
0.410 |
-0.118 |
|
4 |
170 |
Clemson |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
KICKOFF |
0.735 |
-0.115 |
|
5 |
13 |
Florida State |
2 |
10 |
77 |
1 |
Dalvin Cook Rush for 36, FIRST DOWN |
0.371 |
-0.105 |
Clemson 23, Florida State 13
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 85 | 59 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 22.8 | 27.2 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 13 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.83 | 2.60 | 4.75 |
| Leverage Rate** | 71.8% | 62.7% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.591 | 0.572 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | |
| Total | 45.0 | 29.9 | |
| Rushing | 19.4 | 18.6 | |
| Passing | 25.5 | 11.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 43.5% | 32.2% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 42.5% | 35.7% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 44.4% | 29.0% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 45.9% | 29.7% | 46.9% |
| Passing Downs | 37.5% | 36.4% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.22 | 1.57 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.14 | 1.86 | 1.07 |
| Passing (close) | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Standard Downs | 1.19 | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.31 | 2.31 | 1.77 |
| Line Stats | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.60 | 2.94 | 2.87 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Clemson | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 7.7 |
| Turnover Margin | Clemson +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | +0 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Clemson +2 | |
| TO Points Margin | Clemson +7.7 points | |
| Situational | Clemson | Florida State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.438 | 0.950 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.602 | 0.469 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.686 | 0.569 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.652 | 0.431 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.566 | 0.597 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.637 | 0.497 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.507 | 0.705 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Clemson by 22.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Clemson by 10 | ||
The best teams make game boring. Sure, there was nothing boring about the Clemson-Notre Dame finish, but since that point, when the computers (and, eventually, CFB committee members) began to really, really like the Tigers, they've given minimal room for doubt.
FSU looked awfully good early on in this game. Dalvin Cook was Dalvin Cook, and aside from one bad pass from Sean Maguire (which was picked off), FSU's offense was nearly perfect early on. But Clemson's defense adjusted in the second quarter. And then the offense found its way in the third. And that was pretty much that. FSU was able to hang around for a while, but Clemson calmly eased ahead and put the game away. And as the projected scoring margin sugggests, it was closer to being a bigger CU victory than it was an FSU upset.
Hell of a job, Dabo Swinney.
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